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Cholet vs Le Mans Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 17 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#3
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game87.9
FranceLNBRound 27· La Meilleraie
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Cholet v Le Mans
17 Apr 2027
CHO v LMA
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
CHO80
LMA84
14 Feb 2025
CHO91
LMA93
27 Dec 2024
CHO86
LMA92
27 Dec 2023
CHO111
LMA96
17 Feb 2023
CHO77
LMA84
04 Feb 2023
CHO83
LMA103
06 Nov 2021
CHO94
LMA88
17 May 2021
CHO88
LMA95
14 Mar 2020
CHO v LMA
upcoming
26 Jan 2019
CHO70
LMA64
15 May 2018
CHO81
LMA80
02 Apr 2017
CHO78
LMA58
29 Mar 2016
CHO69
LMA70
24 Jan 2015
CHO83
LMA85
23 Nov 2013
CHO58
LMA61
06 Apr 2013
CHO89
LMA82
06 Jun 2012
CHO75
LMA71
14 Jan 2012
CHO94
LMA84
17 May 2011
CHO77
LMA75
05 Mar 2011
CHO85
LMA63
13 Jun 2010
CHO81
LMA65
02 Jan 2010
CHO68
LMA66
22 Nov 2008
CHO56
LMA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Le Mans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
99-79
99
79
+20
96avg 76
A06/10
Champions League
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
73avg 76
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#20
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 76
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
76avg 76
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#5
L
69-86
69
86
-17
55avg 76
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#4
L
65-69
65
69
-4
56avg 76
H28/10
Champions League
Strasbourg
#8
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 76
A31/10
LNB
Paris
#1
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
no box
H03/11
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
no box
H07/11
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
A10/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
33-9
23-23
24-24
22-17
22-16
22-25
19-21
16-21
21-11
22-17
25-17
23-25
27-16
16-27
11-18
17-23
17-21
17-22
18-20
11-14
18-15
20-26
16-14
14-23
19-21
28-32
21-12
28-19
15-22
15-20
21-18
19-23
14-27
17-31
21-16
18-23
17-17
28-21
10-14
161.4Avg total
79.9Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.087.4168.4-6.438%
Season at home (5)82.489.8172.2-7.440%
Season away (3)78.783.3162.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)79.981.5161.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)77.083.8160.8-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)81.988.1170.1-6.233%
vs Similar (9)84.878.9163.7+5.956%
vs Weaker (6)91.774.5166.2+17.2100%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#15
W
98-87
98
87
+11
90avg 80
A11/10
LNB
Rostock
#28
W
82-70
82
70
+12
73avg 80
H14/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#12
W
91-90
91
90
+1
91avg 80
H18/10
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
82avg 80
A21/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#9
W
97-72
97
72
+25
94avg 80
A24/10
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
70avg 80
H28/10
Eurocup
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
106-97 OT
106
97
+9
103avg 80
H31/10
LNB
Rigas Zelli
#21
W
71-65
71
65
+6
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
A08/11
LNB
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-33
25-18
25-16
24-20
19-18
32-16
20-18
11-18
26-28
22-24
26-20
17-18
22-16
21-22
28-14
13-14
16-19
27-28
27-10
27-15
19-21
21-27
27-17
16-25
16-15
24-29
27-20
20-23
18-27
10-13
19-9
24-16
20-19
32-17
18-22
24-11
18-25
27-20
24-16
19-19
168.0Avg total
89.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)98.687.9186.4+10.786%
Season at home (3)99.396.7196.0+2.767%
Season away (4)98.081.2179.2+16.8100%
Last 10 (10)89.478.6168.0+10.890%
Last 5 (5)88.480.2168.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.588.5167.0-10.00%
vs Similar (10)81.588.0169.5-6.520%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)93.881.4175.2+12.394%
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +7.9+7.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +7.9+7.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
CholetLe Mans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A06/10
Champions League
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#20
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#4
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H28/10
Champions League
Strasbourg
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A31/10
LNB
Paris
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H03/11
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H07/11
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/11
Champions League
77.6Avg total
