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Zadar

Croatia ABA 2-4 · 8/10 Group 2
Form, last 10 (oldest → newest)
LWLWWWWLLW
Points / game
77.4
allowed 78.2
Over 168.5
24%
game total, 34 games
Game total
155.6
both teams per game
Win rate
44%
15-19
Margin / game
-0.9
points
1st half
39.2
points scored / game
Overtime
9%
games to overtime
Sections
Zadar

Zadar 2026-27 season stands at 9-4 overall, with a 2-4 record in the ABA League placing them 8th of 10 teams; the club has been unbeaten at home, winning all five matches 5-0, while their away form is balanced 4-4. In the last five games they have gone 3-2, and recent outings include a 109-80 home victory over Kvarner in the Premijer liga, a 51-67 loss to Spartak Subotica away in the ABA, and a 75-89 defeat to Dubai away in the ABA. Their ABA net rating of 4.2 ranks them 5th out of 20 teams, an improvement from 8th a few games earlier. Lovro Buljevic leads with 15.0 points per game, Ivan Vranes averages 7.3 rebounds, and Ross Williams discharges 3.5 assists. The next fixture is an away game against Dubrava on 15 November 2026 in the Premijer liga, where the Pythia model projects a 92% win probability.

Written by Pythia from this season's results, ratings and squad.

Zadar stats, form & predictions – 2026

In the ABA League (2025 + 2026) Zadar score 77.4 points a game and allow 78.2 across 34 games – 24% of their games go over 168.5 and they clear 84.5 team points in 29%. They win 44% (62% at home, 28% away), by -0.9 points a game on average.

🏀 1. Points & form

ZadarLast 20 – points for & against, every competition
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
W
81-68
81
68
+13
80avg 79
A25/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
72-74
72
74
-2
58avg 79
H31/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
92-57
92
57
+35
87avg 79
H02/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
87-70
87
70
+17
92avg 79
A05/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
60avg 79
A07/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
61avg 79
H10/06
Premijer liga
Samobor
#12
W
81-59
81
59
+22
84avg 79
H27/09
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
107-69
107
69
+38
106avg 79
A02/10
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#20
W
79-65
79
65
+14
69avg 79
H05/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#16
L
82-88
82
88
-6
72avg 79
A11/10
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
87-56
87
56
+31
84avg 79
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
63-78
63
78
-15
47avg 79
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
W
84-73
84
73
+11
87avg 79
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
87-61
87
61
+26
77avg 79
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
95-70
95
70
+25
84avg 79
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
105-71
105
71
+34
108avg 79
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#6
L
51-67
51
67
-16
no box
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
109-80
109
80
+29
no box
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H14/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
19-22
18-18
19-13
20-22
22-20
13-18
17-14
22-12
20-14
21-14
29-17
19-9
24-29
22-21
22-11
14-19
21-19
21-18
11-17
21-15
15-15
19-25
20-27
24-14
13-20
26-15
18-10
25-17
31-19
24-19
27-14
18-24
27-15
18-10
16-16
20-19
16-23
24-18
22-28
27-10
21-12
21-18
18-16
21-22
13-18
14-21
15-17
16-24
18-19
23-14
27-16
26-17
21-15
19-17
21-12
26-16
14-19
27-12
28-23
14-16
30-15
29-18
32-22
21-16
17-19
20-23
17-31
13-12
16-17
9-14
13-24
28-19
29-23
26-22
26-16
27-23
26-10
11-16
17-25
154.2Avg total
83.0Scored
71.2Allowed
Points by quarter
Q1
19.3
19.1
+0.1
won 50%
Q2
20.0
19.6
+0.4
won 44%
Q3
20.0
17.9
+2.1
won 65%
Q4
17.6
20.3
-2.8
won 26%
■ scored   ■ allowed, per game. Won the 1st half in 53% of 34 games, the 2nd half in 47%.
Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=16AWAY n=18
80.9
Points / game
74.2
75.6
Allowed / game
80.6
156.5
Game total
154.8
19%
Over 168.5
28%
62%
Win %
28%
+5.2
Margin
-6.3
41.2
1st half scored
37.5
62%
Won the 1st half
44%
44%
Won by 10+
11%
Points scored per game
5%10%15%21%3%50-546%55-593%60-6418%65-699%70-7421%75-7912%80-8418%85-890%90-946%95-996%100-104
Share of games.
Points allowed per game
5%10%15%21%9%60-6418%65-6915%70-7421%75-793%80-8421%85-896%90-946%95-993%100-104
Share of games.
Points by opponent strength (last 30)
Scored / allowed per game by opponent tier, then home and away. Green beats the league's per-team average of 84.4 points (scored above it, allowed below it); red is worse. Tier = the opponent's season point differential per game against this team's (±4).
SplitTotal scoredTotal allowedHome scoredHome allowedAway scoredAway allowedWin %
All games (30)83.271.987.668.979.474.567%
vs Stronger (3)69.076.781.074.063.078.033%
vs Similar (4)71.276.895.070.063.379.025%
vs Weaker (23)87.170.487.568.386.772.678%
Over 168.5 (game total)20% of these 30 games

