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China vs Guam Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 101-53
21-17 24-10 27-15 29-11
Position#2
Record1-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game62.5
China 🏆
vs
Guam
Position#14
Record6-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game68.1
EuropeAsia Cup· Hefei Olympic Sports Center Stadium
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

China winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guam winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChina
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#6
W
89-69
89
69
+20
no box
A28/09
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#12
W
95-50
95
50
+45
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
84-70
84
70
+14
no box
H03/10
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
76-77
76
77
-1
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
W
101-73
101
73
+28
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Mongolia
#15
W
80-49
80
49
+31
82avg 69
H22/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
73-76
73
76
-3
69avg 69
A25/02
Asia Cup
Sacramento Kings
#4
L
50-101
50
101
-51
no box
A07/07
California Classic
Charlotte Hornets
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
66avg 69
A08/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#5
L
67-89
67
89
-22
76avg 69
H10/07
California Classic
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
19-15
28-26
19-16
22-10
23-2
23-21
27-17
20-12
30-17
16-15
18-26
19-17
29-13
14-20
14-27
21-29
25-20
34-10
21-14
20-12
19-17
20-7
21-13
20-19
18-19
13-17
22-21
18-31
11-21
7-25
14-24
9-26
18-17
19-21
16-29
20-29
24-18
7-17
16-25
152.4Avg total
77.7Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.562.5139.0+14.050%
Season at home (1)80.049.0129.0+31.0100%
Season away (1)73.076.0149.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)77.774.7152.4+3.050%
Last 5 (5)66.481.6148.0-15.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.490.5153.9-27.112%
vs Similar (4)82.093.0175.0-11.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.265.7150.8+19.589%
This opponent (Guam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuamLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuam
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#22
W
112-66
112
66
+46
no box
A15/06
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#16
W
77-72
77
72
+5
no box
H26/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#16
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A28/08
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
82-59
82
59
+23
no box
A10/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
67-64
67
64
+3
no box
H11/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A24/02
Asia Cup
Malaysia
#17
W
75-64
75
64
+11
no box
A25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
L
56-77
56
77
-21
35avg 49
A22/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
74-63
74
63
+11
64avg 49
A25/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-8
33-18
21-19
28-21
16-25
22-20
19-9
20-18
22-16
19-27
22-26
14-16
18-11
16-15
26-10
22-23
19-21
20-11
16-10
12-22
17-17
21-21
13-14
24-17
16-17
17-17
25-13
17-17
15-26
24-17
26-22
17-16
12-17
24-18
8-20
12-22
21-13
18-19
19-16
16-15
147.7Avg total
77.7Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.068.1141.1+4.986%
Season at home (2)74.572.5147.0+2.0100%
Season away (5)72.466.4138.8+6.080%
Last 10 (10)77.770.0147.7+7.780%
Last 5 (5)72.470.8143.2+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)72.470.8143.2+1.680%
vs Similar (1)94.0113.0207.0-19.00%
vs Weaker (6)86.371.5157.8+14.883%
This opponent (China) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
ChinaGuam
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#6
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A28/09
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#12
W
45-12
45
12
+33
H30/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H03/10
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A04/10
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A06/10
Asian Games
Mongolia
#15
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H22/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/02
Asia Cup
Sacramento Kings
#4
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A07/07
California Classic
Charlotte Hornets
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A08/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H10/07
California Classic
76.4Avg total
40.8Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.237.178.3+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.434.078.4+10.467%-
Last 30 away (18)39.139.278.3-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.835.676.4+5.250%-
Last 5 (5)35.441.877.2-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.246.078.2-13.80%-
