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Cholet vs Strasbourg Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 01 May 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record5-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game87.1
FranceLNBRound 29· La Meilleraie
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Cholet v Strasbourg
01 May 2027
CHO v STR
upcoming
27 Sep 2025
CHO92
STR74
02 Feb 2025
CHO105
STR75
24 Jan 2024
CHO98
STR93
10 Oct 2023
CHO78
STR90
08 Oct 2022
CHO84
STR79
02 Apr 2022
CHO88
STR90
17 Apr 2021
CHO90
STR97
09 Jan 2021
CHO78
STR82
04 Apr 2020
CHO v STR
upcoming
22 Sep 2018
CHO75
STR112
10 Feb 2018
CHO63
STR73
12 Nov 2016
CHO86
STR90
27 Feb 2016
CHO85
STR93
28 Feb 2015
CHO52
STR67
22 Feb 2014
CHO81
STR69
08 Dec 2012
CHO77
STR75
16 May 2012
CHO62
STR76
18 Dec 2010
CHO88
STR84
14 Nov 2009
CHO80
STR63
27 Feb 2009
CHO56
STR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cholet win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Strasbourg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
73avg 75
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#20
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 75
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
76avg 75
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#5
L
69-86
69
86
-17
55avg 75
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
56avg 75
H28/10
Champions League
Strasbourg
#8
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 75
A31/10
LNB
Paris
#1
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
no box
H03/11
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
no box
H07/11
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
73-75
73
75
-2
no box
A10/11
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#15
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
A14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
22-16
22-25
19-21
16-21
21-11
22-17
25-17
23-25
27-16
16-27
11-18
17-23
17-21
17-22
18-20
11-14
18-15
20-26
16-14
14-23
19-21
28-32
21-12
28-19
15-22
15-20
21-18
19-23
14-27
17-31
21-16
18-23
17-17
28-21
10-14
21-12
14-20
31-20
15-23
159.2Avg total
78.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.086.0167.0-5.044%
Season at home (5)82.489.8172.2-7.440%
Season away (4)79.281.2160.5-2.050%
Last 10 (10)78.181.1159.2-3.040%
Last 5 (5)80.285.0165.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.988.1170.1-6.233%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.478.5162.9+5.960%
vs Weaker (5)91.872.4164.2+19.4100%
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StrasbourgFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStrasbourg
Date
Competition
Legia
#16
W
100-62
100
62
+38
99avg 79
H06/10
Champions League
Paris
#1
L
84-98
84
98
-14
77avg 79
A11/10
LNB
Roanne
#7
W
72-70
72
70
+2
64avg 79
H16/10
LNB
Galatasaray
#35
L
77-83
77
83
-6
65avg 79
A20/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
79-106
79
106
-27
68avg 79
A24/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
W
98-94
98
94
+4
97avg 79
A27/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
W
88-82
88
82
+6
90avg 79
H31/10
LNB
Cibona
#36
W
95-70
95
70
+25
no box
H03/11
Champions League
Le Mans
#3
L
69-94
69
94
-25
no box
H08/11
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
89-84
89
84
+5
no box
A13/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
26-18
28-17
25-12
20-29
18-32
25-20
21-17
12-14
19-19
13-22
28-15
16-21
17-21
23-20
21-21
13-28
26-22
22-31
18-25
24-33
23-19
26-21
25-21
23-14
21-19
32-28
12-21
21-22
24-18
20-13
30-17
19-20
17-32
22-18
11-24
26-19
23-21
28-23
12-21
169.4Avg total
85.1Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.087.1169.1-5.156%
Season at home (4)79.080.2159.2-1.275%
Season away (5)84.492.6177.0-8.240%
Last 10 (10)85.184.3169.4+0.860%
Last 5 (5)87.884.8172.6+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.291.9172.1-11.720%
vs Similar ◀ (10)90.687.1177.7+3.570%
vs Weaker (5)92.277.8170.0+14.460%
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
CholetStrasbourg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/10
LNB
Vechta
#20
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H17/10
LNB
Nanterre
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A24/10
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H28/10
Champions League
Strasbourg
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A31/10
LNB
Paris
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H03/11
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H07/11
LNB
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/11
Champions League
Saint Quentin
#15
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A14/11
LNB
75.9Avg total
