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Chiba vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 73-88
17-28 22-17 25-22 9-21
Position#9
Record5-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#11
Record4-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game75.2
JapanB League· Funabashi Arena (Funabashi)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Chiba v Nagoya Fighting Eagles
29 Oct 2023
CHIB73
NAGO88
28 Oct 2023
CHIB79
NAGO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiba winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagoya Fighting Eagles winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
L
82-91
82
91
-9
70avg 78
A08/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
86-89
86
89
-3
73avg 78
A09/10
B League
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 78
H11/10
EASL
Shinshu
#23
W
97-83
97
83
+14
90avg 78
H14/10
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
86-85
86
85
+1
75avg 78
H15/10
B League
Fubon Braves
#8
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
no box
A18/10
EASL
Sendai
#16
L
72-83
72
83
-11
61avg 78
H21/10
B League
Sendai
#16
W
99-90
99
90
+9
97avg 78
H22/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
82-77
82
77
+5
70avg 78
A25/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 78
H28/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
24-23
18-14
24-27
18-26
23-18
23-25
22-20
21-22
24-22
26-12
22-19
25-35
28-13
25-18
19-17
21-18
22-28
24-16
19-23
15-20
14-22
18-13
27-19
21-17
14-21
17-18
20-27
24-31
30-17
26-23
19-19
19-14
21-24
18-16
24-23
25-16
21-18
16-17
17-18
168.5Avg total
86.1Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.483.4168.8+2.062%
Season at home (5)86.682.0168.6+4.680%
Season away (3)83.385.7169.0-2.333%
Last 10 (10)86.182.4168.5+3.770%
Last 5 (5)83.480.2163.6+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)83.380.7164.0+2.767%
vs Weaker (27)87.977.3165.3+10.678%
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
Shimane
#3
L
62-81
62
81
-19
no box
H06/05
B League
Shimane
#3
L
64-77
64
77
-13
no box
H07/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
74-65
74
65
+9
74avg 61
H07/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
81-63
81
63
+18
66avg 61
H08/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
81-77
81
77
+4
74avg 61
A14/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
83-74
83
74
+9
78avg 61
A15/10
B League
Alvark
#2
L
58-72
58
72
-14
41avg 61
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#2
L
49-83
49
83
-34
32avg 61
H22/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
80-89
80
89
-9
66avg 61
A25/10
B League
Chiba
#9
L
69-79
69
79
-10
57avg 61
A28/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
15-20
18-25
9-16
22-16
10-28
18-19
14-14
18-14
26-16
24-11
6-24
28-17
17-17
11-11
25-18
16-28
22-20
20-15
23-14
20-27
15-13
20-15
28-19
12-17
13-19
15-21
18-15
16-26
7-18
11-16
15-23
20-27
13-22
26-20
21-20
16-25
18-21
17-16
18-17
146.1Avg total
70.1Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.975.2147.1-3.450%
Season at home (4)65.570.8136.2-5.250%
Season away (4)78.279.8158.0-1.550%
Last 10 (10)70.176.0146.1-5.940%
Last 5 (5)67.879.4147.2-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)69.479.8149.1-10.425%
vs Similar ◀ (7)72.677.6150.1-5.014%
vs Weaker (7)74.378.0152.3-3.743%
This opponent (Chiba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
ChibaNagoya Fighting Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#17
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A08/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A09/10
B League
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H11/10
EASL
Shinshu
#23
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H14/10
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H15/10
B League
Fubon Braves
#8
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A18/10
EASL
Sendai
#16
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/10
B League
Sendai
#16
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H22/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A25/10
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H28/10
B League
85.8Avg total
42.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.737.280.9+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.436.280.6+8.274%-
Last 30 away (11)42.539.081.5+3.564%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.285.8-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.080.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)45.040.085.0+5.067%-
vs Weaker (27)43.636.980.5+6.670%-
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H06/05
B League
Shimane
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H07/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H07/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H08/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A14/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A15/10
B League
Alvark
#2
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#2
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H22/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A25/10
B League
Chiba
#9
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A28/10
B League
75.5Avg total
34.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.739.372.9-5.623%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.137.071.1-2.933%-
Last 30 away (15)33.241.574.7-8.313%-
Last 10 (10)34.441.175.5-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)30.043.073.0-13.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)33.739.673.3-5.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)32.039.171.1-7.114%-
vs Weaker (7)35.338.673.9-3.329%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.5
49.1%
50.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.6
34.2%
33.5%34.9
🏀 Free throws18.814.8
78.7%
72.0%14.8
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.419.1
46.2%
50.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.1
31.0%
33.5%21.4
🏀 Free throws16.411.5
70.2%
72.0%11.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiba
WWWLWWWWLL
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
LLLLWWWWLL
#9
League position
#11
+3.2
Net rating
-4.0
108.8
Offensive rating
98.9
105.6
Defensive rating
102.9
50.2%
Effective FG%
46.3%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.3%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.2%
3-point %
31.0%
59.7%
Assist %
52.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 98.9Defence105.6 · 102.9Shooting50.2% · 46.3%3-point %34.2% · 31.0%Ball care16.1% · 17.3%Off. rebounds31.3% · 30.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Chiba   ■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chiba wins
0
Nagoya Fighting Eagles wins
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles79-69
25/10/23AHokkaido82-77
22/10/23HSendai99-90
21/10/23HSendai72-83
18/10/23AFubon Braves85-82 OT
15/10/23HShinshu86-85
14/10/23HShinshu97-83
11/10/23HTNT Tropang Giga93-75
09/10/23ANagasaki86-89
08/10/23ANagasaki82-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23AChiba69-79
25/10/23ANeoPhoenix80-89
22/10/23HAlvark49-83
21/10/23HAlvark58-72
15/10/23AIbaraki Robots83-74
14/10/23AIbaraki Robots81-77
08/10/23HHiroshima D.81-63
07/10/23HHiroshima D.74-65
07/05/23HShimane64-77
06/05/23HShimane62-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiba
B League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game85.486.683.3
Allowed / game83.482.085.7
Point differential+2.0+4.6-2.3
Avg total168.8168.6169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game71.965.578.2
Allowed / game75.270.879.8
Point differential-3.4-5.2-1.5
Avg total147.1136.2158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark98189%78.660.2+18.3
2 Osaka98189%88.277.1+11.1
3 NeoPhoenix98189%88.078.1+9.9
4 Utsunomiya Brex97278%77.371.0+6.3
5 Brave Thunders97278%81.876.0+5.8
6 Diamond Dolphins97278%83.177.8+5.3
7 Shimane97278%81.075.9+5.1
8 Nagasaki97278%86.682.2+4.3
9 Ryukyu86275%80.177.6+2.5
10 Chiba85362%85.483.4+2.0
11 SeaHorses Mikawa95456%82.674.8+7.8
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles84450%71.975.2-3.4
13 Sendai94544%80.282.7-2.4
14 Saga94544%72.174.8-2.7
15 Yokohama94544%77.080.7-3.7
16 Gunma94544%76.082.3-6.3
17 Hiroshima D.93633%76.776.2+0.4
18 Sun Rockers Shibuya92722%75.779.4-3.8
19 Shinshu92722%78.385.6-7.2
20 Akita92722%71.880.0-8.2
21 Hokkaido91811%75.083.9-8.9
22 Kyoto91811%73.782.8-9.1
23 Ibaraki Robots9090%77.786.0-8.3
24 Toyama8080%71.187.8-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiba172225973
Nagoya Fighting Eagles2817222188
← all games of the day
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