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Chicago State vs Mercyhurst Lakers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 85-78
31-37 54-41
Position#368
Record3-20
FormWLLLW
Points / game60.9
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#219
Record12-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Chicago State v Mercyhurst Lakers
31 Jan 2026
CHIC78
MERC74
06 Feb 2025
CHIC85
MERC78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chicago State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercyhurst Lakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#60
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
64-117
64
117
-53
A29/12
NCAA
Wagner
#234
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A04/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A05/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
52-68
52
68
-16
H12/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H18/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H21/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A26/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
73-67 OT
73
67
+6
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-22
32-59
24-60
40-57
26-27
38-25
25-22
14-31
23-37
29-31
46-39
42-33
23-27
25-31
29-35
44-40
22-30
42-51
29-36
29-22
134.6Avg total
62.2Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)60.978.5139.3-17.613%
Season at home (7)62.170.6132.7-8.429%
Season away (16)60.381.9142.2-21.66%
Last 10 (10)62.272.4134.6-10.230%
Last 5 (5)69.270.6139.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)61.378.2139.6-16.912%
vs Similar (2)64.577.5142.0-13.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#225
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H05/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A11/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A12/01
NCAA
Wagner
#234
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A18/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
L
63-72 OT
63
72
-9
A20/01
NCAA
Wagner
#234
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H25/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
H26/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H31/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-40
44-29
29-28
21-34
28-32
31-41
28-35
35-44
22-30
47-35
28-34
31-25
37-31
34-35
29-26
39-42
29-23
33-35
37-26
30-34
134.9Avg total
66.5Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)66.268.7134.9-2.648%
Season at home (10)74.262.2136.4+12.080%
Season away (15)60.873.1133.9-12.327%
Last 10 (10)66.568.4134.9-1.960%
Last 5 (5)69.667.2136.8+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)59.975.1135.0-15.314%
vs Similar (12)66.668.4135.0-1.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)65.268.8134.0-3.550%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.3-6.31st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.3-6.31st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: -0.9-0.9
Chicago StateMercyhurst Lakers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#60
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois
#100
L
24-60
24
60
-36
A29/12
NCAA
Wagner
#234
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A04/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A05/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H12/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H18/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A25/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A26/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H01/02
NCAA
60.7Avg total
27.2Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.836.164.8-7.317%-
Last 30 at home (10)33.633.266.8+0.430%-
Last 30 away (20)26.437.563.9-11.110%-
Last 10 (10)27.233.560.7-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)29.833.463.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)26.836.563.4-9.712%-
vs Similar (2)28.038.566.5-10.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#225
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H05/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A11/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A12/01
NCAA
Wagner
#234
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A18/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A20/01
NCAA
Wagner
#234
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H25/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H26/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H31/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A01/02
NCAA
60.4Avg total
29.9Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)31.531.563.0+0.054%-
Last 30 at home (10)35.928.764.6+7.290%-
Last 30 away (16)28.833.261.9-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)29.930.560.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)32.028.060.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.131.459.6-3.343%-
vs Similar (12)31.331.262.5+0.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)32.530.863.2+1.850%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chicago State wins
0
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HLIU Sharks73-67 OT
26/01/25ACentral Connecticut State64-81
25/01/25AStonehill73-75
21/01/25HFairleigh Dickinson48-58
18/01/25HLe Moyne88-72
12/01/25HStonehill52-68
05/01/25ALIU Sharks39-53
04/01/25AWagner64-52
29/12/24AIllinois64-117
21/12/24ACS Northridge57-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25AFairleigh Dickinson67-60
31/01/25HSt. Francis (PA)62-58
26/01/25HLIU Sharks85-80 OT
25/01/25HWagner71-66
20/01/25ALIU Sharks63-72 OT
18/01/25AWagner69-65
12/01/25ALe Moyne63-79
11/01/25ASt. Francis (PA)59-73
05/01/25HCentral Connecticut State50-62
04/01/25HStonehill76-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chicago State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW13%
HomeLLWLW29%
AwayLWLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23716
Win %13%29%6%
Points / game60.962.160.3
Allowed / game78.570.681.9
Point differential-17.6-8.4-21.6
Avg total139.3132.7142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%14%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %4%14%0%
Mercyhurst Lakers
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW48%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLWLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251015
Win %48%80%27%
Points / game66.274.260.8
Allowed / game68.762.273.1
Point differential-2.6+12.0-12.3
Avg total134.9136.4133.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %8%10%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State2216673%71.763.3+8.4
2 Wagner22121055%64.760.7+4.0
3 Stonehill24121250%69.569.6-0.2
4 Mercyhurst Lakers25121348%66.268.7-2.6
5 LIU Sharks25101540%68.268.0+0.2
6 Fairleigh Dickinson2391439%75.175.4-0.3
7 St. Francis (PA)2481633%69.273.0-3.8
8 Le Moyne2371630%74.180.1-6.0
9 Chicago State2332013%60.978.5-17.6
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.078.0-23.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Chicago State315485
Mercyhurst Lakers374178
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