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China W vs Serbia W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 59-81
17-23 22-22 11-17 9-19
Position#6
Record2-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game72.0
China W
vs
Serbia W 🏆
Position#9
Record2-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game67.0
EuropeOlympic Games Women· Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Women2024
Meetings · China W v Serbia W
31 Jul 2024
CHIN59
SERB81
04 Aug 2021
CHIN70
SERB77
04 Oct 2014
CHIN85
SERB69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

China W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Serbia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

China WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Mongolia W
#10
W
101-46
101
46
+55
no box
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
101-52
101
52
+49
no box
A29/09
Asian Games Women
India W
#6
W
111-53
111
53
+58
no box
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
104-60
104
60
+44
no box
H02/10
Asian Games Women
North Korea W
#4
W
100-44
100
44
+56
no box
A03/10
Asian Games Women
Japan W
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
H05/10
Asian Games Women
New Zealand W
#18
W
94-47
94
47
+47
97avg 77
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
50-82
50
82
-32
43avg 77
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
105-69
105
69
+36
114avg 77
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
98avg 77
A28/07
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
30-11
21-14
20-6
18-6
22-12
31-16
30-18
38-7
20-19
32-13
21-14
22-24
25-7
31-17
26-12
22-6
26-21
29-11
23-6
26-16
19-24
12-11
17-21
22-12
31-10
24-12
17-13
10-17
14-27
12-26
14-12
24-11
30-23
33-8
18-27
22-13
15-20
22-20
17-23
154.4Avg total
92.9Scored
61.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.572.0156.5+12.550%
Season at home (1)94.047.0141.0+47.0100%
Season away (3)81.380.3161.7+1.033%
Last 10 (10)92.961.5154.4+31.480%
Last 5 (5)82.472.0154.4+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.878.2140.0-16.525%
vs Similar (1)74.060.0134.0+14.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)92.460.6153.0+31.892%
This opponent (Serbia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Serbia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Great Britain W
#21
W
66-60
66
60
+6
no box
H20/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
L
53-93
53
93
-40
no box
A22/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
W
63-58
63
58
+5
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
W
78-62
78
62
+16
no box
A25/06
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#24
W
82-40
82
40
+42
83avg 65
H09/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#34
W
103-60
103
60
+43
102avg 65
A12/11
European Championship Women
Germany W
#5
L
66-73
66
73
-7
45avg 65
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Brazil W
#15
W
72-65
72
65
+7
63avg 65
H10/02
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
73-75
73
75
-2
60avg 65
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
58-55
58
55
+3
45avg 65
H28/07
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-10
16-18
16-14
21-18
8-28
23-21
14-22
8-22
19-16
19-15
15-12
10-15
25-15
22-19
15-9
16-19
26-8
23-10
17-8
16-14
30-12
21-16
28-18
24-14
12-19
9-17
25-17
20-20
23-20
16-18
17-16
16-11
22-12
12-23
14-16
25-24
23-15
20-11
12-10
3-19
135.5Avg total
71.4Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.267.0134.2+0.250%
Season at home (3)67.765.0132.7+2.767%
Season away (1)66.073.0139.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)71.464.1135.5+7.370%
Last 5 (5)74.465.6140.0+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)65.676.6142.2-11.030%
vs Similar (4)69.570.0139.5-0.550%
vs Weaker (16)78.160.2138.2+17.9100%
This opponent (China W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +10.7+10.7Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +9.9+9.9Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: +10.7+10.7Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +9.9+9.9Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
China WSerbia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
China WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mongolia W
#10
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
40-18
40
18
+22
A29/09
Asian Games Women
India W
#6
W
58-26
58
26
+32
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H02/10
Asian Games Women
North Korea W
#4
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A03/10
Asian Games Women
Japan W
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H05/10
Asian Games Women
New Zealand W
#18
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A28/07
Olympic Games Women
76.7Avg total
46.6Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.631.675.2+12.083%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.832.176.9+12.682%-
Last 30 away (13)42.030.972.9+11.185%-