vs Similar (4)41.844.886.5-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.131.476.6+13.783%-
This opponent (Guam) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hong Kong
#22
W
63-26
63
26
+37
A15/06
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#16
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H26/08
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A28/08
Asia Cup
Singapore
#28
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A10/11
Asia Cup
Hong Kong
#26
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H11/11
Asia Cup
Thailand
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/02
Asia Cup
Malaysia
#17
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H26/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A22/02
Asia Cup
Mongolia
#15
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A25/02
Asia Cup
75.4Avg total
40.0Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)41.737.579.2+4.250%-
Last 30 at home (5)43.243.286.4+0.040%-
Last 30 away (7)40.633.474.0+7.157%-
Last 10 (10)40.035.475.4+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.473.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.036.473.4+0.640%-
vs Similar (1)43.056.099.0-13.00%-
vs Weaker (6)45.335.380.7+10.067%-
This opponent (China) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.3 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.7
47.5%
49.3%37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.55.5
25.6%
32.7%16.5
🏀 Free throws18.313.3
72.7%
70.1%13.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guamtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guam: 66.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.519.0
39.2%
49.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.06.5
34.2%
32.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws14.59.0
62.1%
70.1%9.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/2 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
China
LLLLWWLWWW
Guam
WLWWWWWLWW
#2
League position
#14
-16.7
Net rating
-5.7
89.7
Offensive rating
84.5
106.3
Defensive rating
90.3
44.2%
Effective FG%
42.6%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
23.0%
Turnover %
20.8%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
25.6%
3-point %
34.2%
60.7%
Assist %
41.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence89.7 · 84.5Defence106.3 · 90.3Shooting44.2% · 42.6%3-point %25.6% · 34.2%Ball care23.0% · 20.8%Off. rebounds31.7% · 24.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ China   ■ Guam
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
China wins
0
Guam wins
No previous meetings.
Chinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/07/24HSan Antonio Spurs67-89
08/07/24ACharlotte Hornets62-93
07/07/24ASacramento Kings50-101
25/02/24AJapan73-76
22/02/24HMongolia80-49
06/10/23AChinese Taipei101-73
04/10/23APhilippines76-77
03/10/23HSouth Korea84-70
30/09/23HHong Kong95-50
28/09/23AChinese Taipei89-69
Guamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24AMongolia74-63
22/02/24AJapan56-77
26/02/23HMongolia82-81
25/02/23AMalaysia75-64
24/02/23AThailand75-69
11/11/22HHong Kong67-64
10/11/22ASingapore82-59
28/08/21AChinese Taipei77-85
26/08/21HChinese Taipei77-72
15/06/21AHong Kong112-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

China
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.580.073.0
Allowed / game62.549.076.0
Point differential+14.0+31.0-3.0
Avg total139.0129.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guam
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %86%100%80%
Points / game73.074.572.4
Allowed / game68.172.566.4
Point differential+4.9+2.0+6.0
Avg total141.1147.0138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%0%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philippines220100%100.058.5+41.5
2 Australia220100%95.561.0+34.5
3 New Zealand220100%88.559.0+29.5
4 Jordan220100%76.055.0+21.0
5 Lebanon220100%90.570.5+20.0
6 Iran220100%81.063.5+17.5
7 Japan330100%82.068.0+14.0
8 Kazakhstan220100%68.059.0+9.0
9 Guam76186%73.068.1+4.9
10 Thailand97278%87.873.2+14.6
11 Iraq75271%77.773.7+4.0
12 South Korea32167%84.375.0+9.3
13 China21150%76.562.5+14.0
14 Syria21150%78.075.0+3.0
15 Mongolia105550%79.578.7+0.8
16 Saudi Arabia21150%64.068.5-4.5
17 Bahrain21150%66.579.0-12.5
18 United Arab Emirates73443%66.466.7-0.3
19 Palestine73443%68.969.6-0.7
20 Qatar73443%65.166.7-1.6
21 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
22 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
23 Chinese Taipei31233%69.083.3-14.3
24 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
25 Hong Kong82625%66.878.4-11.6
26 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
27 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
28 India2020%51.574.5-23.0
29 Indonesia3030%61.788.3-26.7
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
China21242729101
Guam1710151153
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