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Cibona vs Karpos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 102-79
30-19 27-22 25-16 20-22
Position#7
Record3-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game80.5
Cibona 🏆
vs
Position#11
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game83.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 5
Domestic2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cibona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karpos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CibonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A29/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita
#1
L
83-97
83
97
-14
H31/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A03/06
Premijer liga
Igokea
#5
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A02/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
91-89
91
89
+2
H04/10
ABA League
Hermes
#13
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H05/10
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A07/10
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#13
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
A09/10
ABA League
Osijek
#7
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A11/10
Premijer liga
Gorica
#11
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H13/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
24-20
16-20
17-28
25-32
16-25
19-24
23-16
22-30
20-22
19-19
16-13
28-15
16-18
11-16
16-12
28-16
20-21
23-28
20-24
19-15
29-15
23-21
25-27
21-25
21-23
15-22
24-17
17-13
17-25
22-18
16-16
17-27
21-23
13-9
20-19
18-17
22-22
23-13
27-13
163.6Avg total
82.5Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.080.5163.5+2.575%
Season at home (1)91.089.0180.0+2.0100%
Season away (3)80.377.7158.0+2.767%
Last 10 (10)82.581.1163.6+1.450%
Last 5 (5)85.478.6164.0+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.285.7164.8-6.517%
vs Similar (7)88.182.6170.7+5.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.674.1160.7+12.676%
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarposLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumanovo
#3
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H06/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A08/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H10/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A13/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H15/05
Superleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A01/10
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H05/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
L
59-83
59
83
-24
A07/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H10/10
ABA League
Sutjeska
#7
L
60-94
60
94
-34
H12/10
BIBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
28-21
28-18
24-29
15-16
17-23
16-18
15-9
23-16
24-12
12-16
15-21
15-24
19-16
11-15
12-18
20-31
21-16
12-12
20-25
16-28
14-26
20-13
14-14
18-26
14-21
22-20
25-17
10-24
22-18
19-14
8-27
20-22
21-20
20-20
16-22
16-18
14-32
15-26
15-18
150.8Avg total
70.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.883.0152.8-13.20%
Season at home (2)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
Season away (2)61.582.0143.5-20.50%
Last 10 (10)70.380.5150.8-10.220%
Last 5 (5)67.885.2153.0-17.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)65.387.0152.3-21.70%
vs Similar (5)70.475.2145.6-4.820%
vs Weaker (22)85.874.5160.3+11.368%
This opponent (Cibona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.6-3.6
CibonaKarpos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CibonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H31/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita
#1
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A03/06
Premijer liga
Igokea
#5
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A02/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H04/10
ABA League
Hermes
#13
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H05/10
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A07/10
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#13
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A09/10
ABA League
Osijek
#7
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A11/10
Premijer liga
Gorica
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H13/10
Premijer liga
84.3Avg total
42.0Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.382.8+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.536.279.7+7.379%-
Last 30 away (16)43.641.985.6+1.744%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.384.3-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.081.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.546.386.8-5.833%-
vs Similar (7)47.040.987.9+6.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.236.179.4+7.171%-
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarposLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumanovo
#3
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A08/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H10/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/05
Superleague
Kumanovo
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H15/05
Superleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A01/10
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H05/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A07/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H10/10
ABA League
Sutjeska
#7
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H12/10
BIBL
79.7Avg total
36.4Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.378.9+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.038.778.7+1.356%-
Last 30 away (14)39.040.179.1-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)36.443.379.7-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)33.047.080.0-14.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.344.779.0-10.30%-
vs Similar (5)33.444.077.4-10.60%-
vs Weaker (22)41.637.579.2+4.168%-
This opponent (Cibona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cibonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cibona: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.317.3
47.7%
51.9%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.09.0
40.9%
34.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.018.0
78.3%
73.3%18.0
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karpostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karpos: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀28%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.214.8
45.7%
51.9%29.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.56.8
26.5%
34.3%20.2
🏀 Free throws23.519.0
80.9%
73.3%19.0
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/4 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cibona
WLWLWWWLLL
Karpos
LLLLLLLWLW
#7
League position
#11
+1.8
Net rating
-17.4
106.9
Offensive rating
93.9
105.1
Defensive rating
111.4
52.9%
Effective FG%
43.1%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
16.9%
Turnover %
15.0%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
18.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.41
40.9%
3-point %
26.5%
75.9%
Assist %
66.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 93.9Defence105.1 · 111.4Shooting52.9% · 43.1%3-point %40.9% · 26.5%Ball care16.9% · 15.0%Off. rebounds22.6% · 18.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Cibona   ■ Karpos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cibona wins
0
Karpos wins
No previous meetings.
Cibonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/16HGorica90-65
11/10/16AOsijek71-78
09/10/16AMZT Skopje89-85 OT
07/10/16APartizan81-87
05/10/16HHermes96-78
04/10/16HMornar Bar91-89
02/10/16AIgokea71-61
03/06/16ACedevita77-84
31/05/16HCedevita83-97
29/05/16ACedevita76-87
Karposlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/16HSutjeska60-94
10/10/16HPartizan77-84
07/10/16AMornar Bar59-83
05/10/16HIgokea79-84
01/10/16AKK Krka Novo mesto64-81
15/05/16HKumanovo73-84
13/05/16AKumanovo57-73
10/05/16HKumanovo74-65
08/05/16AKumanovo63-66
06/05/16HKumanovo97-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cibona
ABA League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game83.091.080.3
Allowed / game80.589.077.7
Point differential+2.5+2.0+2.7
Avg total163.5180.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%33%
Karpos
ABA League 2016
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.878.061.5
Allowed / game83.084.082.0
Point differential-13.2-6.0-20.5
Avg total152.8162.0143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda440100%94.568.8+25.8
2 Buducnost440100%90.275.5+14.8
3 Partizan440100%80.569.2+11.2
4 Cibona43175%83.080.5+2.5
5 Igokea43175%74.874.5+0.2
6 Cedevita42250%84.072.8+11.2
7 Mornar Bar52340%76.671.0+5.6
8 FMP Beograd52340%77.277.2+0.0
9 Petrol Olimpija31233%79.377.0+2.3
10 KK Krka Novo mesto31233%68.075.0-7.0
11 Mega Bemax41325%81.891.0-9.2
12 Zadar41325%73.8101.0-27.2
13 Karpos4040%69.883.0-13.2
14 MZT Skopje4040%69.288.8-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cibona30272520102
Karpos1922162279
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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