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Cibona vs Marsonia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-85
26-24 21-29 18-9 25-23
Position#4
Record1-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game72.0
Cibona 🏆
Croatia
vs
Marsonia
Croatia
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game85.0
CroatiaCroatian CupCroatian Cup - Quarter-finals· Gradska sportska dvorana Zabok
Other2024-25Neutral venue
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cibona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marsonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CibonaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCibona
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
65-77
65
77
-12
57avg 75
H12/01
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
85-88
85
88
-3
88avg 75
A17/01
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#12
L
86-101
86
101
-15
82avg 75
A19/01
ABA League
Zabok
#8
W
90-85
90
85
+5
87avg 75
H22/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
83-67
83
67
+16
79avg 75
A24/01
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
59-93
59
93
-34
48avg 75
H26/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
91avg 75
A01/02
ABA League
Osijek
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
75avg 75
H03/02
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
L
85-86
85
86
-1
82avg 75
H07/02
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
89-67
89
67
+22
88avg 75
H09/02
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
12-17
14-21
20-16
17-19
24-20
20-25
24-24
14-28
24-20
23-21
25-32
22-18
21-33
26-13
21-21
26-17
22-21
18-14
17-15
15-18
13-26
18-23
13-26
28-14
20-28
18-15
17-26
19-21
19-25
19-16
27-10
16-29
25-20
20-19
24-18
15-26
31-18
17-7
26-16
165.1Avg total
82.3Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.072.0153.0+9.0100%
Season at home (1)81.072.0153.0+9.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.382.8165.1-0.550%
Last 5 (5)82.882.0164.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.986.9161.8-12.113%
vs Similar ◀ (1)83.085.0168.0-2.00%
vs Weaker (13)86.677.6164.2+9.069%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#8
W
77-76
77
76
+1
61avg 76
H01/12
Prva Liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
72avg 76
H03/12
Croatian Cup
Mladost
#2
L
67-87
67
87
-20
48avg 76
A08/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
95-62
95
62
+33
85avg 76
H15/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
98-71
98
71
+27
92avg 76
H12/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
82avg 76
A16/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
80-100
80
100
-20
71avg 76
A19/01
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
108-92
108
92
+16
99avg 76
A25/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
106-98 OT
106
98
+8
93avg 76
H01/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
84-107
84
107
-23
61avg 76
A08/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
20-20
33-18
13-21
24-22
22-25
19-16
21-22
13-18
17-20
14-17
23-32
29-11
22-10
22-20
22-21
26-15
25-15
23-21
24-20
25-25
24-18
20-19
22-24
24-22
24-25
7-28
25-25
28-23
23-25
34-19
23-25
26-23
24-28
16-11
19-23
14-32
24-23
22-32
24-20
175.6Avg total
89.2Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.085.0171.0+1.0100%
Season at home (1)86.085.0171.0+1.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.286.4175.6+2.870%
Last 5 (5)93.896.6190.4-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.289.8168.0-11.523%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.983.2170.1+3.675%
vs Weaker (8)92.877.4170.1+15.488%
This opponent (Cibona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
CibonaMarsonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CibonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H12/01
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A17/01
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#12
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A19/01
ABA League
Zabok
#8
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H22/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/01
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H26/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A01/02
ABA League
Osijek
#12
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H03/02
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H07/02
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/02
Premijer liga
84.3Avg total
40.2Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.981.7-2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.740.979.6-2.243%-
Last 30 away (16)40.842.783.5-1.956%-
Last 10 (10)40.244.184.3-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.085.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.543.779.2-8.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)49.048.097.0+1.0100%-
vs Weaker (13)43.339.282.5+4.169%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#8
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H01/12
Prva Liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H03/12
Croatian Cup
Mladost
#2
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A08/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H15/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H12/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A16/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A19/01
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A25/01
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H01/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A08/02
Prva Liga
86.2Avg total
44.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.485.9+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.339.282.5+4.153%-
Last 30 away (15)43.645.789.3-2.153%-
Last 10 (10)44.541.786.2+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)47.248.896.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.845.684.4-6.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.241.185.4+3.150%-
vs Weaker (8)49.938.087.9+11.9100%-
This opponent (Cibona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cibonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cibona: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.8
52.8%
52.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.5
36.5%
32.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.813.8
77.5%
71.8%13.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.5
50.7%
52.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.7
37.3%
32.1%35.1
🏀 Free throws19.012.7
66.8%
71.8%12.7
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cibona
WLWWLWWLLL
Marsonia
LWWLWWWLWW
#4
League position
#7
-0.7
Net rating
+3.9
109.7
Offensive rating
111.4
110.3
Defensive rating
107.6
53.6%
Effective FG%
53.0%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.6%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.5%
3-point %
37.3%
69.6%
Assist %
46.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 111.4Defence110.3 · 107.6Shooting53.6% · 53.0%3-point %36.5% · 37.3%Ball care14.5% · 15.6%Off. rebounds21.7% · 30.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Cibona   ■ Marsonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cibona wins
0
Marsonia wins
No previous meetings.
Cibonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HKvarner89-67
07/02/25HFMP Beograd85-86
03/02/25HOsijek84-72
01/02/25AKK Krka Novo mesto97-92 OT
26/01/25HPartizan59-93
24/01/25ADubrava83-67
22/01/25HZabok90-85
19/01/25AStudentski Centar86-101
17/01/25AAlkar85-88
12/01/25HZadar65-77
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25ASkrljevo84-107
01/02/25HGorica106-98 OT
25/01/25ABosco108-92
19/01/25ASamobor80-100
16/01/25ASonik Puntamika91-86
12/01/25HOmis98-71
15/12/24HCrikvenica95-62
08/12/24AMladost67-87
03/12/24HDinamo Zagreb86-85
01/12/24HKK Zagreb77-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cibona
Croatian Cup 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total153.0153.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Marsonia
Croatian Cup 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game85.085.0-
Point differential+1.0+1.0-
Avg total171.0171.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar110100%87.055.0+32.0
2 Alkar110100%85.070.0+15.0
3 Kastela110100%88.073.0+15.0
4 Zabok110100%84.069.0+15.0
5 Split110100%83.071.0+12.0
6 Cibona110100%81.072.0+9.0
7 Cedevita Junior110100%84.078.0+6.0
8 Marsonia110100%86.085.0+1.0
9 Dinamo Zagreb1010%85.086.0-1.0
10 Kvarner1010%78.084.0-6.0
11 Dubrava1010%72.081.0-9.0
12 GKK Sibenka1010%71.083.0-12.0
13 Dubrovnik1010%69.084.0-15.0
14 Osijek1010%73.088.0-15.0
15 Skrljevo1010%70.085.0-15.0
16 Samobor1010%55.087.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cibona2621182590
Marsonia242992385
← all games of the day
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