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Circus Brussels vs Den Bosch Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 74-73
18-17 16-21 25-19 15-16
Position#5
Record6-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#8
Record2-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game87.2
EuropeBNXT League· Piscine de Neder-Over-Hembeek
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Den Bosch winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 73
A13/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
67avg 73
H18/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
67-65
67
65
+2
60avg 73
H25/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
81-84
81
84
-3
78avg 73
A29/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
93-73
93
73
+20
91avg 73
A12/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
78-76
78
76
+2
77avg 73
H18/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
80-79
80
79
+1
71avg 73
A20/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
73-61
73
61
+12
66avg 73
H27/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
66-82
66
82
-16
50avg 73
H03/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
76-89
76
89
-13
69avg 73
A11/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
14-21
21-16
25-23
19-24
12-18
14-23
27-17
19-14
20-21
13-13
15-17
26-22
24-23
16-17
15-22
18-14
32-12
22-24
21-23
23-27
19-12
15-17
21-20
17-20
14-23
26-15
23-21
19-14
9-14
25-8
20-25
9-26
23-20
24-14
10-22
15-21
19-24
21-20
21-24
153.4Avg total
76.7Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.776.7153.4+0.060%
Season at home (5)71.273.2144.4-2.060%
Season away (5)82.280.2162.4+2.060%
Last 10 (10)76.776.7153.4+0.060%
Last 5 (5)74.677.4152.0-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.081.8157.8-5.825%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.376.5153.8+0.857%
vs Weaker (12)80.676.2156.8+4.458%
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosch
Date
Competition
Leiden
#1
L
58-87
58
87
-29
no box
A11/09
Supercup
Circus Brussels
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
67avg 74
H13/09
BNXT League
Petkim Spor
#11
L
72-92
72
92
-20
72avg 74
A17/09
Champions League
LWD Basket
#10
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
92avg 74
H28/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
80-87
80
87
-7
78avg 74
H03/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
84-78
84
78
+6
78avg 74
A12/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
81-92
81
92
-11
75avg 74
H17/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
61-93
61
93
-32
47avg 74
A26/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
61-92
61
92
-31
44avg 74
A02/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
82-76
82
76
+6
82avg 74
H13/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-22
6-29
25-14
17-22
16-21
21-14
16-21
23-25
17-24
25-27
14-19
16-22
28-22
19-22
18-16
17-22
18-22
24-23
20-20
18-22
29-16
15-23
23-26
17-13
15-21
19-22
27-27
20-22
17-25
11-17
13-31
20-20
9-24
18-26
13-25
21-17
26-19
23-24
12-15
21-18
162.9Avg total
75.2Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.887.2165.0-9.525%
Season at home (5)83.287.0170.2-3.820%
Season away (3)68.787.7156.3-19.033%
Last 10 (10)75.287.7162.9-12.520%
Last 5 (5)73.886.2160.0-12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.586.0156.5-15.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.482.7163.1-2.353%
vs Weaker (9)84.379.4163.8+4.944%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
Circus BrusselsDen Bosch
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Bosch
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A13/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H18/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H25/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A29/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A12/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H18/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A20/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H27/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A11/11
BNXT League
75.8Avg total
37.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.679.3+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.037.877.8+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)41.439.380.7+2.140%-
Last 10 (10)37.238.675.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.440.273.6-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.241.278.5-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.938.178.9+2.857%-
vs Weaker (12)41.738.279.9+3.442%-
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Den BoschLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leiden
#1
L
16-51
16
51
-35
A11/09
Supercup
Circus Brussels
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H13/09
BNXT League
Petkim Spor
#11
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A17/09
Champions League
LWD Basket
#10
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H28/09
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H03/10
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A12/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H17/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A26/10
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A02/11
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H13/11
BNXT League
80.9Avg total
36.6Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.881.3-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.141.184.2+2.164%-
Last 30 away (16)36.342.478.8-6.131%-
Last 10 (10)36.644.380.9-7.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.443.479.8-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.544.577.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.841.182.8+0.759%-
vs Weaker (9)39.140.679.7-1.444%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.422.1
56.1%
52.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.5
32.0%
34.1%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.512.0
68.6%
71.9%12.0
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Den Boschtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Den Bosch: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.5
54.0%
52.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.36.0
32.8%
34.1%18.0
🏀 Free throws16.112.0
74.5%
71.9%12.0
They take 54.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Circus Brussels
LLWWWWLWLW
Den Bosch
WLLLWLLLLL
#5
League position
#8
+0.0
Net rating
-14.4
105.1
Offensive rating
101.4
105.1
Defensive rating
115.8
53.4%
Effective FG%
52.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
19.7%
Turnover %
20.4%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.0%
3-point %
32.8%
58.4%
Assist %
60.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 101.4Defence105.1 · 115.8Shooting53.4% · 52.4%3-point %32.0% · 32.8%Ball care19.7% · 20.4%Off. rebounds29.6% · 25.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Circus Brussels   ■ Den Bosch
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Circus Brussels wins
0
Den Bosch wins
DateGameScore
13/09/24Den Bosch v Circus Brussels76-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/24AAntwerp Giants76-89
03/11/24HLWD Basket66-82
27/10/24HFeyenoord73-61
20/10/24AKortrijk80-79
18/10/24HLeuven Bears78-76
12/10/24ADen Helder93-73
29/09/24AZwolle81-84
25/09/24HAntwerp Giants67-65
18/09/24HOostende72-82
13/09/24ADen Bosch81-76
Den Boschlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/24HLeuven Bears82-76
02/11/24ALimburg61-92
26/10/24AOkapi Aalst61-93
17/10/24HFeyenoord81-92
12/10/24ABelfius Mons84-78
03/10/24HKortrijk80-87
28/09/24HLWD Basket97-99 OT
17/09/24APetkim Spor72-92
13/09/24HCircus Brussels76-81
11/09/24ALeiden58-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game76.771.282.2
Allowed / game76.773.280.2
Point differential+0.0-2.0+2.0
Avg total153.4144.4162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Den Bosch
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW25%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%20%33%
Points / game77.883.268.7
Allowed / game87.287.087.7
Point differential-9.5-3.8-19.0
Avg total165.0170.2156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende119282%89.176.1+13.0
2 Kortrijk108280%94.580.0+14.5
3 Limburg107370%80.171.3+8.8
4 LWD Basket107370%83.579.8+3.7
5 Circus Brussels106460%76.776.7+0.0
6 Antwerp Giants95456%78.975.2+3.7
7 Mechelen95456%78.977.9+1.0
8 Belfius Mons116555%81.079.7+1.3
9 Leiden116555%77.681.1-3.5
10 Okapi Aalst105550%80.976.9+4.0
11 Zwolle105550%83.186.4-3.3
12 Leuven Bears115645%78.473.6+4.7
13 Spirou Charleroi94544%79.074.3+4.7
14 Donar Groningen83538%74.682.0-7.4
15 Feyenoord93633%79.085.7-6.7
16 Den Helder113827%70.883.5-12.7
17 Den Bosch82625%77.887.2-9.5
18 QSTA Utd92722%80.288.0-7.8
19 BAL Weert102820%74.687.3-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Circus Brussels1816251574
Den Bosch1721191673
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