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Chiusi vs Luiss Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 89-76
21-17 26-23 21-19 21-17
Position#18
Record13-23
FormWWLWL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Position#22
Record11-25
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game84.4
ItalySerie A2Round 1· Pala Pania
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiusi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Luiss Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChiusiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiusi
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
70-71
70
71
-1
56avg 59
H17/03
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
88-84
88
84
+4
75avg 59
A24/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
68-71
68
71
-3
60avg 59
H31/03
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
81-56
81
56
+25
76avg 59
A07/04
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
79-71
79
71
+8
70avg 59
H14/04
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
99-88
99
88
+11
95avg 59
A21/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
91-64
91
64
+27
86avg 59
A08/05
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
47-62
47
62
-15
39avg 59
A12/05
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
87-77
87
77
+10
76avg 59
H15/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
82avg 59
H19/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-11
10-16
14-23
28-21
23-16
20-19
25-19
20-30
14-20
15-9
9-20
30-22
13-21
20-14
26-11
22-10
17-15
25-10
20-18
17-28
21-24
28-26
26-20
24-18
27-17
25-10
21-20
18-17
16-20
9-16
16-10
6-16
18-14
21-25
23-18
25-20
25-15
22-18
7-24
22-19
153.9Avg total
80.1Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)69.773.6143.3-4.036%
Season at home (18)69.072.8141.8-3.839%
Season away (18)70.374.4144.8-4.133%
Last 10 (10)80.173.8153.9+6.360%
Last 5 (5)83.077.0160.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)67.275.5142.8-8.217%
vs Similar (16)73.474.1147.5-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)86.060.0146.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luiss RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Udine
#6
L
62-76
62
76
-14
54avg 69
A14/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
68-88
68
88
-20
57avg 69
H23/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
77-89
77
89
-12
61avg 69
A30/03
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
56-81
56
81
-25
40avg 69
H07/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
64-88
64
88
-24
48avg 69
A14/04
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
93-94
93
94
-1
86avg 69
H21/04
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
89-87
89
87
+2
79avg 69
H08/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
85-61
85
61
+24
82avg 69
H12/05
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
85-88
85
88
-3
74avg 69
A15/05
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
65-67
65
67
-2
59avg 69
A19/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
15-17
9-20
17-23
13-18
27-23
10-21
18-26
21-23
23-19
22-27
11-20
21-13
14-20
11-26
10-22
15-32
11-13
21-18
17-25
20-27
20-19
29-20
24-28
13-18
24-25
30-13
22-31
14-13
28-13
21-25
22-10
16-24
29-27
20-14
20-23
9-21
18-19
21-11
17-16
156.3Avg total
74.4Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)77.884.4162.1-6.631%
Season at home (18)78.482.6161.0-4.139%
Season away (18)77.186.2163.3-9.122%
Last 10 (10)74.481.9156.3-7.520%
Last 5 (5)83.479.4162.8+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.587.0163.6-10.515%
vs Similar (10)82.479.0161.4+3.460%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chiusi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -4.6-4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -4.6-4.6
ChiusiLuiss Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChiusiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H17/03
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A24/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H31/03
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A07/04
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H14/04
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A21/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
52-27
52
27
+25
A08/05
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A12/05
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H15/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H19/05
Serie A2
72.3Avg total
38.7Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.937.071.8-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.435.468.9-2.038%-
Last 30 away (14)36.538.775.2-2.229%-
Last 10 (10)38.733.672.3+5.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.079.4+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.838.371.2-5.58%-
vs Similar (16)35.436.772.1-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)42.531.073.5+11.550%-
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luiss RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A14/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H23/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A30/03
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H07/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A14/04
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H21/04
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H08/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H12/05
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A15/05
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A19/05
Serie A2
77.2Avg total
37.2Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.381.4-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.139.479.6+0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)39.943.583.4-3.650%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.077.2-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.279.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.842.882.5-3.040%-
vs Similar (10)40.638.479.0+2.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chiusi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chiusitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiusi: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.2
49.8%
50.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.6
31.7%
34.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.715.1
72.9%
74.2%15.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Luiss Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luiss Roma: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.415.5
49.4%
50.3%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.17.3
26.9%
34.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws24.018.1
75.4%
74.2%18.1
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiusi
LWLWWWWLWL
Luiss Roma
LLWWLLLLLL
#18
League position
#22
+8.8
Net rating
-13.3
102.4
Offensive rating
98.3
93.6
Defensive rating
111.6
48.9%
Effective FG%
45.2%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
18.2%
Turnover %
15.8%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.41
31.7%
3-point %
26.9%
50.7%
Assist %
50.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 98.3Defence93.6 · 111.6Shooting48.9% · 45.2%3-point %31.7% · 26.9%Ball care18.2% · 15.8%Off. rebounds27.8% · 23.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Chiusi   ■ Luiss Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Chiusi wins
0
Luiss Roma wins
DateGameScore
07/04/24Luiss Roma v Chiusi56-81
Chiusilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/24HAgrigento91-94 OT
15/05/24HNardo87-77
12/05/24ACento47-62
08/05/24ALatina91-64
21/04/24AMonferrato99-88
14/04/24HTrapani79-71
07/04/24ALuiss Roma81-56
31/03/24HSebastiani Rieti68-71
24/03/24AAgrigento88-84
17/03/24HJuVi Cremona70-71
Luiss Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/24ALatina65-67
15/05/24ACento85-88
12/05/24HAgrigento85-61
08/05/24HNardo89-87
21/04/24HNardo93-94
14/04/24ARimini64-88
07/04/24HChiusi56-81
30/03/24AVerona77-89
23/03/24HCividale68-88
14/03/24AUdine62-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiusi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL36%
HomeLLWWL39%
AwayWWWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %36%39%33%
Points / game69.769.070.3
Allowed / game73.672.874.4
Point differential-4.0-3.8-4.1
Avg total143.3141.8144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%11%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)44% (9)50% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Luiss Roma
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL31%
HomeLLLWW39%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %31%39%22%
Points / game77.878.477.1
Allowed / game84.482.686.2
Point differential-6.6-4.1-9.1
Avg total162.1161.0163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%6%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)50% (8)40% (5)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani3834489%87.175.6+11.4
2 Forli3829976%78.873.6+5.3
3 Cantu38281074%83.777.3+6.4
4 Fortitudo Bologna37271073%76.370.3+6.0
5 Udine37241365%77.871.0+6.8
6 Trieste37231462%81.277.6+3.6
7 Sebastiani Rieti37231462%79.576.6+2.9
8 Verona38231561%77.975.5+2.4
9 Basket Torino35201557%82.981.1+1.8
10 Rimini35181751%78.175.8+2.3
11 Cividale36181850%76.075.7+0.3
12 Cento37181949%75.677.5-1.9
13 Assigeco Piacenza36171947%77.876.9+0.9
14 Urania Milano36162044%82.584.7-2.2
15 Nardo37152241%75.679.9-4.4
16 Treviglio35142140%77.279.3-2.1
17 JuVi Cremona35142140%80.784.6-3.9
18 Chiusi36132336%69.773.6-4.0
19 Vigevano36122433%76.681.6-4.9
20 Orzinuovi32102231%75.378.3-2.9
21 Luiss Roma36112531%77.884.4-6.6
22 Agrigento37112630%75.281.4-6.3
23 Latina3792824%75.983.8-7.9
24 Monferrato3272522%79.485.0-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiusi2126212189
Luiss Roma1723191776
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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