PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cimarrones del Choco vs Cafeteros Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 May 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 50-65
21-16 7-14 15-16 7-19
Position#7
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game57.8
Allowed / game55.0
vs
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game64.5
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo El Jardin (Quibdo)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cimarrones del Choco v Cafeteros
29 Sep 2023
CIMA46
CAFE80
18 May 2023
CIMA63
CAFE55
17 May 2023
CIMA50
CAFE65
19 Nov 2021
CIMA68
CAFE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cafeteros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Bucaros
#6
W
95-57
95
57
+38
no box
A03/11
LBP
Bucaros
#6
W
72-66
72
66
+6
no box
H05/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#5
L
58-65
58
65
-7
no box
A08/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#5
L
56-65
56
65
-9
no box
A09/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#5
W
64-63
64
63
+1
no box
H18/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
no box
H19/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
42-58
42
58
-16
30avg 50
A02/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
51-60
51
60
-9
39avg 50
A03/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
62-47
62
47
+15
56avg 50
H09/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
76-55
76
55
+21
75avg 50
H10/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-10
26-17
18-15
22-15
21-9
17-17
22-19
12-21
12-17
20-11
13-22
13-15
13-14
13-18
20-16
10-17
8-18
17-11
14-18
25-16
20-17
19-20
20-19
13-22
4-18
7-11
19-13
12-16
19-14
7-14
18-15
7-17
21-2
13-14
19-10
9-21
19-18
22-10
24-20
11-7
126.2Avg total
64.8Scored
61.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)57.855.0112.8+2.850%
Season at home (2)69.051.0120.0+18.0100%
Season away (2)46.559.0105.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)64.861.4126.2+3.450%
Last 5 (5)60.659.6120.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)68.771.7140.4-3.029%
vs Similar (3)80.779.0159.7+1.767%
vs Weaker (20)80.266.8147.0+13.580%
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CafeterosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCafeteros
Date
Competition
Bucaros
#6
W
94-82
94
82
+12
no box
H26/05
LBP
Bucaros
#6
W
96-76
96
76
+20
no box
A27/05
LBP
Bucaros
#6
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
A30/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
H04/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
no box
A04/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
90-91
90
91
-1
no box
H07/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
56-79
56
79
-23
48avg 76
A06/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
87-66
87
66
+21
77avg 76
A07/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
90-59
90
59
+31
no box
H13/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
101-54
101
54
+47
103avg 76
H14/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
36-23
20-13
18-29
16-21
21-23
27-16
32-16
17-10
19-20
25-28
24-19
25-23
18-29
15-13
25-19
19-20
12-14
19-27
16-18
20-27
20-21
27-21
23-22
11-21
12-18
17-15
16-25
23-18
19-16
26-14
19-18
24-13
24-21
25-10
17-15
20-18
29-15
31-7
21-14
159.5Avg total
84.8Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.564.5148.0+19.075%
Season at home (2)95.556.5152.0+39.0100%
Season away (2)71.572.5144.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)84.874.7159.5+10.160%
Last 5 (5)84.869.8154.6+15.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.683.6161.2-6.00%
vs Similar (6)69.571.7141.2-2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.071.9157.9+14.189%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +6.8+6.8Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +6.8+6.8Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
Cimarrones del ChocoCafeteros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bucaros
#6
W
55-27
55
27
+28
A03/11
LBP
Bucaros
#6
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H05/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#5
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A08/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#5
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A09/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#5
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H18/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H19/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
11-29
11
29
-18
A02/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A03/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
34-16
34
16
+18
H09/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H10/05
LBP
60.7Avg total
32.7Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.633.472.0+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.031.972.9+9.187%-
Last 30 away (15)36.134.971.1+1.247%-
Last 10 (10)32.728.060.7+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)30.227.657.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.936.668.4-4.743%-
vs Similar (3)43.035.378.3+7.767%-
vs Weaker (20)40.232.072.3+8.275%-
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CafeterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bucaros
#6
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H26/05
LBP
Bucaros
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A27/05
LBP
Bucaros
#6
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A30/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H04/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A04/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H07/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A06/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A07/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H13/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H14/05
LBP
79.3Avg total
40.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.276.5+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.235.577.7+6.769%-
Last 30 away (14)38.137.175.2+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.879.3+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.678.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.842.683.4-1.840%-
vs Similar (6)34.033.367.3+0.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.235.577.6+6.758%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 57.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.8 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.216.0
40.8%
48.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.56.5
33.3%
31.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws8.25.8
69.7%
66.7%5.8
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cafeterostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cafeteros: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.023.5
58.8%
48.8%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.2
30.2%
31.7%21.8
🏀 Free throws21.015.5
73.8%
66.7%15.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 17 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cimarrones del Choco
WWLLLWLLWW
Cafeteros
WWWLLLLWWW
#7
League position
#3
+3.8
Net rating
+26.8
78.2
Offensive rating
114.3
74.5
Defensive rating
87.5
43.8%
Effective FG%
53.7%
40.5%
Opp. effective FG%
44.0%
25.0%
Turnover %
17.6%
18.1%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.14
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.3%
3-point %
30.2%
64.4%
Assist %
59.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence78.2 · 114.3Defence74.5 · 87.5Shooting43.8% · 53.7%3-point %33.3% · 30.2%Ball care25.0% · 17.6%Off. rebounds18.1% · 33.6%Free throws0.14 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Cimarrones del Choco   ■ Cafeteros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cimarrones del Choco wins
2
Cafeteros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/23HSabios de Manizales76-55
09/05/23HSabios de Manizales62-47
03/05/23ACaribbean Storm Islands51-60
02/05/23ACaribbean Storm Islands42-58
19/11/22HCaribbean Storm Islands72-78
18/11/22HCaribbean Storm Islands64-63
09/11/22ACaribbean Storm Islands56-65
08/11/22ACaribbean Storm Islands58-65
05/11/22HBucaros72-66
03/11/22ABucaros95-57
Cafeteroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/23HSabios de Manizales101-54
13/05/23HSabios de Manizales90-59
07/05/23ACaribbean Storm Islands87-66
06/05/23ACaribbean Storm Islands56-79
07/06/22HTitanes de Barranquilla90-91
04/06/22ATitanes de Barranquilla66-79
04/06/22HTitanes de Barranquilla83-84
30/05/22ABucaros85-77
27/05/22ABucaros96-76
26/05/22HBucaros94-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game57.869.046.5
Allowed / game55.051.059.0
Point differential+2.8+18.0-12.5
Avg total112.8120.0105.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cafeteros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game83.595.571.5
Allowed / game64.556.572.5
Point differential+19.0+39.0-1.0
Avg total148.0152.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cafeteros43175%83.564.5+19.0
2 Titanes de Barranquilla86275%84.567.1+17.4
3 Bucaros86275%82.868.5+14.2
4 Piratas de Bogota86275%82.274.2+8.0
5 Caribbean Storm Islands43175%65.859.0+6.8
6 Cimarrones del Choco42250%57.855.0+2.8
7 Motilones del Norte82625%70.272.8-2.5
8 Sabios de Manizales4040%53.882.2-28.5
9 Corsarios Cartagena8080%52.289.4-37.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cimarrones del Choco21715750
Cafeteros1614161965
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.