37.3Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.784.4+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.341.986.2+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.041.682.6-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)37.338.675.9-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.477.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)42.845.087.8-2.247%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.739.179.8+1.650%-
vs Weaker (5)46.237.283.4+9.080%-
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StrasbourgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legia
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H06/10
Champions League
Paris
#1
L
38-61
38
61
-23
A11/10
LNB
Roanne
#7
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H16/10
LNB
Galatasaray
#35
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A20/10
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A24/10
LNB
Saint Quentin
#15
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A27/10
LNB
Cholet
#9
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H31/10
LNB
Cibona
#36
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H03/11
Champions League
Le Mans
#3
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H08/11
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A13/11
LNB
84.5Avg total
40.9Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.445.087.3-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.141.384.4+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)41.748.289.9-6.512%-
Last 10 (10)40.943.684.5-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.487.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.247.387.5-7.113%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.643.488.0+1.250%-
vs Weaker (5)44.441.085.4+3.460%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.6
51.1%
55.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.2
31.1%
34.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws25.220.2
80.2%
74.2%20.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Strasbourgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Strasbourg: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.0
53.8%
55.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.1
33.6%
34.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.617.9
79.2%
74.2%17.9
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cholet
WLLWLLLLWW
Strasbourg
WLWWWLLWLW
#9
League position
#8
+0.0
Net rating
-0.9
91.7
Offensive rating
94.7
91.7
Defensive rating
95.6
49.2%
Effective FG%
52.3%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.1%
3-point %
33.6%
70.5%
Assist %
62.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.7 · 94.7Defence91.7 · 95.6Shooting49.2% · 52.3%3-point %31.1% · 33.6%Ball care17.1% · 15.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Cholet   ■ Strasbourg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cholet wins
6
Strasbourg wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26Strasbourg v Cholet88-82
21/03/26Strasbourg v Cholet94-89
03/12/25Strasbourg v Cholet93-85
27/09/25Cholet v Strasbourg92-74
02/02/25Cholet v Strasbourg105-75
07/12/24Strasbourg v Cholet83-94
13/03/24Strasbourg v Cholet96-84
13/02/24Strasbourg v Cholet87-77
10/02/24Strasbourg v Cholet79-76
24/01/24Cholet v Strasbourg98-93
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASaint Quentin81-75
10/11/26ASpartak Subotica73-75
07/11/26HDijon71-97
03/11/26HParis94-90 OT
31/10/26AStrasbourg82-88
28/10/26HSpartak Subotica65-69
24/10/26ANanterre69-86
17/10/26HChalon/Saone77-86
14/10/26HVechta84-66
10/10/26HPau-Orthez85-79
Strasbourglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26APau-Orthez89-84
08/11/26HLe Mans69-94
03/11/26HCibona95-70
31/10/26HCholet88-82
27/10/26ASaint Quentin98-94
24/10/26AChalon/Saone79-106
20/10/26AGalatasaray77-83
16/10/26HRoanne72-70
11/10/26AParis84-98
06/10/26HLegia100-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cholet
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game81.082.479.2
Allowed / game86.089.881.2
Point differential-5.0-7.4-2.0
Avg total167.0172.2160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
Strasbourg
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW56%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game82.079.084.4
Allowed / game87.180.292.6
Point differential-5.1-1.2-8.2
Avg total169.1159.2177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris98189%97.285.9+11.3
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone85362%93.683.8+9.9
7 Roanne85362%81.980.0+1.9
8 Strasbourg95456%82.087.1-5.1
9 Cholet94544%81.086.0-5.0
10 Boulazac83538%80.185.4-5.2
11 Nancy72529%79.383.9-4.6
12 Limoges82625%85.990.0-4.1
13 JL Bourg82625%87.192.1-5.0
14 Pau-Orthez82625%83.690.4-6.8
15 Saint Quentin92722%86.093.2-7.2
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque7070%76.789.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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