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Treviglio vs Chiusi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-69
20-18 19-21 11-20 18-10
Position#16
Record11-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#18
Record5-19
FormLWWLL
Points / game65.1
Allowed / game74.2
ItalySerie A2Round 26· PalaFacchetti
Other2023-24
Meetings · Treviglio v Chiusi
03 Mar 2024
TREV68
CHIU69
15 May 2022
TREV64
CHIU48
13 May 2022
TREV70
CHIU76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviglio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chiusi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviglio
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
62avg 76
H17/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
92-72
92
72
+20
98avg 76
H23/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
86-67
86
67
+19
84avg 76
A30/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
68-90
68
90
-22
58avg 76
H06/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
62avg 76
A13/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
80-87
80
87
-7
77avg 76
A20/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
no box
H28/01
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
61-67
61
67
-6
44avg 76
A04/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
67-68
67
68
-1
58avg 76
A12/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
77-79
77
79
-2
76avg 76
H17/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
20-23
18-12
17-20
23-21
21-11
23-19
25-21
27-11
26-22
21-20
12-14
13-26
15-21
24-18
16-25
17-18
16-24
21-26
15-25
32-20
11-18
21-32
16-17
22-19
15-19
18-25
17-9
24-29
12-9
7-11
18-18
20-17
10-23
24-11
13-17
14-23
23-21
18-15
22-20
152.9Avg total
75.6Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.280.6160.9-0.446%
Season at home (12)82.782.2164.8+0.550%
Season away (12)77.879.1156.9-1.242%
Last 10 (10)75.677.3152.9-1.730%
Last 5 (5)73.875.4149.2-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.587.7166.2-9.233%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.879.1159.9+1.743%
vs Weaker (10)79.375.0154.3+4.360%
This opponent (Chiusi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChiusiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiusi
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
L
62-71
62
71
-9
52avg 54
A23/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
65-81
65
81
-16
50avg 54
H30/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
49-70
49
70
-21
35avg 54
A07/01
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
70-65
70
65
+5
60avg 54
H14/01
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
74-82
74
82
-8
63avg 54
A21/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
82avg 54
A24/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
73-64
73
64
+9
67avg 54
A28/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
60-58
60
58
+2
49avg 54
H04/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
68-72
68
72
-4
52avg 54
H11/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
70-76
70
76
-6
62avg 54
A18/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
12-25
21-12
19-16
13-19
17-20
15-21
20-21
16-25
19-16
5-9
9-20
20-21
17-14
21-16
12-14
9-19
26-23
27-19
12-21
24-20
14-28
27-25
25-25
19-27
23-10
15-11
16-16
13-13
20-18
9-7
18-20
17-24
16-16
19-17
16-15
19-21
14-20
25-19
12-16
141.8Avg total
68.1Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)65.174.2139.3-9.021%
Season at home (12)64.371.8136.2-7.533%
Season away (12)65.976.5142.4-10.68%
Last 10 (10)68.173.7141.8-5.630%
Last 5 (5)72.273.6145.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)63.977.1141.0-13.10%
vs Similar ◀ (13)69.571.8141.2-2.346%
vs Weaker (1)77.073.0150.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
TreviglioChiusi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H17/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H23/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A30/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H06/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A13/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A20/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H28/01
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A04/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A12/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H17/02
Serie A2
77.2Avg total
37.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.881.1-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.042.781.7-3.729%-
Last 30 away (16)41.539.180.6+2.462%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.477.2-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.676.2-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.542.582.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.640.981.6-0.350%-
vs Weaker (10)40.439.680.0+0.840%-
This opponent (Chiusi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChiusiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A23/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H30/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/01
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H14/01
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A21/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A24/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H04/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A18/02
Serie A2
73.5Avg total
33.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.837.470.3-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.136.968.9-4.827%-
Last 30 away (15)33.638.071.6-4.427%-
Last 10 (10)33.839.773.5-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.475.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.538.270.8-5.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.136.769.8-3.638%-
vs Weaker (1)35.034.069.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviglio: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.815.7
51.0%
50.3%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.0
32.1%
34.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.2
76.0%
74.2%15.2
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chiusitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiusi: 65.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.717.9
47.5%
50.3%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.15.4
23.4%
34.1%16.2
🏀 Free throws17.613.7
77.8%
74.2%13.7
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviglio
LLLWLLLWWL
Chiusi
LLWWLLWLLL
#16
League position
#18
-5.3
Net rating
-13.1
101.7
Offensive rating
90.6
107.0
Defensive rating
103.7
49.7%
Effective FG%
42.8%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
15.2%
Turnover %
18.3%
16.8%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.1%
3-point %
23.4%
66.8%
Assist %
44.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 90.6Defence107.0 · 103.7Shooting49.7% · 42.8%3-point %32.1% · 23.4%Ball care15.2% · 18.3%Off. rebounds16.8% · 23.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Treviglio   ■ Chiusi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Treviglio wins
3
Chiusi wins
DateGameScore
18/05/22Chiusi v Treviglio88-64
15/05/22Treviglio v Chiusi64-48
13/05/22Treviglio v Chiusi70-76
10/05/22Chiusi v Treviglio87-96
08/05/22Chiusi v Treviglio87-80
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HCividale77-79
12/02/24AVerona67-68
04/02/24ALuiss Roma61-67
28/01/24HLatina84-76 OT
20/01/24AJuVi Cremona80-87
13/01/24ATrapani69-93
06/01/24HVigevano68-90
30/12/23AMonferrato86-67
23/12/23HAgrigento92-72
17/12/23HBasket Torino72-74
Chiusilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24AVigevano70-76
11/02/24HBasket Torino68-72
04/02/24HNardo60-58
28/01/24AAssigeco Piacenza73-64
24/01/24ATrieste90-98
21/01/24AForli74-82
14/01/24HOrzinuovi70-65
07/01/24AVerona49-70
30/12/23HRimini65-81
23/12/23ACento62-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviglio
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL46%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayWLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%50%42%
Points / game80.282.777.8
Allowed / game80.682.279.1
Point differential-0.4+0.5-1.2
Avg total160.9164.8156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Chiusi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL21%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayLLLWL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %21%33%8%
Points / game65.164.365.9
Allowed / game74.271.876.5
Point differential-9.0-7.5-10.6
Avg total139.3136.2142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2422292%90.277.0+13.2
2 Forli2521484%79.772.4+7.2
3 Cantu2519676%88.580.2+8.2
4 Fortitudo Bologna2418675%76.871.8+5.0
5 Udine2417771%79.370.0+9.4
6 Basket Torino2417771%85.581.8+3.7
7 Verona2516964%75.872.8+3.0
8 Sebastiani Rieti26161062%81.378.1+3.2
9 Trieste25151060%80.078.2+1.8
10 JuVi Cremona24121250%86.486.0+0.4
11 Urania Milano26131350%82.083.3-1.2
12 Treviglio24111346%80.280.6-0.4
13 Cento24111346%74.478.3-3.9
14 Assigeco Piacenza25111444%76.875.8+1.0
15 Rimini24101442%77.376.8+0.5
16 Vigevano25101540%78.281.3-3.2
17 Nardo26101638%74.380.8-6.5
18 Cividale2491538%74.277.2-3.0
19 Luiss Roma2491538%79.085.1-6.1
20 Orzinuovi2681831%74.176.9-2.8
21 Monferrato2561924%79.684.4-4.8
22 Agrigento2662023%73.880.5-6.7
23 Chiusi2451921%65.174.2-9.0
24 Latina2341917%78.487.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviglio2019111868
Chiusi1821201069
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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