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Chicago State vs Mercyhurst Lakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-74
35-30 43-44
Position#363
Record2-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#206
Record11-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game64.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Chicago State v Mercyhurst Lakers
31 Jan 2026
CHIC78
MERC74
06 Feb 2025
CHIC85
MERC78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chicago State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercyhurst Lakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chicago StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#143
L
55-76
55
76
-21
A17/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A20/12
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H03/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
55-74
55
74
-19
H04/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A08/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
L
57-72
57
72
-15
H17/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H20/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A24/01
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-40
27-36
29-52
29-26
35-41
37-38
29-37
26-37
21-31
42-39
33-35
38-36
34-30
23-42
33-30
23-32
32-47
28-34
28-26
31-35
135.5Avg total
61.7Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)65.079.6144.6-14.610%
Season at home (6)64.769.3134.0-4.717%
Season away (15)65.183.7148.8-18.57%
Last 10 (10)61.773.8135.5-12.10%
Last 5 (5)62.872.2135.0-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)64.380.2144.6-15.94%
vs Similar (2)72.078.0150.0-6.050%
vs Weaker (1)85.062.0147.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#352
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H04/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A09/01
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A10/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
57-62 OT
57
62
-5
H17/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H19/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A23/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H25/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-18
40-43
32-28
35-46
34-31
40-29
26-39
32-21
32-32
38-37
26-18
29-37
42-28
37-33
27-28
34-29
26-28
35-31
41-25
29-26
129.3Avg total
67.9Scored
61.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)66.564.7131.1+1.850%
Season at home (10)74.959.4134.3+15.580%
Season away (12)59.469.1128.5-9.725%
Last 10 (10)67.961.4129.3+6.570%
Last 5 (5)65.658.0123.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.074.5141.5-7.50%
vs Similar (16)61.965.5127.4-3.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)75.068.2143.2+6.864%
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.7-6.71st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.7-6.71st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: +1.7+1.7
Chicago StateMercyhurst Lakers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#143
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A17/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A20/12
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H03/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A10/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H17/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H20/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A24/01
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A25/01
NCAA
67.1Avg total
30.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.037.767.7-7.727%-
Last 30 at home (10)32.733.966.6-1.240%-
Last 30 away (20)28.739.668.3-10.920%-
Last 10 (10)30.236.967.1-6.730%-
Last 5 (5)32.033.665.6-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)29.137.967.0-8.722%-
vs Similar (2)33.537.571.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker (1)47.034.081.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#352
W
42-18
42
18
+24
H20/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H04/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A09/01
NCAA
Wagner
#249
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A10/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
26-18
26
18
+8
H17/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H19/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A23/01
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H25/01
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H30/01
NCAA
60.3Avg total
32.8Scored
27.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.529.662.1+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.625.161.6+11.586%-
Last 30 away (16)28.933.662.6-4.725%-
Last 10 (10)32.827.560.3+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)32.425.457.8+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.536.069.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (16)28.930.759.6-1.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)36.528.164.6+8.573%-
This opponent (Chicago State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chicago State wins
2
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
Chicago Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/26AMercyhurst Lakers59-61
24/01/26ASt. Francis (PA)60-81
20/01/26HNew Haven Chargers56-62
17/01/26HLe Moyne57-72
10/01/26AStonehill82-85 OT
08/01/26AFairleigh Dickinson63-70
04/01/26HLIU Sharks55-74
03/01/26HWagner72-79
20/12/25AIndiana58-78
17/12/25ABowling Green55-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26HNew Haven Chargers70-51
25/01/26HChicago State61-59
23/01/26ANew Haven Chargers61-57
19/01/26HCentral Connecticut State79-61
17/01/26HStonehill57-62 OT
10/01/26AWagner70-69
09/01/26ALIU Sharks58-60
04/01/26HLe Moyne74-60
03/01/26HFairleigh Dickinson67-74
20/12/25HBinghamton82-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chicago State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21615
Win %10%17%7%
Points / game65.064.765.1
Allowed / game79.669.383.7
Point differential-14.6-4.7-18.5
Avg total144.6134.0148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%7%
Mercyhurst Lakers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %50%80%25%
Points / game66.574.959.4
Allowed / game64.759.469.1
Point differential+1.8+15.5-9.7
Avg total131.1134.3128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%70%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LIU Sharks2113862%74.975.0-0.1
2 Central Connecticut State2011955%75.671.0+4.5
3 Mercyhurst Lakers22111150%66.564.7+1.8
4 Le Moyne23111248%73.173.8-0.7
5 Stonehill23101343%67.168.3-1.2
6 New Haven Chargers2191243%64.166.9-2.8
7 Wagner2071335%72.873.5-0.8
8 Fairleigh Dickinson2371630%68.771.7-3.0
9 St. Francis (PA)2061430%70.180.5-10.4
10 Chicago State2121910%65.079.6-14.6
11 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.098.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Chicago State354378
Mercyhurst Lakers304474
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