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Spain W vs China W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 90-89 (OT)
13-22 20-15 20-22 23-17 14-13
Position#4
Record2-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game71.0
Spain W 🏆
vs
China W
Position#6
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game66.0
EuropeOlympic Games Women· Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Women2024
Meetings · Spain W v China W
28 Jul 2024
SPAI90
CHIN89
08 Feb 2020
SPAI62
CHIN64
03 Oct 2014
SPAI71
CHIN55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spain W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
China W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spain WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Montenegro W
#16
W
78-57
78
57
+21
no box
H16/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
W
76-60
76
60
+16
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
W
67-42
67
42
+25
no box
H22/06
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
W
69-60
69
60
+9
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
L
58-64
58
64
-6
no box
H25/06
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
W
70-65
70
65
+5
73avg 67
A09/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
75-34
75
34
+41
78avg 67
H12/11
European Championship Women
Japan W
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
70avg 67
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
60-55
60
55
+5
47avg 67
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
W
73-72
73
72
+1
65avg 67
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
23-15
10-22
26-6
20-18
15-9
20-22
21-11
20-7
13-9
20-13
14-13
18-14
20-14
12-18
19-14
17-13
15-12
16-18
10-21
16-19
16-15
15-11
23-20
20-9
23-8
15-8
17-9
18-26
18-20
21-23
18-17
16-12
20-13
9-23
15-7
19-24
8-22
23-18
23-8
129.6Avg total
70.1Scored
59.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.371.0140.3-1.767%
Season at home (2)74.079.0153.0-5.050%
Season away (1)60.055.0115.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.159.5129.6+10.680%
Last 5 (5)70.662.4133.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)63.666.4130.0-2.820%
vs Similar (4)66.064.5130.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (21)79.756.8136.4+22.990%
This opponent (China W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
China WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Japan W
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
H02/07
Asia Cup Women
Mongolia W
#10
W
101-46
101
46
+55
no box
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
101-52
101
52
+49
no box
A29/09
Asian Games Women
India W
#6
W
111-53
111
53
+58
no box
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
104-60
104
60
+44
no box
H02/10
Asian Games Women
North Korea W
#4
W
100-44
100
44
+56
no box
A03/10
Asian Games Women
Japan W
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
H05/10
Asian Games Women
New Zealand W
#18
W
94-47
94
47
+47
97avg 74
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
50-82
50
82
-32
43avg 74
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
105-69
105
69
+36
114avg 74
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
9-18
22-16
25-20
30-15
30-11
21-14
20-6
18-6
22-12
31-16
30-18
38-7
20-19
32-13
21-14
22-24
25-7
31-17
26-12
22-6
26-21
29-11
23-6
26-16
19-24
12-11
17-21
22-12
31-10
24-12
17-13
10-17
14-27
12-26
14-12
24-11
30-23
33-8
18-27
150.9Avg total
91.3Scored
59.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.066.0149.0+17.067%
Season at home (1)94.047.0141.0+47.0100%
Season away (2)77.575.5153.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)91.359.6150.9+31.790%
Last 5 (5)84.662.8147.4+21.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.878.2140.0-16.525%
vs Similar (1)74.060.0134.0+14.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)94.659.1153.7+35.596%
This opponent (Spain W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +9.8+9.8Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +10.3+10.3Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +6.2+6.2
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +9.8+9.8Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +10.3+10.3Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +6.2+6.2
Spain WChina W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spain WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro W
#16
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H16/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H18/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
W
33-16
33
16
+17
H22/06
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H24/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H25/06
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A09/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
43-17
43
17
+26
H12/11
European Championship Women
Japan W
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
64.7Avg total
