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Verona vs Luiss Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 89-77
23-21 19-23 27-22 20-11
Position#8
Record17-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game73.8
Verona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#22
Record9-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game85.1
ItalySerie A2Round 29· PalaOlimpia
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Verona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Luiss Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Forli
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
58avg 69
A13/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
70-64
70
64
+6
66avg 69
H20/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
69-57
69
57
+12
68avg 69
A28/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
73-70 OT
73
70
+3
no box
H04/02
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
68-67
68
67
+1
62avg 69
H12/02
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
81-89
81
89
-8
78avg 69
A17/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
75-84
75
84
-9
66avg 69
H25/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
80-79
80
79
+1
76avg 69
A03/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
no box
H09/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
72avg 69
A25/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
22-14
21-20
13-21
20-13
17-20
16-15
17-16
18-15
21-13
19-12
11-17
23-17
11-23
16-21
16-5
17-20
23-10
11-24
17-13
26-24
24-16
6-28
25-21
21-11
13-30
21-23
20-20
15-14
21-18
25-24
19-23
25-16
22-21
19-15
13-27
14-23
14-11
17-18
24-22
149.5Avg total
74.2Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.173.8149.9+2.461%
Season at home (14)78.974.0152.9+4.971%
Season away (14)73.473.6146.9-0.250%
Last 10 (10)74.275.3149.5-1.150%
Last 5 (5)78.883.8162.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.778.0151.7-4.333%
vs Similar (18)76.975.1152.1+1.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)76.172.6148.7+3.667%
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luiss RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
72-81
72
81
-9
67avg 70
A14/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
84-80
84
80
+4
77avg 70
H20/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
72avg 70
A28/01
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
67-61
67
61
+6
64avg 70
H04/02
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
88-85
88
85
+3
76avg 70
A10/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
72-74 OT
72
74
-2
no box
H17/02
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
69avg 70
H03/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
81-95
81
95
-14
74avg 70
A09/03
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
62-76
62
76
-14
54avg 70
A14/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
68-88
68
88
-20
57avg 70
H23/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
23-23
13-17
17-23
23-21
20-25
13-18
28-16
21-15
14-23
26-25
17-19
29-24
9-12
11-7
18-18
20-26
15-26
24-18
29-15
19-10
15-18
17-21
12-14
20-22
15-23
27-22
17-14
15-24
23-19
30-34
13-18
21-16
15-17
9-20
17-23
13-18
27-23
10-21
18-26
155.4Avg total
75.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.185.1163.1-7.032%
Season at home (14)77.883.1160.9-5.336%
Season away (14)78.487.1165.4-8.729%
Last 10 (10)75.180.3155.4-5.230%
Last 5 (5)72.482.8155.2-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.687.8165.4-10.217%
vs Similar (10)78.980.1159.0-1.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Verona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
VeronaLuiss Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#2
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A13/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A28/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H04/02
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H12/02
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A17/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H25/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A03/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H09/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A25/03
Serie A2
72.9Avg total
37.9Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.936.574.4+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.337.577.9+2.853%-
Last 30 away (15)35.535.570.9+0.053%-
Last 10 (10)37.935.072.9+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.875.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.338.071.3-4.733%-
vs Similar (18)38.137.875.8+0.344%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.133.472.6+5.778%-
This opponent (Luiss Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luiss RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A14/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H20/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A28/01
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H04/02
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A10/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H17/02
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H03/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A09/03
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A14/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H23/03
Serie A2
77.9Avg total
37.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)40.742.282.9-1.546%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.740.180.9+0.643%-
Last 30 away (14)40.744.284.9-3.550%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.377.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.074.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.243.683.8-3.433%-
vs Similar (10)41.739.681.3+2.170%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Verona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.3
51.3%
50.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.6
32.5%
34.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.013.2
77.6%
74.2%13.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Luiss Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luiss Roma: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.115.0
51.5%
50.3%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.8
32.2%
34.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.117.1
77.4%
74.2%17.1
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Verona
LLWLLWWWWL
Luiss Roma
LLLLLWWLWL
#8
League position
#22
+0.5
Net rating
-6.4
101.3
Offensive rating
105.7
100.8
Defensive rating
112.0
50.3%
Effective FG%
49.9%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
19.7%
Turnover %
15.7%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.5%
3-point %
32.2%
58.4%
Assist %
58.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 105.7Defence100.8 · 112.0Shooting50.3% · 49.9%3-point %32.5% · 32.2%Ball care19.7% · 15.7%Off. rebounds26.4% · 24.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Verona   ■ Luiss Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Verona wins
0
Luiss Roma wins
No previous meetings.
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/24ACantu69-74
09/03/24HUrania Milano89-93 OT
03/03/24AMonferrato80-79
25/02/24HVigevano75-84
17/02/24ATrapani81-89
12/02/24HTreviglio68-67
04/02/24HFortitudo Bologna73-70 OT
28/01/24ANardo69-57
20/01/24HAssigeco Piacenza70-64
13/01/24AForli68-76
Luiss Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HCividale68-88
14/03/24AUdine62-76
09/03/24AAssigeco Piacenza81-95
03/03/24HForli79-81
17/02/24HOrzinuovi72-74 OT
10/02/24ATrieste88-85
04/02/24HTreviglio67-61
28/01/24ATrapani78-82
20/01/24HUrania Milano84-80
14/01/24ASebastiani Rieti72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Verona
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL61%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%71%50%
Points / game76.178.973.4
Allowed / game73.874.073.6
Point differential+2.4+4.9-0.2
Avg total149.9152.9146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)40% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %14%21%7%
Luiss Roma
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL32%
HomeWWLLL36%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %32%36%29%
Points / game78.177.878.4
Allowed / game85.183.187.1
Point differential-7.0-5.3-8.7
Avg total163.1160.9165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2725293%89.376.5+12.8
2 Forli2924583%79.272.6+6.7
3 Fortitudo Bologna2720774%76.671.6+5.0
4 Udine2921872%78.869.8+9.0
5 Basket Torino2820871%84.980.8+4.1
6 Cantu2920969%86.079.9+6.1
7 Sebastiani Rieti28171161%81.178.0+3.1
8 Verona28171161%76.173.8+2.4
9 Trieste28161257%80.278.8+1.4
10 Rimini28141450%77.876.1+1.7
11 Urania Milano28141450%82.484.0-1.6
12 Cividale29141548%75.575.1+0.4
13 Assigeco Piacenza28131546%77.476.1+1.3
14 Cento28131546%74.777.7-3.0
15 JuVi Cremona29131645%82.984.4-1.6
16 Treviglio28121643%79.079.5-0.5
17 Vigevano28111739%78.280.9-2.7
18 Nardo28111739%74.880.6-5.8
19 Luiss Roma2891932%78.185.1-7.0
20 Orzinuovi2882029%74.278.0-3.7
21 Chiusi2882029%66.673.9-7.2
22 Monferrato2862221%79.484.6-5.1
23 Agrigento2862221%74.080.8-6.8
24 Latina2962321%76.284.8-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Verona2319272089
Luiss Roma2123221177
← all games of the day
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