💪 2. Team strengths

Where they rank
Win %
11thof 2244%
Attack: points scored per game
21stof 2277.4
Defence: points allowed per game
1stof 2278.2
Game total: both teams' points per game
22ndof 22155.6
Ranked against the 22 teams of the league over 2025 + 2026. Ties share a place (=); defence ranks the fewest points allowed first.
📈 Game total
Both teams' points / game
Where they rank · shooting accuracy
Field-goal accuracy
20thof 2243.6%
2-point accuracy
18thof 2252.5%
3-point accuracy
14thof 2233.2%
Free-throw accuracy
6thof 2276.3%
Made / attempted over the same games, every team of the league.
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line
🏀 Shooting accuracy
🎯 Overall field goals
43.6%-3.2pp v the ABA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
4 of 10 shots go in · line = the ABA average
#20 of 22 in ABA
✋ 2-pointers
52.5%-2.6pp v the ABA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the ABA average
#18 of 22 in ABA
🌟 3-pointers
33.2%-1.5pp v the ABA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
3 of 10 shots go in · line = the ABA average
#14 of 22 in ABA
🏹 Free throws
76.3%+1.4pp v the ABA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
8 of 10 shots go in · line = the ABA average
#6 of 22 in ABA

Team v league average

Last 30 games with a box score (every competition); the league from this season's box scores. Ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
ZadarLeague average
100.9
Offensive rating
99.3
84.5
Defensive rating
99.3
54.1%
Effective FG%
54.4%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.1%
3-point %
33.1%
48.1%
3-point attempt rate
39.0%
64.7%
Assist %
60.1%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 99.3Defence84.5 · 99.3Shooting54.1% · 54.4%3-point %34.1% · 33.1%Ball care13.9% · 14.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.35
■ Zadar   ■ League average
The red ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better).

🏆 3. League table

Group 1

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 168.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 Crvena zvezda65183%93.283.5+5883%3-02-150%WWWWW
2 Buducnost65183%87.778.2+5757%2-03-167%LWWWW
3 Cedevita Olimpija64267%85.580.0+3350%2-12-10%LWLWW
4 Siroki Brijeg74357%85.985.0+657%1-23-1100%WLLLW
5 Slovan Bratislava63350%82.284.5-1467%1-02-3100%WLWWL
6 Borac Mozzart63350%84.790.2-3367%1-22-1100%WWWLL
7 Cibona73443%86.088.1-1557%2-31-150%LWLWW
8 Igokea62433%82.883.2-257%1-31-150%LLLWL
9 FMP Beograd72529%79.983.1-2343%1-21-333%LLLLL
10 KK Krka Novo mesto71614%74.083.6-6743%1-40-20%LLLWL

Group 2

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 168.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 Partizan660100%90.376.3+8457%4-02-0100%WWWWW
2 Dubai660100%94.281.7+7567%2-04-0-WWWWW
3 KK Bosna64267%90.587.3+19100%0-24-050%WLLWW
4 Spartak Subotica64267%84.380.5+2333%2-22-050%WWLWW
5 Vienna Basket62433%80.583.2-1667%1-31-1-LWLLW
6 Mega Basket62433%82.392.7-6267%1-21-20%WLWLL
7 Cluj-Napoca62433%87.288.8-1071%1-21-20%LLWLL
8 Zadar62433%74.276.2-1214%2-00-4-LLWLL
9 Perspektiva Ilirija62433%76.080.0-240%1-31-1100%LWLWL
10 Studentski Centar6060%81.093.8-7767%0-20-40%LLLLL
Winners stage
Click a column header to sort. Over = how often the team's games went over 168.5; Close won = record in games decided by 5 or fewer.

