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Cincinnati vs UCF Knights Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-68
35-34 34-34
Position#169
Record6-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#199
Record6-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game65.1
Allowed / game70.1
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Cincinnati v UCF Knights
08 Feb 2026
CINC92
UCF 72
27 Jan 2024
CINC68
UCF 57
04 Feb 2023
CINC73
UCF 64
14 Feb 2021
CINC69
UCF 68
19 Feb 2020
CINC87
UCF 89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cincinnati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UCF Knights winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#75
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A12/12
NCAA
South Florida
#244
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H17/12
NCAA
Georgia
#156
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A20/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#199
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A22/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H02/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#62
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#39
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A10/01
NCAA
Temple
#300
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Tulane
#233
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A07/02
NCAA
Temple
#300
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-30
32-35
41-43
30-31
26-49
42-34
35-35
35-40
33-41
33-29
32-37
44-32
29-30
47-52
31-23
32-37
31-29
33-32
32-26
39-43
138.9Avg total
68.1Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)68.870.2139.1-1.446%
Season at home (6)70.369.7140.0+0.750%
Season away (7)67.670.7138.3-3.143%
Last 10 (10)68.170.8138.9-2.740%
Last 5 (5)70.068.2138.2+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.469.0136.4-1.644%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.767.5138.3+3.260%
vs Weaker (6)75.868.7144.5+7.283%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#300
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A17/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#62
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H23/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#238
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H28/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#39
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
A30/01
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
69-96
69
96
-27
A02/02
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A04/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H06/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#39
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#233
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-27
28-35
19-45
39-30
33-32
32-46
42-25
29-39
38-34
39-43
29-52
40-44
23-30
38-45
34-25
31-33
30-36
30-25
29-30
24-19
135.6Avg total
64.5Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)65.170.1135.2-4.938%
Season at home (8)63.262.2125.5+1.062%
Season away (8)67.077.9144.9-10.912%
Last 10 (10)64.571.1135.6-6.630%
Last 5 (5)61.667.8129.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)66.676.6143.2-10.015%
vs Similar ◀ (13)63.563.8127.3-0.462%
vs Weaker (4)77.564.0141.5+13.575%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -3.2-3.22nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -2.9-2.9
CincinnatiUCF Knights
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#75
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A12/12
NCAA
South Florida
#244
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H17/12
NCAA
Georgia
#156
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A20/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#199
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A22/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H02/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#62
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A08/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#39
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Temple
#300
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A05/02
NCAA
Tulane
#233
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A07/02
NCAA
Temple
#300
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H13/02
NCAA
65.7Avg total
31.4Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.832.464.2-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.630.963.5+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)31.233.664.8-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)31.434.365.7-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)31.029.060.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.434.465.9-3.011%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.130.962.1+0.253%-
vs Weaker (6)34.232.867.0+1.367%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#300
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A14/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
19-45
19
45
-26
A17/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#62
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H23/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#238
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H28/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#39
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A30/01
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A02/02
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A04/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H06/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#39
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#233
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H13/02
NCAA
64.0Avg total
30.4Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.831.061.8-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.527.760.2+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)29.134.363.4-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)30.433.664.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)29.034.663.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)29.235.564.7-6.423%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)30.528.258.7+2.246%-
vs Weaker (4)37.025.562.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cincinnati wins
2
UCF Knights wins
DateGameScore
22/12/20UCF Knights v Cincinnati75-70
20/02/20Cincinnati v UCF Knights87-89 OT
11/01/20UCF Knights v Cincinnati54-68
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/21HTemple71-69
07/02/21ATulane64-61
05/02/21ATemple63-60
10/01/21AWichita State76-82
08/01/21ASMU Mustangs76-69
02/01/21HTulsa66-70
22/12/20AUCF Knights70-75
20/12/20AGeorgia68-83
17/12/20HSouth Florida71-74
12/12/20ATennessee56-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/21HTulane53-49
11/02/21HWichita State60-61
06/02/21HTulsa65-58
04/02/21AMemphis61-75
02/02/21AMemphis69-96
30/01/21AWichita State88-93 OT
28/01/21HEast Carolina71-64
23/01/21HSMU Mustangs65-78
17/01/21AHouston58-75
14/01/21ATemple55-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cincinnati
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW46%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game68.870.367.6
Allowed / game70.269.770.7
Point differential-1.4+0.7-3.1
Avg total139.1140.0138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UCF Knights
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%62%12%
Points / game65.163.267.0
Allowed / game70.162.277.9
Point differential-4.9+1.0-10.9
Avg total135.2125.5144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor17170100%87.062.8+24.2
2 Houston1917289%76.557.3+19.2
3 Brigham Young2015575%78.868.4+10.3
4 Colorado2216673%75.463.9+11.5
5 Texas Tech2014670%74.262.7+11.6
6 West Virginia2014670%77.571.9+5.6
7 Oklahoma State1913668%75.771.3+4.5
8 Kansas2215768%74.667.4+7.3
9 Arizona2114767%76.568.1+8.4
10 TCU1911858%69.171.2-2.1
11 Utah Utes179853%70.667.5+3.1
12 Cincinnati136746%68.870.2-1.4
13 Arizona State156940%74.876.8-2.0
14 UCF Knights1661038%65.170.1-4.9
15 Kansas State2251723%62.973.7-10.8
16 Iowa State1621412%66.677.8-11.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cincinnati353469
UCF Knights343468
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