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Chiba vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 79-69
25-16 21-18 16-17 17-18
Position#9
Record4-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game85.4
Chiba 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#11
Record4-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game74.7
JapanB League· Funabashi Arena (Funabashi)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Chiba v Nagoya Fighting Eagles
29 Oct 2023
CHIB73
NAGO88
28 Oct 2023
CHIB79
NAGO69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagoya Fighting Eagles winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#2
L
73-88
73
88
-15
no box
H28/05
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
82-91
82
91
-9
70avg 79
A08/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
86-89
86
89
-3
73avg 79
A09/10
B League
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 79
H11/10
EASL
Shinshu
#23
W
97-83
97
83
+14
90avg 79
H14/10
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
86-85
86
85
+1
75avg 79
H15/10
B League
Fubon Braves
#8
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
no box
A18/10
EASL
Sendai
#16
L
72-83
72
83
-11
61avg 79
H21/10
B League
Sendai
#16
W
99-90
99
90
+9
97avg 79
H22/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
82-77
82
77
+5
70avg 79
A25/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
17-16
23-17
19-31
16-27
24-23
18-14
24-27
18-26
23-18
23-25
22-20
21-22
24-22
26-12
22-19
25-35
28-13
25-18
19-17
21-18
22-28
24-16
19-23
15-20
14-22
18-13
27-19
21-17
14-21
17-18
20-27
24-31
30-17
26-23
19-19
19-14
21-24
18-16
24-23
169.8Avg total
85.5Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.385.4171.7+0.957%
Season at home (4)88.585.2173.8+3.275%
Season away (3)83.385.7169.0-2.333%
Last 10 (10)85.584.3169.8+1.260%
Last 5 (5)84.883.4168.2+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)85.586.5172.0-1.050%
vs Weaker (28)87.577.4164.9+10.175%
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
Gunma
#12
L
79-88
79
88
-9
no box
A30/04
B League
Shimane
#3
L
62-81
62
81
-19
no box
H06/05
B League
Shimane
#3
L
64-77
64
77
-13
no box
H07/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
74-65
74
65
+9
74avg 61
H07/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
81-63
81
63
+18
66avg 61
H08/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
81-77
81
77
+4
74avg 61
A14/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
83-74
83
74
+9
78avg 61
A15/10
B League
Alvark
#2
L
58-72
58
72
-14
41avg 61
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#2
L
49-83
49
83
-34
32avg 61
H22/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
80-89
80
89
-9
66avg 61
A25/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
26-27
22-21
13-19
20-20
15-20
18-25
9-16
22-16
10-28
18-19
14-14
18-14
26-16
24-11
6-24
28-17
17-17
11-11
25-18
16-28
22-20
20-15
23-14
20-27
15-13
20-15
28-19
12-17
13-19
15-21
18-15
16-26
7-18
11-16
15-23
20-27
13-22
26-20
21-20
148.0Avg total
71.1Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.374.7147.0-2.457%
Season at home (4)65.570.8136.2-5.250%
Season away (3)81.380.0161.3+1.367%
Last 10 (10)71.176.9148.0-5.840%
Last 5 (5)70.279.0149.2-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)69.480.0149.4-10.624%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.277.3150.5-4.217%
vs Weaker (7)74.378.0152.3-3.743%
This opponent (Chiba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
ChibaNagoya Fighting Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H28/05
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A08/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A09/10
B League
TNT Tropang Giga
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H11/10
EASL
Shinshu
#23
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H14/10
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H15/10
B League
Fubon Braves
#8
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A18/10
EASL
Sendai
#16
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H21/10
B League
Sendai
#16
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H22/10
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A25/10
B League
84.9Avg total
41.1Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.537.781.2+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.136.981.0+7.168%-
Last 30 away (11)42.539.081.5+3.564%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.884.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.482.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)44.543.087.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (28)43.437.380.7+6.168%-
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#12
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A30/04
B League
Shimane
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H06/05
B League
Shimane
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H07/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H07/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H08/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A14/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A15/10
B League
Alvark
#2
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#2
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H22/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A25/10
B League
76.7Avg total
35.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.838.972.7-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.436.871.2-2.438%-
Last 30 away (14)33.141.274.4-8.114%-
Last 10 (10)35.441.376.7-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)30.843.474.2-12.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.039.373.3-5.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)31.738.069.7-6.317%-
vs Weaker (7)35.338.673.9-3.329%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.4
49.6%
50.9%34.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.011.7
33.5%
33.5%35.1
🏀 Free throws19.915.4
77.7%
72.0%15.4
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.0
48.4%
50.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.7
29.4%
33.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.611.6
69.8%
72.0%11.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiba
WWLWWWWLLL
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
LLLWWWWLLL
#9
League position
#11
+1.5
Net rating
-2.2
108.5
Offensive rating
99.6
107.1
Defensive rating
101.7
49.9%
Effective FG%
46.9%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.4%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.5%
3-point %
29.4%
60.8%
Assist %
51.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 99.6Defence107.1 · 101.7Shooting49.9% · 46.9%3-point %33.5% · 29.4%Ball care15.1% · 16.4%Off. rebounds29.4% · 29.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Chiba   ■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Chiba wins
0
Nagoya Fighting Eagles wins
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23AHokkaido82-77
22/10/23HSendai99-90
21/10/23HSendai72-83
18/10/23AFubon Braves85-82 OT
15/10/23HShinshu86-85
14/10/23HShinshu97-83
11/10/23HTNT Tropang Giga93-75
09/10/23ANagasaki86-89
08/10/23ANagasaki82-91
28/05/23HRyukyu73-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23ANeoPhoenix80-89
22/10/23HAlvark49-83
21/10/23HAlvark58-72
15/10/23AIbaraki Robots83-74
14/10/23AIbaraki Robots81-77
08/10/23HHiroshima D.81-63
07/10/23HHiroshima D.74-65
07/05/23HShimane64-77
06/05/23HShimane62-81
30/04/23AGunma79-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiba
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game86.388.583.3
Allowed / game85.485.285.7
Point differential+0.9+3.2-2.3
Avg total171.7173.8169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL57%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game72.365.581.3
Allowed / game74.770.880.0
Point differential-2.4-5.2+1.3
Avg total147.0136.2161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark87188%77.260.4+16.9
2 Osaka87188%87.877.8+10.0
3 Brave Thunders87188%83.074.0+9.0
4 Diamond Dolphins87188%85.178.8+6.4
5 NeoPhoenix76186%89.078.6+10.4
6 Nagasaki76186%88.081.0+7.0
7 Utsunomiya Brex86275%78.271.5+6.8
8 Shimane86275%79.474.0+5.4
9 Ryukyu75271%79.679.4+0.1
10 SeaHorses Mikawa74357%81.472.9+8.6
11 Chiba74357%86.385.4+0.9
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles74357%72.374.7-2.4
13 Yokohama84450%78.579.5-1.0
14 Sendai83538%80.184.9-4.8
15 Gunma83538%77.184.4-7.2
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya72529%79.180.1-1.0
17 Saga72529%70.778.0-7.3
18 Akita72529%70.478.7-8.3
19 Hiroshima D.82625%75.077.6-2.6
20 Shinshu82625%80.086.1-6.1
21 Kyoto81712%75.582.0-6.5
22 Hokkaido81712%73.082.6-9.6
23 Ibaraki Robots8080%79.188.4-9.2
24 Toyama7070%72.088.3-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiba2521161779
Nagoya Fighting Eagles1618171869
← all games of the day
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