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Japan vs China Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 76-73
19-20 19-18 17-13 21-22
Position#6
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game56.0
Japan 🏆
vs
China
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game49.0
EuropeAsia Cup· Ariake Coliseum
Other2023
Meetings · Japan v China
26 Feb 2026
JAPA80
CHIN87
25 Feb 2024
JAPA76
CHIN73
28 Nov 2021
JAPA73
CHIN106
16 Jun 2021
JAPA57
CHIN66
27 Sep 2014
JAPA79
CHIN72
14 Jul 2014
JAPA66
CHIN79
20 Sep 2012
JAPA60
CHIN50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Japan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
China winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJapan
Date
Competition
Australia
#5
L
89-109
89
109
-20
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H31/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
80-71
80
71
+9
no box
H02/09
World Cup
Qatar
#11
W
95-63
95
63
+32
no box
H26/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
W
70-57
70
57
+13
no box
A28/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
no box
H03/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
55-74
55
74
-19
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Guam
#14
W
77-56
77
56
+21
74avg 74
H22/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
18-32
35-30
19-22
15-19
21-22
17-21
33-15
17-19
33-18
23-18
7-16
33-13
23-21
18-7
21-22
21-15
17-19
14-16
18-7
23-17
20-20
18-16
22-24
12-28
13-15
18-23
23-19
23-19
13-27
19-19
19-14
18-19
7-22
18-18
12-15
17-12
18-24
20-8
22-12
152.3Avg total
77.5Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)77.056.0133.0+21.0100%
Season at home (1)77.056.0133.0+21.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.574.8152.3+2.760%
Last 5 (5)71.074.2145.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)69.088.0157.0-19.014%
vs Similar (8)77.687.6165.2-10.025%
vs Weaker (15)87.164.5151.5+22.693%
This opponent (China) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChina
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico
#10
L
89-107
89
107
-18
no box
H30/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
A31/08
World Cup
Philippines
#44
L
75-96
75
96
-21
no box
A02/09
World Cup
Mongolia
#14
W
89-50
89
50
+39
no box
H26/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
W
89-69
89
69
+20
no box
A28/09
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#12
W
95-50
95
50
+45
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
84-70
84
70
+14
no box
H03/10
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
76-77
76
77
-1
no box
A04/10
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
W
101-73
101
73
+28
no box
A06/10
Asian Games
Mongolia
#15
W
80-49
80
49
+31
82avg 62
H22/02
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
21-29
32-26
20-29
24-27
21-18
24-14
14-17
16-16
24-23
11-34
24-23
20-19
24-9
21-12
24-10
23-12
19-15
28-26
19-16
22-10
23-2
23-21
27-17
20-12
30-17
16-15
18-26
19-17
29-13
14-20
14-27
21-29
25-20
34-10
21-14
20-12
19-17
20-7
21-13
157.8Avg total
86.1Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.049.0129.0+31.0100%
Season at home (1)80.049.0129.0+31.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.171.7157.8+14.470%
Last 5 (5)87.263.8151.0+23.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.684.0147.6-20.414%
vs Similar (5)86.889.0175.8-2.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.364.7151.0+21.794%
This opponent (Japan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +7.2+7.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +7.2+7.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
JapanChina
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JapanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Australia
#5
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A29/08
World Cup
Venezuela
#43
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H31/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H02/09
World Cup
Qatar
#11
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H26/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A28/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H30/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H03/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A04/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A06/10
Asian Games
Guam
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H22/02
Asia Cup
78.5Avg total
37.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.278.9-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.638.377.9+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)37.942.179.9-4.227%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.678.5-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)32.840.673.4-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.746.178.9-13.414%-
vs Similar (8)32.446.478.8-14.00%-
vs Weaker (15)44.934.179.0+10.967%-