35.4Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.928.665.5+8.473%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.329.267.6+9.172%-
Last 30 away (12)34.827.662.4+7.375%-
Last 10 (10)35.429.364.7+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)34.833.668.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)29.827.457.2+2.480%-
vs Similar (4)29.834.264.0-4.550%-
vs Weaker (21)40.027.867.8+12.276%-
This opponent (China W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
China WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Japan W
#2
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H02/07
Asia Cup Women
Mongolia W
#10
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
40-18
40
18
+22
A29/09
Asian Games Women
India W
#6
W
58-26
58
26
+32
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H02/10
Asian Games Women
North Korea W
#4
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A03/10
Asian Games Women
Japan W
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H05/10
Asian Games Women
New Zealand W
#18
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A10/02
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
75.8Avg total
45.5Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.631.576.1+13.283%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.131.978.1+14.283%-
Last 30 away (12)42.430.873.2+11.783%-
Last 10 (10)45.530.375.8+15.280%-
Last 5 (5)44.833.478.2+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.041.568.5-14.50%-
vs Similar (1)35.032.067.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)47.829.877.7+18.096%-
This opponent (Spain W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spain Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain W: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.622.0
44.4%
45.1%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.44.2
25.6%
30.1%12.6
🏀 Free throws17.613.2
75.0%
74.5%13.2
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
China Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

China W: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.7 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.621.9
50.2%
45.1%43.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.9
35.3%
30.1%23.6
🏀 Free throws15.712.3
78.2%
74.5%12.3
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/7 games with a box score before 28 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spain W
WWLWWLWWWW
China W
WLWWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#6
+10.5
Net rating
+27.4
93.7
Offensive rating
109.1
83.3
Defensive rating
81.6
42.9%
Effective FG%
51.1%
45.8%
Opp. effective FG%
39.3%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.2%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
25.6%
3-point %
35.3%
78.6%
Assist %
77.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 109.1Defence83.3 · 81.6Shooting42.9% · 51.1%3-point %25.6% · 35.3%Ball care16.2% · 17.2%Off. rebounds26.9% · 35.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Spain W   ■ China W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Spain W wins
1
China W wins
DateGameScore
08/02/20Spain W v China W62-64
10/08/16China W v Spain W68-89
14/06/16China W v Spain W43-77
03/10/14Spain W v China W71-55
Spain Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HHungary W73-72
09/02/24ACanada W60-55
08/02/24HJapan W75-86
12/11/23HAustria W75-34
09/11/23ACroatia W70-65
25/06/23HBelgium W58-64
24/06/23HHungary W69-60
22/06/23HGermany W67-42
18/06/23HGreece W76-60
16/06/23HMontenegro W78-57
China Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24APuerto Rico W105-69
10/02/24AFrance W50-82
08/02/24HNew Zealand W94-47
05/10/23HJapan W74-72
03/10/23ANorth Korea W100-44
02/10/23HChinese Taipei W104-60
01/10/23HIndia W111-53
29/09/23AIndonesia W101-52
27/09/23HMongolia W101-46
02/07/23HJapan W73-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spain W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game69.374.060.0
Allowed / game71.079.055.0
Point differential-1.7-5.0+5.0
Avg total140.3153.0115.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
China W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game83.094.077.5
Allowed / game66.047.075.5
Point differential+17.0+47.0+2.0
Avg total149.0141.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W330100%88.043.0+45.0
2 USA W330100%94.054.7+39.3
3 Australia W330100%73.360.0+13.3
4 China W32167%83.066.0+17.0
5 Belgium W32167%84.769.3+15.3
6 Canada W64267%72.060.2+11.8
7 Japan W32167%82.379.3+3.0
8 Spain W32167%69.371.0-1.7
9 Germany W32167%66.074.0-8.0
10 Puerto Rico W63350%65.278.8-13.7
11 Serbia W31233%70.371.0-0.7
12 Hungary W31233%69.371.7-2.3
13 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
14 Nigeria W31233%59.781.0-21.3
15 Brazil W3030%63.768.3-4.7
16 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
17 Senegal W3030%56.790.0-33.3
18 New Zealand W3030%51.085.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Spain W132020231490
China W221522171389
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