📊 4. Betting markets

Bets by period · pick a period
ZadarLast 20 – Full game points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrovnik
#5
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A25/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H31/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
92-57
92
57
+35
H02/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A05/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A07/06
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H10/06
Premijer liga
Samobor
#12
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H27/09
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
107-69
107
69
+38
A02/10
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#20
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H05/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#16
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A11/10
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
87-56
87
56
+31
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
87-61
87
61
+26
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
95-70
95
70
+25
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
105-71
105
71
+34
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#6
L
51-67
51
67
-16
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
109-80
109
80
+29
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H14/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
19-22
18-18
19-13
20-22
22-20
13-18
17-14
22-12
20-14
21-14
29-17
19-9
24-29
22-21
22-11
14-19
21-19
21-18
11-17
21-15
15-15
19-25
20-27
24-14
13-20
26-15
18-10
25-17
31-19
24-19
27-14
18-24
27-15
18-10
16-16
20-19
16-23
24-18
22-28
27-10
21-12
21-18
18-16
21-22
13-18
14-21
15-17
16-24
18-19
23-14
27-16
26-17
21-15
19-17
21-12
26-16
14-19
27-12
28-23
14-16
30-15
29-18
32-22
21-16
17-19
20-23
17-31
13-12
16-17
9-14
13-24
28-19
29-23
26-22
26-16
27-23
26-10
11-16
17-25
154.2Avg total
83.0Scored
71.2Allowed
Full gameScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the gameOver 168.5
Last 30 (30)83.271.9155.1+11.367%20%
Last 30 at home (14)87.668.9156.4+18.786%14%
Last 30 away (16)79.474.5153.9+4.950%25%
Last 10 (10)83.771.9155.6+11.870%20%
Last 5 (5)84.276.2160.4+8.060%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.076.7145.7-7.733%0%
vs Similar (4)71.276.8148.0-5.525%0%
vs Weaker (23)87.170.4157.5+16.778%26%
Full game hit rates · last 30 games · line 168.5 = the league line
Over 168.520%
n=30
Under 168.580%
🔥 70%+n=30
Won the game67%
n=30
Lost the game33%
n=30
Markets by opponent strength, home and away
2025 + 2026, ABA games. Per-game averages by the opponent's strength, then the share over the line (game total, team points) or won (margin).
Game total (line 168.5)Team points (line 84.5)Margin (win)
SplitAllHomeAwayAllHomeAwayAllHomeAway
Overall (34)155.6156.5154.877.480.974.2-0.9+5.2-6.3
vs Stronger (8)168.8167.0170.579.278.879.8-10.2-9.5-11.0
vs Similar (24)150.8150.3151.275.579.472.2+0.1+8.5-6.9
vs Weaker (2)160.5183.0138.092.5106.079.0+24.5+29.0+20.0
% over line / win24%19%28%29%31%28%44%62%28%
% under line / loss76%81%72%71%69%72%56%38%72%
Scoring dials
Points / game77.4
League avg 84.4 · below by 7.1
Allowed / game78.2
League avg 84.4 · below by 6.2
1st half scored39.2
League avg 42.5 · below by 3.3
3-pointers made9.4
League avg 7.9 · above by 1.5
Free throws made16.1
League avg 15.9 · above by 0.2
Over / under hit rate – this team's own points (2025 + 2026)
Over 79.5 pts41%
n=34
Under 79.5 pts59%
n=34
Over 84.5 pts29%
n=34
Under 84.5 pts71%
🔥 70%+n=34
Over 89.5 pts12%
n=34
Under 89.5 pts88%
🔥 70%+n=34
Over / under hit rate – game total (the league's lines)
Over 158.541%
n=34
Under 158.559%
n=34
Over 168.524%
n=34
Under 168.576%
🔥 70%+n=34
Over 178.512%
n=34
Under 178.588%
🔥 70%+n=34
Result markets
Win44%
n=34
Win by 6+ (-5.5)38%
n=34
Cover +5.556%
n=34
Win by 10+26%
n=34
Win the 1st half53%
n=34
Overtime9%
n=34
Highlighted: 🔥 70%+ = the line landed in at least 70% of the games (10+ games); a thin green edge = 60-69%; everything else is grey. A line priced about 1.90 needs 53% to break even. Past hit rates, not a forecast: Pythia's own probabilities are on the game pages.

🎯 5. Shooting profile

Over:
Scoringtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.4
58.5%
57.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.5
34.7%
33.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.5
74.0%
73.2%12.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games

Where their opponents' points come from

Zadar: 68.8 points a game allowed
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeOpponents' Attempts per gameOpponents' Made per gameOpponents' Accuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.0
49.6%
57.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.5
30.7%
33.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.412.3
75.0%
73.2%12.3
Their opponents take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of those shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.