39.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.284.9+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.942.186.0+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)41.442.383.7-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)39.038.677.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.640.875.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)42.845.087.8-2.247%-
vs Similar (9)41.339.981.2+1.444%-
vs Weaker (6)44.838.583.3+6.367%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A11/10
LNB
Rostock
#28
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H14/10
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#12
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H18/10
LNB
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/10
Eurocup
Boulazac
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A24/10
LNB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H28/10
Eurocup
Pau-Orthez
#14
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H31/10
LNB
Rigas Zelli
#21
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A04/11
Eurocup
Strasbourg
#8
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A08/11
LNB
San Pablo Burgos
#30
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H11/11
Eurocup
87.4Avg total
43.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.386.7+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.043.287.2+0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.586.2-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)43.943.587.4+0.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.683.6-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.043.583.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (10)38.145.383.4-7.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)46.742.288.9+4.450%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.6
51.1%
55.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.2
31.1%
34.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws25.220.2
80.2%
74.2%20.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.5
55.1%
55.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.2
36.4%
34.3%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.215.3
72.2%
74.2%15.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
LLWLLLLWWW
Le Mans
WWWWLWWWWW
#10
League position
#3
+0.0
Net rating
+5.8
91.7
Offensive rating
98.7
91.7
Defensive rating
92.9
49.2%
Effective FG%
54.9%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
17.1%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.1%
3-point %
36.4%
70.5%
Assist %
57.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence91.7 · 98.7Defence91.7 · 92.9Shooting49.2% · 54.9%3-point %31.1% · 36.4%Ball care17.1% · 14.5%Free throws0.40 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Cholet   ■ Le Mans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cholet wins
7
Le Mans wins
DateGameScore
04/04/26Le Mans v Cholet89-94
01/11/25Cholet v Le Mans80-84
29/03/25Le Mans v Cholet91-68
26/02/25Le Mans v Cholet101-82
14/02/25Cholet v Le Mans91-93
27/12/24Cholet v Le Mans86-92
27/12/23Cholet v Le Mans111-96
21/10/23Le Mans v Cholet85-88 OT
17/02/23Cholet v Le Mans77-84
04/02/23Cholet v Le Mans83-103
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ASpartak Subotica73-75
07/11/26HDijon71-97
03/11/26HParis94-90 OT
31/10/26AStrasbourg82-88
28/10/26HSpartak Subotica65-69
24/10/26ANanterre69-86
17/10/26HChalon/Saone77-86
14/10/26HVechta84-66
10/10/26HPau-Orthez85-79
06/10/26AHapoel Holon99-79
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos88-80
08/11/26AStrasbourg94-69
04/11/26ARigas Zelli71-65
31/10/26HPau-Orthez106-97 OT
28/10/26HHapoel Jerusalem83-90
24/10/26ABoulazac97-72
21/10/26ACedevita Olimpija84-66
18/10/26HJL Bourg91-90
14/10/26HRostock82-70
11/10/26ASaint Quentin98-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game81.082.478.7
Allowed / game87.489.883.3
Point differential-6.4-7.4-4.7
Avg total168.4172.2162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%20%0%
Le Mans
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%67%100%
Points / game98.699.398.0
Allowed / game87.996.781.2
Point differential+10.7+2.7+16.8
Avg total186.4196.0179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %29%33%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris87188%97.286.4+10.9
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone74357%93.185.1+8.0
7 Roanne74357%80.780.4+0.3
8 Strasbourg84450%81.187.5-6.4
9 Boulazac73443%81.083.7-2.7
10 Cholet83538%81.087.4-6.4
11 Limoges72529%86.489.0-2.6
12 JL Bourg72529%88.692.4-3.9
13 Nancy72529%79.383.9-4.6
14 Pau-Orthez72529%83.690.6-7.0
15 Saint Quentin82625%87.494.8-7.4
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque7070%76.789.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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