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Circus Brussels vs LWD Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 66-82
9-26 23-20 24-14 10-22
Position#5
Record6-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#10
Record4-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game82.6
EuropeBNXT League· Piscine de Neder-Over-Hembeek
Other2024-25
Meetings · Circus Brussels v LWD Basket
03 Nov 2024
CIRC66
LWD 82
17 Mar 2024
CIRC104
LWD 81
22 Apr 2022
CIRC90
LWD 91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Circus Brussels winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LWD Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#20
W
62-57
62
57
+5
62avg 73
A30/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
88avg 73
H03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 73
A13/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
67avg 73
H18/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
67-65
67
65
+2
60avg 73
H25/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
81-84
81
84
-3
78avg 73
A29/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
93-73
93
73
+20
91avg 73
A12/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
78-76
78
76
+2
77avg 73
H18/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
80-79
80
79
+1
71avg 73
A20/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
73-61
73
61
+12
66avg 73
H27/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-10
16-18
13-17
15-12
18-27
20-13
22-19
21-22
21-16
14-21
21-16
25-23
19-24
12-18
14-23
27-17
19-14
20-21
13-13
15-17
26-22
24-23
16-17
15-22
18-14
32-12
22-24
21-23
23-27
19-12
15-17
21-20
17-20
14-23
26-15
23-21
19-14
9-14
25-8
20-25
152.3Avg total
78.0Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.174.5152.6+3.675%
Season at home (4)72.571.0143.5+1.575%
Season away (4)83.878.0161.8+5.875%
Last 10 (10)78.074.3152.3+3.780%
Last 5 (5)81.074.6155.6+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.474.8144.2-5.420%
vs Similar (14)77.175.3152.4+1.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.975.6157.5+6.364%
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
L
77-92
77
92
-15
73avg 71
A03/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#4
L
61-90
61
90
-29
54avg 71
A08/05
DBL
Zwolle
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
73avg 71
H10/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#14
L
64-73
64
73
-9
57avg 71
H14/09
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
93avg 71
A28/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
80avg 71
H05/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
48-85
48
85
-37
42avg 71
A12/10
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
100-76
100
76
+24
98avg 71
H18/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
91-70
91
70
+21
90avg 71
A20/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 71
H27/10
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
20-22
17-17
16-22
12-26
21-25
15-19
13-20
22-27
16-14
18-25
24-22
26-12
7-19
13-17
18-25
22-28
22-19
16-18
22-17
19-18
18-28
22-18
27-28
11-23
11-20
9-18
17-24
28-15
19-25
24-19
29-17
21-29
22-13
24-21
24-7
26-28
22-24
29-20
12-13
164.3Avg total
79.5Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.482.6165.0-0.157%
Season at home (4)84.881.5166.2+3.250%
Season away (3)79.384.0163.3-4.767%
Last 10 (10)79.584.8164.3-5.340%
Last 5 (5)82.881.6164.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)79.588.0167.6-8.533%
vs Similar (4)80.281.8162.0-1.550%
vs Weaker (5)80.476.2156.6+4.260%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
Circus BrusselsLWD Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#20
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A30/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A13/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H18/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H25/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A29/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A12/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H18/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A20/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H27/10
BNXT League
74.1Avg total
37.8Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.578.0+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.637.277.8+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)40.437.878.2+2.744%-
Last 10 (10)37.836.374.1+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.276.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.037.271.2-3.240%-
vs Similar (14)41.237.678.8+3.664%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.537.580.1+5.045%-
This opponent (LWD Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LWD BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A03/05
BNXT League
Zwolle
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A08/05
DBL
Zwolle
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H10/05
DBL
Donar Groningen
#14
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H14/09
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A28/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H05/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A12/10
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H18/10
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A20/10
BNXT League
Mechelen
#3
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H27/10
BNXT League
83.5Avg total
38.9Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.744.083.7-4.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.942.884.7-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)37.545.182.7-7.627%-
Last 10 (10)38.944.683.5-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.684.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)39.646.986.5-7.219%-
vs Similar (4)37.241.879.0-4.550%-
vs Weaker (5)42.233.675.8+8.6100%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.4
57.4%
52.6%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.8
34.0%
34.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws17.611.8
67.0%
71.9%11.8
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LWD Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LWD Basket: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.1
54.0%
52.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.3
35.4%
34.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.312.6
68.9%
71.9%12.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Circus Brussels
WWWWLWLWWW
LWD Basket
WWWLLWLLLL
#5
League position
#10
+5.1
Net rating
-7.1
106.1
Offensive rating
105.3
101.0
Defensive rating
112.4
55.3%
Effective FG%
53.6%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
21.5%
Turnover %
21.4%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.0%
3-point %
35.4%
57.9%
Assist %
64.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 105.3Defence101.0 · 112.4Shooting55.3% · 53.6%3-point %34.0% · 35.4%Ball care21.5% · 21.4%Off. rebounds31.6% · 30.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Circus Brussels   ■ LWD Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Circus Brussels wins
2
LWD Basket wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24HFeyenoord73-61
20/10/24AKortrijk80-79
18/10/24HLeuven Bears78-76
12/10/24ADen Helder93-73
29/09/24AZwolle81-84
25/09/24HAntwerp Giants67-65
18/09/24HOostende72-82
13/09/24ADen Bosch81-76
03/05/24HFeyenoord93-90 OT
30/04/24ADen Helder62-57
LWD Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24HMechelen89-85
20/10/24AZwolle91-70
18/10/24HQSTA Utd100-76
12/10/24ALeuven Bears48-85
05/10/24HOostende86-92
28/09/24ADen Bosch99-97 OT
14/09/24HDonar Groningen64-73
10/05/24HZwolle80-88
08/05/24AZwolle61-90
03/05/24AMechelen77-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game78.172.583.8
Allowed / game74.571.078.0
Point differential+3.6+1.5+5.8
Avg total152.6143.5161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
LWD Basket
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game82.484.879.3
Allowed / game82.681.584.0
Point differential-0.1+3.2-4.7
Avg total165.0166.2163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende97278%89.476.4+13.0
2 Kortrijk97278%93.080.7+12.3
3 Limburg86275%80.569.5+11.0
4 Circus Brussels86275%78.174.5+3.6
5 Leuven Bears85362%78.567.5+11.0
6 Zwolle85362%85.187.2-2.1
7 Spirou Charleroi74357%78.169.4+8.7
8 LWD Basket74357%82.482.6-0.1
9 Belfius Mons95456%81.380.1+1.2
10 Leiden95456%76.979.9-3.0
11 Mechelen84450%78.979.1-0.2
12 Antwerp Giants73443%77.174.9+2.3
13 Okapi Aalst73443%77.977.6+0.3
14 Den Helder93633%70.981.3-10.4
15 Donar Groningen72529%74.483.4-9.0
16 QSTA Utd82625%81.289.5-8.2
17 BAL Weert82625%76.088.2-12.2
18 Feyenoord71614%74.184.6-10.4
19 Den Bosch71614%77.188.9-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Circus Brussels923241066
LWD Basket2620142282
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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