This opponent (China) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico
#10
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H30/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A31/08
World Cup
Philippines
#44
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A02/09
World Cup
Mongolia
#14
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H26/09
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A28/09
Asian Games
Hong Kong
#12
W
45-12
45
12
+33
H30/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H03/10
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A04/10
Asian Games
Chinese Taipei
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A06/10
Asian Games
Mongolia
#15
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H22/02
Asia Cup
77.6Avg total
43.6Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.935.877.7+6.163%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.133.076.1+10.169%-
Last 30 away (17)41.037.978.9+3.159%-
Last 10 (10)43.634.077.6+9.670%-
Last 5 (5)45.629.875.4+15.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.642.774.3-11.10%-
vs Similar (5)44.041.685.6+2.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.331.476.8+13.989%-
This opponent (Japan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Japantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.014.0
50.0%
49.3%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.012.0
26.7%
32.7%36.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
70.1%13.0
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 45.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 62% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China: 67.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.7 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.3
50.4%
49.3%42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.74.0
22.6%
32.7%12.0
🏀 Free throws19.313.0
67.2%
70.1%13.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/3 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Japan
WLLLWWWWWL
China
WWLWWWWLWL
#6
League position
#2
+28.5
Net rating
-8.7
95.5
Offensive rating
92.9
66.9
Defensive rating
101.6
43.8%
Effective FG%
45.6%
30.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
16.0%
Turnover %
22.6%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.32
26.7%
3-point %
22.6%
80.8%
Assist %
69.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 92.9Defence66.9 · 101.6Shooting43.8% · 45.6%3-point %26.7% · 22.6%Ball care16.0% · 22.6%Off. rebounds26.1% · 33.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Japan   ■ China
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Japan wins
5
China wins
DateGameScore
28/11/21Japan v China73-106
27/11/21China v Japan79-63
19/06/21China v Japan90-84
16/06/21Japan v China57-66
27/09/14Japan v China79-72
14/07/14Japan v China66-79
20/09/12Japan v China60-50
Japanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HGuam77-56
06/10/23ASouth Korea55-74
04/10/23ASaudi Arabia74-79
03/10/23HChinese Taipei66-85
30/09/23HSouth Korea83-77
28/09/23AIndonesia70-57
26/09/23HQatar95-63
02/09/23HCape Verde80-71
31/08/23HVenezuela86-77
29/08/23AAustralia89-109
Chinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HMongolia80-49
06/10/23AChinese Taipei101-73
04/10/23APhilippines76-77
03/10/23HSouth Korea84-70
30/09/23HHong Kong95-50
28/09/23AChinese Taipei89-69
26/09/23HMongolia89-50
02/09/23APhilippines75-96
31/08/23AAngola83-76
30/08/23HPuerto Rico89-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Japan
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game77.077.0-
Allowed / game56.056.0-
Point differential+21.0+21.0-
Avg total133.0133.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
China
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game49.049.0-
Point differential+31.0+31.0-
Avg total129.0129.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 China110100%80.049.0+31.0
2 Philippines110100%94.064.0+30.0
3 New Zealand220100%88.559.0+29.5
4 Jordan110100%73.046.0+27.0
5 Japan110100%77.056.0+21.0
6 Australia110100%85.071.0+14.0
7 Kazakhstan110100%63.050.0+13.0
8 Lebanon110100%87.078.0+9.0
9 Bahrain110100%70.064.0+6.0
10 Saudi Arabia110100%64.058.0+6.0
11 Iran110100%76.074.0+2.0
12 Thailand87188%91.070.4+20.6
13 Guam65183%72.869.0+3.8
14 Iraq64267%78.274.0+4.2
15 Mongolia85362%82.177.5+4.6
16 United Arab Emirates63350%67.064.8+2.2
17 Palestine63350%68.368.7-0.3
18 Qatar63350%64.765.7-1.0
19 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
20 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
21 Hong Kong72529%68.477.4-9.0
22 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
23 Syria1010%78.087.0-9.0
24 India1010%50.063.0-13.0
25 South Korea1010%71.085.0-14.0
26 Indonesia1010%56.073.0-17.0
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Chinese Taipei1010%69.089.0-20.0
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Japan1919172176
China2018132273
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