Last 10 (10)46.630.176.7+16.590%-
Last 5 (5)42.634.677.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.041.568.5-14.50%-
vs Similar (1)35.032.067.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)46.630.076.6+16.696%-
This opponent (Serbia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Serbia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain W
#21
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H20/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A22/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H24/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A25/06
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#24
W
49-18
49
18
+31
H09/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#34
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A12/11
European Championship Women
Germany W
#5
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Brazil W
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H10/02
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H28/07
Olympic Games Women
70.5Avg total
38.2Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.834.072.8+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.331.773.0+9.580%-
Last 30 away (15)36.336.372.6-0.160%-
Last 10 (10)38.232.370.5+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)37.632.670.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)32.739.872.5-7.120%-
vs Similar (4)35.035.270.2-0.275%-
vs Weaker (16)43.530.173.6+13.4100%-
This opponent (China W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
China Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China W: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.921.6
50.4%
45.1%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.0
36.4%
30.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.113.5
78.8%
74.5%13.5
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Serbia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Serbia W: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.7 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.223.8
47.5%
45.1%47.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.74.8
23.4%
30.1%14.5
🏀 Free throws18.312.8
70.0%
74.5%12.8
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/6 games with a box score before 31 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
China W
LWLWWWWWWW
Serbia W
WLWLWWWWLW
#6
League position
#9
+23.6
Net rating
+19.4
109.6
Offensive rating
97.0
86.0
Defensive rating
77.6
51.8%
Effective FG%
43.9%
40.7%
Opp. effective FG%
40.4%
18.9%
Turnover %
18.0%
36.6%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.4%
3-point %
23.4%
81.0%
Assist %
64.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 97.0Defence86.0 · 77.6Shooting51.8% · 43.9%3-point %36.4% · 23.4%Ball care18.9% · 18.0%Off. rebounds36.6% · 35.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ China W   ■ Serbia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
China W wins
3
Serbia W wins
DateGameScore
04/08/21China W v Serbia W70-77
12/08/16Serbia W v China W80-72
04/10/14China W v Serbia W85-69
30/09/14Serbia W v China W65-63
China Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/07/24ASpain W89-90 OT
11/02/24APuerto Rico W105-69
10/02/24AFrance W50-82
08/02/24HNew Zealand W94-47
05/10/23HJapan W74-72
03/10/23ANorth Korea W100-44
02/10/23HChinese Taipei W104-60
01/10/23HIndia W111-53
29/09/23AIndonesia W101-52
27/09/23HMongolia W101-46
Serbia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/07/24HPuerto Rico W58-55
11/02/24HAustralia W73-75
10/02/24HBrazil W72-65
08/02/24AGermany W66-73
12/11/23ANorth Macedonia W103-60
09/11/23HUkraine W82-40
25/06/23AGermany W78-62
24/06/23HMontenegro W63-58
22/06/23ABelgium W53-93
20/06/23HGreat Britain W66-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

China W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game84.594.081.3
Allowed / game72.047.080.3
Point differential+12.5+47.0+1.0
Avg total156.5141.0161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%33%
Serbia W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game67.267.766.0
Allowed / game67.065.073.0
Point differential+0.2+2.7-7.0
Avg total134.2132.7139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W440100%84.845.8+39.0
2 USA W440100%96.060.0+36.0
3 Spain W54180%72.272.8-0.6
4 Australia W43175%70.563.8+6.8
5 Germany W43175%70.272.8-2.5
6 Canada W74357%69.462.3+7.1
7 China W42250%84.572.0+12.5
8 Belgium W42250%80.872.8+8.0
9 Serbia W42250%67.267.0+0.2
10 Japan W42250%80.885.0-4.2
11 Nigeria W42250%63.576.2-12.8
12 Puerto Rico W83538%63.574.2-10.8
13 Hungary W31233%69.371.7-2.3
14 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
15 Brazil W3030%63.768.3-4.7
16 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
17 Senegal W3030%56.790.0-33.3
18 New Zealand W3030%51.085.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
China W172211959
Serbia W2322171981
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