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Samobor vs Marsonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 100-80
22-24 25-24 28-7 25-25
Position#1
Record11-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game80.6
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Marsonia
Croatia
Position#6
Record8-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game78.3
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 13· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2024-25
Meetings · Samobor v Marsonia
19 Jan 2025
SAMO100
MARS80
11 Feb 2024
SAMO97
MARS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marsonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Mladost
#2
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 82
H02/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
83avg 82
A09/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
81-67
81
67
+14
73avg 82
H16/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
96-84
96
84
+12
91avg 82
A23/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
72-102
72
102
-30
56avg 82
A01/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
84-62
84
62
+22
86avg 82
H05/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
77-65
77
65
+12
80avg 82
H13/12
Prva Liga
Zadar
#5
L
55-87
55
87
-32
39avg 82
H16/12
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#5
W
100-94
100
94
+6
102avg 82
A11/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
96-88
96
88
+8
94avg 82
H15/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-29
23-16
25-29
18-17
18-18
22-19
19-18
25-23
13-20
30-14
18-19
20-14
29-10
24-22
22-19
21-33
20-20
21-23
18-26
13-33
19-16
17-22
17-9
31-15
25-9
20-23
19-10
13-23
22-20
19-26
6-26
8-15
22-27
28-17
23-18
27-32
23-19
35-17
22-30
16-22
166.2Avg total
84.4Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.480.6169.0+7.892%
Season at home (6)86.775.3162.0+11.3100%
Season away (6)90.285.8176.0+4.383%
Last 10 (10)84.481.8166.2+2.680%
Last 5 (5)82.479.2161.6+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.383.8159.2-8.517%
vs Similar (7)89.088.1177.1+0.986%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.779.6172.2+13.1100%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
L
92-97
92
97
-5
86avg 74
A03/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
64-88
64
88
-24
41avg 74
H10/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
80-64
80
64
+16
67avg 74
H17/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
93-71
93
71
+22
92avg 74
A23/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
77-76
77
76
+1
61avg 74
H01/12
Prva Liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
72avg 74
H03/12
Croatian Cup
Mladost
#2
L
67-87
67
87
-20
48avg 74
A08/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
95-62
95
62
+33
85avg 74
H15/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
98-71
98
71
+27
92avg 74
H12/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
82avg 74
A16/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
14-26
20-21
33-26
11-18
9-21
23-24
21-25
19-18
22-19
19-15
20-12
16-22
27-16
28-15
22-18
11-17
20-20
33-18
13-21
24-22
22-25
19-16
21-22
13-18
17-20
14-17
23-32
29-11
22-10
22-20
22-21
26-15
25-15
23-21
24-20
25-25
24-18
20-19
22-24
163.0Avg total
84.3Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.078.3163.3+6.767%
Season at home (7)85.072.1157.1+12.986%
Season away (5)85.087.0172.0-2.040%
Last 10 (10)84.378.7163.0+5.670%
Last 5 (5)87.478.2165.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.287.5166.7-8.431%
vs Similar (8)81.981.0162.9+0.962%
vs Weaker (8)90.275.9166.1+14.488%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
SamoborMarsonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#2
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H02/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A09/11
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H16/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A23/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H05/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H13/12
Prva Liga
Zadar
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H16/12
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A11/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H15/01
Prva Liga
85.0Avg total
46.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.941.787.6+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.139.486.5+7.876%-
Last 30 away (13)44.244.889.1-0.638%-
Last 10 (10)46.338.785.0+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.039.285.2+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.540.882.3+0.750%-
vs Similar (7)44.641.986.4+2.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)48.441.890.1+6.669%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#5
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A03/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H10/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H17/11
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A23/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H01/12
Prva Liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H03/12
Croatian Cup
Mladost
#2
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A08/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H15/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H12/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A16/01
Prva Liga
78.1Avg total
40.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.984.7+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.439.882.2+2.750%-
Last 30 away (14)43.444.387.6-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.078.1+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.435.881.2+9.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.345.483.7-7.123%-
vs Similar (8)42.840.182.9+2.650%-
vs Weaker (8)50.037.287.2+12.8100%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.023.0
56.1%
52.0%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.9
33.1%
33.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws14.611.4
78.1%
70.4%11.4
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.8
51.5%
52.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.112.2
36.9%
33.7%36.6
🏀 Free throws16.19.9
61.5%
70.4%9.9
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WWLWWLWWWW
Marsonia
WWWLWWWWLL
#1
League position
#6
+4.3
Net rating
+7.7
108.5
Offensive rating
108.3
104.3
Defensive rating
100.6
53.5%
Effective FG%
53.3%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.8%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.1%
3-point %
36.9%
59.6%
Assist %
46.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 108.3Defence104.3 · 100.6Shooting53.5% · 53.3%3-point %33.1% · 36.9%Ball care17.9% · 16.8%Off. rebounds27.9% · 28.9%Free throws0.22 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Samobor   ■ Marsonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Samobor wins
0
Marsonia wins
DateGameScore
11/02/24Samobor v Marsonia97-88
04/11/23Marsonia v Samobor79-81
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25HSkrljevo96-88
11/01/25AJazine100-94
16/12/24HZadar55-87
13/12/24HGorica77-65
05/12/24HBosco84-62
01/12/24AKastela72-102
23/11/24AOmis96-84
16/11/24HSonik Puntamika81-67
09/11/24ACrikvenica84-78
02/11/24HMladost99-91
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25ASonik Puntamika91-86
12/01/25HOmis98-71
15/12/24HCrikvenica95-62
08/12/24AMladost67-87
03/12/24HDinamo Zagreb86-85
01/12/24HKK Zagreb77-76
23/11/24AHermes93-71
17/11/24HDakovo80-64
10/11/24HKastela64-88
03/11/24AJazine92-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game88.486.790.2
Allowed / game80.675.385.8
Point differential+7.8+11.3+4.3
Avg total169.0162.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Marsonia
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%86%40%
Points / game85.085.085.0
Allowed / game78.372.187.0
Point differential+6.7+12.9-2.0
Avg total163.3157.1172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%71%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor1211192%88.480.6+7.8
2 Jazine1310377%94.583.0+11.5
3 Mladost1310377%83.178.0+5.1
4 Skrljevo139469%91.780.3+11.4
5 Marsonia128467%85.078.3+6.7
6 Kastela138562%86.872.3+14.5
7 Gorica138562%79.882.5-2.6
8 KK Zagreb137654%75.474.5+0.9
9 Omis135838%76.077.2-1.2
10 Sonik Puntamika134931%74.074.9-0.9
11 Crikvenica134931%68.078.8-10.8
12 Dakovo1331023%78.086.8-8.8
13 Hermes1321115%77.493.6-16.2
14 Bosco131128%72.588.7-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor22252825100
Marsonia242472580
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