👥 6. Squad statistics

PlayerCompGPGSMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
Dario DreznjakABA4426.210.23.21.246.9%35.3%
Marko RamljakABA4426.14.23.51.037.5%27.3%
Ross WilliamsABA4024.111.23.83.534.6%26.9%
Krsevan KlaricaABA4020.69.22.01.252.2%40.0%
N. SareABA4419.18.02.83.043.3%27.3%
Ivan VranesABA3325.413.77.31.360.6%-
Vladimir MihailovicABA3324.413.31.73.031.2%26.9%
Ivan VucicABA4016.43.01.50.557.1%50.0%
M. OgdenABA4013.55.53.50.839.1%33.3%
Lovro BuljevicABA2119.415.04.52.063.6%16.7%
A. MircetaABA314.00.70.00.70.0%0.0%
L. BicicABA203.40.00.01.50.0%0.0%
Per game, this season, every competition together (chips), from box scores; sorted by minutes played.
🔥 Player form
Last 5 games v each player's own last year · 5 = their normal
Team average
4.8
12 rated players
Krsevan Klarica8.4 pts9.5
Ivan Tkachenko3.9 pts8.7
N. Sare9.6 pts7.9
Lovro Buljevic5.2 pts7.5
Beau Beech8.2 pts6.5
M. Ogden5.9 pts6.3
J. Martinez0.7 pts6.2
M. Dundovic2.1 pts6.2
T. Torbarina3.4 pts6.1
L. Bicic5.2 pts4.7
Dario Dreznjak8.5 pts4.3
Karlo Zganec8.1 pts3.7
Marko Ramljak9.9 pts3.6
Borna Kapusta7.5 pts3.4
Ivan Vranes9.6 pts2.7
Lovro Mazalin14.5 pts2.7
Ross Williams9.7 pts2.5
A. Mirceta5.8 pts2.5
Ivan Vucic5.5 pts2.4
Luka Gulan1.4 pts1.5
Boris Tisma10.8 pts0.0
Player market rates – share of games
20+ points, rebounds & assists
PRA: points + rebounds + assists
3+ three-pointers
Games with 3 or more threes made
🏀 Shooting accuracy per player
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field (30+ attempts)
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc (20+ attempts)
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three (15+ attempts)
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line (10+ attempts)
2025 + 2026, every competition; players with at least 3 games, top 10 per market (scroll each card). Shares of games played, which is how player props settle, not per-minute rates.

🔮 7. Pythia's view

Pythia exclusive
Model result accuracy
70%favourite won, 2025-260%100%
📊 The record behind it
19-8favourite won / lost
Across 27 games of Zadar, 2025-26: Pythia (Version 5) picked the winner 70% of the time. Walk-forward: every forecast made only from games before it.
📅 Next game
Dubrava
v
Zadar
Sun 15 Nov, 17:00 UTC
Pythia: Zadar 91%
home 9%away 91%
Open the game page →
🔥 Top picks · next game: Dubrava v Zadar Sun 15 Nov
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Zadar under 9071.0%1.77
1xBet
1.77
----+22.3pp
Zadar under 9174.4%1.65
1xBet
1.65
----+22.1pp
Under 162.2570.2%1.74
1xBet
1.74
----+18.1pp
Dubrava +24.578.9%1.45
Betano
1.45
----+15.9pp
Dubrava under 75.573.5%1.50
Bet365
1.50
----+11.0pp
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🔒 70 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro

📅 8. Season v history

Metric2022
n=28
2023
n=28
2024
n=30
2025
n=27
2026
n=7
Trend
Points scored / game84.578.376.777.975.1
Points allowed / game86.078.176.178.975.9
Game total170.5156.4152.7156.8151.0
Over 158.571%43%30%41%43%
Over 168.554%25%13%26%14%
Over 178.532%7%3%15%0%
Team points over 84.550%25%17%33%14%
Win %39%50%47%44%43%
Home win %50%64%60%54%100%
Away win %29%36%33%36%0%
Margin / game-1.5+0.1+0.6-0.9-0.7
Won by 10+21%36%30%26%29%
Close games won (5 or fewer)30%33%25%33%-
Overtime %7%4%7%11%0%
1st half total85.476.777.778.675.4
Won the 1st half43%54%53%52%57%
3-point attempt rate49%46%39%47%45%
Effective FG%51%50%51%51%51%
Pace75.674.072.173.7-
Domestic-league games, every stage; the same lines every season (the league page's). The current season so far.

🗓️ 9. Results & fixtures

Recent results
DateGameScoreRes
14 NovZadar v Partizan ABA League81-74W
09 NovZadar v Kvarner Premijer liga109-80W
05 NovSpartak Subotica v Zadar ABA League67-51L
02 NovDubai v Zadar ABA League89-75L
30 OctDubrovnik v Zadar Premijer liga71-105W
25 OctZadar v Perspektiva Ilirija ABA League95-70W
23 OctZadar v Dinamo Zagreb Premijer liga87-61W
18 OctSplit v Zadar Premijer liga73-84W
16 OctVienna Basket v Zadar ABA League78-63L
12 OctCedevita Junior v Zadar Premijer liga56-87W
Upcoming games
Every competition. The bar is Pythia's frozen home-win forecast (green = home team); the figures are the best moneyline per team. Open a game for the full analysis.
Data through 13 Nov 2026.
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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