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Cholet vs Nancy Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#13
Record2-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game83.9
FranceLNBRound 16· La Meilleraie
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Cholet v Nancy
16 Jan 2027
CHO v NAC
upcoming
10 May 2026
CHO94
NAC91
10 May 2025
CHO95
NAC74
15 Nov 2023
CHO67
NAC76
22 Oct 2022
CHO94
NAC73
11 Mar 2017
CHO82
NAC85
09 Apr 2016
CHO85
NAC83
12 May 2015
CHO87
NAC84
26 Apr 2014
CHO83
NAC78
25 Mar 2013
CHO68
NAC67
31 Mar 2012
CHO72
NAC78
11 Jun 2011
CHO74
NAC76
29 Apr 2011
CHO68
NAC79
26 Mar 2010
CHO69
NAC57
08 Nov 2008
CHO77
NAC88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nancy win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
99-79
99
79
+20
96avg 80
A06/10
Champions League
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
73avg 80
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#20
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 80
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
76avg 80
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#5
L
69-86
69
86
-17
55avg 80
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
56avg 80
H28/10
Champions League
Strasbourg
#8
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 80
A31/10
LNB
Paris
#1
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
no box
H03/11
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
no box
H07/11
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
A10/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
33-9
23-23
24-24
22-17
22-16
22-25
19-21
16-21
21-11
22-17
25-17
23-25
27-16
16-27
11-18
17-23
17-21
17-22
18-20
11-14
18-15
20-26
16-14
14-23
19-21
28-32
21-12
28-19
15-22
15-20
21-18
19-23
14-27
17-31
21-16
18-23
17-17
28-21
10-14
161.4Avg total
79.9Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.087.4168.4-6.438%
Season at home (5)82.489.8172.2-7.440%
Season away (3)78.783.3162.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)79.981.5161.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)77.083.8160.8-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.988.1170.1-6.233%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.878.9163.7+5.956%
vs Weaker (6)91.774.5166.2+17.2100%
This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NancyFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNancy
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
67-108
67
108
-41
64avg 78
A10/10
LNB
Parnu
#38
W
84-61
84
61
+23
76avg 78
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Nanterre
#5
W
80-65
80
65
+15
72avg 78
H17/10
LNB
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
W
99-60
99
60
+39
97avg 78
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
74-78
74
78
-4
69avg 78
A25/10
LNB
Szczecin
#16
L
87-90
87
90
-3
74avg 78
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#2
W
108-94
108
94
+14
101avg 78
A30/10
LNB
Keravnos
#22
W
86-73
86
73
+13
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Limoges
#11
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
H07/11
LNB
Vienna Basket
#32
W
101-86
101
86
+15
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
18-29
10-23
15-28
28-18
15-13
12-10
29-20
19-20
27-18
19-16
15-11
28-16
18-11
29-13
24-20
24-18
16-25
17-15
17-20
21-22
25-28
21-18
20-22
25-30
21-17
27-21
35-26
20-17
22-21
23-18
21-17
16-15
19-25
28-15
14-24
25-22
25-25
30-19
21-20
165.7Avg total
86.3Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.383.9163.1-4.629%
Season at home (4)76.576.8153.2-0.225%
Season away (3)83.093.3176.3-10.333%
Last 10 (10)86.379.4165.7+6.960%
Last 5 (5)91.884.4176.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.389.5169.8-9.223%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.683.0168.6+2.656%
vs Weaker (8)88.272.2160.5+16.075%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
CholetNancy
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#29
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A06/10
Champions League
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#20
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H28/10
Champions League
Strasbourg
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A31/10
LNB
Paris
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H03/11
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H07/11
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/11
Champions League
77.6Avg total
39.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.284.9+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.942.186.0+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)41.442.383.7-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)39.038.677.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.640.875.4-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)42.845.087.8-2.247%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.339.981.2+1.444%-
vs Weaker (6)44.838.583.3+6.367%-
This opponent (Nancy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NancyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A10/10
LNB
Parnu
#38
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Nanterre
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H17/10
LNB
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
LNB
Szczecin
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#2
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A30/10
LNB
Keravnos
#22
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Limoges
#11
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H07/11
LNB
Vienna Basket
#32
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
85.4Avg total
43.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.484.7+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.038.183.1+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)41.445.186.5-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.885.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.844.488.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.143.284.2-2.131%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.241.886.0+2.467%-
vs Weaker (8)46.038.084.0+8.075%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.6
51.1%
55.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.2
31.1%
34.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws25.220.2
80.2%
74.2%20.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nancytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nancy: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.8
49.5%
55.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.0
36.4%
34.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.417.0
75.9%
74.2%17.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
LLWLLLLWWW
Nancy
WLWWLLWWWL
#10
League position
#13
+0.0
Net rating
+4.6
91.7
Offensive rating
93.6
91.7
Defensive rating
89.0
49.2%
Effective FG%
51.5%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.3%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.1%
3-point %
36.4%
70.5%
Assist %
55.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.7 · 93.6Defence91.7 · 89.0Shooting49.2% · 51.5%3-point %31.1% · 36.4%Ball care17.1% · 16.3%Free throws0.40 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Cholet   ■ Nancy
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cholet wins
4
Nancy wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26Nancy v Cholet76-85
10/05/26Cholet v Nancy94-91 OT
07/11/25Nancy v Cholet91-87
10/05/25Cholet v Nancy95-74
11/01/25Nancy v Cholet71-78
30/03/24Nancy v Cholet77-85
15/11/23Cholet v Nancy67-76
28/01/23Nancy v Cholet83-80
22/10/22Cholet v Nancy94-73
11/03/17Cholet v Nancy82-85
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ASpartak Subotica73-75
07/11/26HDijon71-97
03/11/26HParis94-90 OT
31/10/26AStrasbourg82-88
28/10/26HSpartak Subotica65-69
24/10/26ANanterre69-86
17/10/26HChalon/Saone77-86
14/10/26HVechta84-66
10/10/26HPau-Orthez85-79
06/10/26AHapoel Holon99-79
Nancylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AVienna Basket101-86
07/11/26HLimoges77-79
03/11/26HKeravnos86-73
30/10/26ADijon108-94
28/10/26ASzczecin87-90
25/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne74-78
20/10/26HNitra Blue Wings99-60
17/10/26HNanterre80-65
13/10/26AParnu84-61
10/10/26AChalon/Saone67-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL38%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game81.082.478.7
Allowed / game87.489.883.3
Point differential-6.4-7.4-4.7
Avg total168.4172.2162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%20%0%
Nancy
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL29%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game79.376.583.0
Allowed / game83.976.893.3
Point differential-4.6-0.2-10.3
Avg total163.1153.2176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris87188%97.286.4+10.9
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone74357%93.185.1+8.0
7 Roanne74357%80.780.4+0.3
8 Strasbourg84450%81.187.5-6.4
9 Boulazac73443%81.083.7-2.7
10 Cholet83538%81.087.4-6.4
11 Limoges72529%86.489.0-2.6
12 JL Bourg72529%88.692.4-3.9
13 Nancy72529%79.383.9-4.6
14 Pau-Orthez72529%83.690.6-7.0
15 Saint Quentin82625%87.494.8-7.4
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque7070%76.789.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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