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Chiusi vs Sebastiani Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 68-71
14-20 15-9 9-20 30-22
Position#18
Record8-20
FormLWWLW
Points / game66.6
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#7
Record17-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game78.0
ItalySerie A2Round 29· Pala Pania
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiusi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChiusiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiusi
Date
Competition
Forli
#2
L
74-82
74
82
-8
63avg 56
A21/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
82avg 56
A24/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
73-64
73
64
+9
67avg 56
A28/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
60-58
60
58
+2
49avg 56
H04/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
68-72
68
72
-4
52avg 56
H11/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
70-76
70
76
-6
62avg 56
A18/02
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
69-68
69
68
+1
58avg 56
A03/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
75-65
75
65
+10
75avg 56
H10/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
70-71
70
71
-1
56avg 56
H17/03
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
88-84
88
84
+4
75avg 56
A24/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-19
26-23
27-19
12-21
24-20
14-28
27-25
25-25
19-27
23-10
15-11
16-16
13-13
20-18
9-7
18-20
17-24
16-16
19-17
16-15
19-21
14-20
25-19
12-16
18-20
21-19
20-11
10-18
15-15
22-27
22-7
16-16
18-11
10-16
14-23
28-21
23-16
20-19
25-19
20-30
147.5Avg total
73.7Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)66.673.9140.5-7.229%
Season at home (14)65.571.3136.8-5.836%
Season away (14)67.776.4144.1-8.721%
Last 10 (10)73.773.8147.5-0.150%
Last 5 (5)74.472.8147.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)64.876.9141.6-12.16%
vs Similar (14)68.971.4140.4-2.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Luiss Roma
#22
W
81-72
81
72
+9
79avg 76
H14/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
74-96
74
96
-22
65avg 76
H21/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
85-67
85
67
+18
88avg 76
A28/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
63avg 76
H04/02
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
63avg 76
A11/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
93-86
93
86
+7
87avg 76
H18/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
74-72
74
72
+2
67avg 76
A25/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
77-46
77
46
+31
84avg 76
H03/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 76
A10/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
82-85
82
85
-3
77avg 76
H24/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
23-23
17-13
23-17
19-28
11-24
25-22
19-22
18-16
22-16
26-18
19-17
14-10
18-15
23-22
22-33
16-24
22-17
18-22
17-20
25-25
25-20
25-16
18-25
15-14
17-18
15-24
27-16
17-22
18-6
20-6
22-12
21-22
14-22
16-16
25-10
15-23
13-23
23-15
31-24
154.9Avg total
79.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.178.0159.1+3.161%
Season at home (14)82.177.1159.2+5.171%
Season away (14)80.179.0159.1+1.150%
Last 10 (10)79.275.7154.9+3.560%
Last 5 (5)80.471.8152.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.087.5161.5-13.50%
vs Similar (8)79.983.9163.8-4.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.474.4156.8+8.178%
This opponent (Chiusi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +2.7+2.7
ChiusiSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChiusiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A21/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A24/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H04/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A18/02
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H10/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H17/03
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A24/03
Serie A2
74.3Avg total
36.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.737.169.8-4.327%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.136.368.4-4.231%-
Last 30 away (14)33.537.971.4-4.421%-
Last 10 (10)36.138.274.3-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.036.872.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.638.971.4-6.36%-
vs Similar (14)32.935.067.9-2.150%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luiss Roma
#22
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H14/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H21/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A28/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H04/02
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A11/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H18/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A25/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H03/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A10/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H24/03
Serie A2
74.8Avg total
36.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.739.579.2+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.039.179.1+0.964%-
Last 30 away (14)39.439.979.4-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)36.138.774.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.075.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.033.067.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (8)38.845.083.8-6.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.837.878.6+3.067%-
This opponent (Chiusi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chiusitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiusi: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.120.9
50.9%
50.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.75.4
24.9%
34.1%16.2
🏀 Free throws21.216.2
76.4%
74.2%16.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.7
53.7%
50.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
34.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.116.1
69.7%
74.2%16.1
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiusi
WLWWLLWWLL
Sebastiani Rieti
LWWWWLLWLW
#18
League position
#7
+0.4
Net rating
+0.8
100.2
Offensive rating
108.3
99.8
Defensive rating
107.5
46.2%
Effective FG%
52.1%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.38
24.9%
3-point %
33.2%
41.1%
Assist %
59.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 108.3Defence99.8 · 107.5Shooting46.2% · 52.1%3-point %24.9% · 33.2%Ball care18.4% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.6% · 29.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Chiusi   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Chiusi wins
0
Sebastiani Rieti wins
No previous meetings.
Chiusilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24AAgrigento88-84
17/03/24HJuVi Cremona70-71
10/03/24HCantu75-65
03/03/24ATreviglio69-68
18/02/24AVigevano70-76
11/02/24HBasket Torino68-72
04/02/24HNardo60-58
28/01/24AAssigeco Piacenza73-64
24/01/24ATrieste90-98
21/01/24AForli74-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HAssigeco Piacenza82-85
10/03/24AFortitudo Bologna76-70
03/03/24HNardo77-46
25/02/24AOrzinuovi74-72
18/02/24HRimini93-86
11/02/24AForli73-83
04/02/24HTrapani77-80
28/01/24AVigevano85-67
21/01/24HCantu74-96
14/01/24HLuiss Roma81-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiusi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW29%
HomeWWLWL36%
AwayLWLWW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %29%36%21%
Points / game66.665.567.7
Allowed / game73.971.376.4
Point differential-7.2-5.8-8.7
Avg total140.5136.8144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)57% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL61%
HomeLLWWL71%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%71%50%
Points / game81.182.180.1
Allowed / game78.077.179.0
Point differential+3.1+5.1+1.1
Avg total159.1159.2159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%14%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)40% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2826293%88.976.5+12.4
2 Forli2924583%79.272.6+6.7
3 Fortitudo Bologna2821775%76.871.3+5.4
4 Udine2921872%78.869.8+9.0
5 Basket Torino2820871%84.980.8+4.1
6 Cantu2920969%86.079.9+6.1
7 Verona29181162%76.673.9+2.7
8 Sebastiani Rieti28171161%81.178.0+3.1
9 Trieste29171259%81.078.0+3.0
10 Rimini28141450%77.876.1+1.7
11 Assigeco Piacenza29141548%78.076.1+1.9
12 Cividale29141548%75.575.1+0.4
13 Urania Milano29141548%81.783.9-2.2
14 Cento28131546%74.777.7-3.0
15 JuVi Cremona29131645%82.984.4-1.6
16 Treviglio28121643%79.079.5-0.5
17 Vigevano29111838%77.481.7-4.2
18 Nardo29111838%74.980.5-5.6
19 Luiss Roma2992031%78.085.2-7.2
20 Orzinuovi2882029%74.278.0-3.7
21 Chiusi2882029%66.673.9-7.2
22 Monferrato2862221%79.484.6-5.1
23 Agrigento2962321%74.081.3-7.2
24 Latina2962321%76.284.8-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiusi141593068
Sebastiani Rieti209202271
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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