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Zwolle vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 84-81
22-26 23-24 17-16 22-15
Position#15
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game81.0
Zwolle 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record2-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game74.3
EuropeBNXT League· Landstede Sportcentrum
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zwolle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
59-69
59
69
-10
52avg 68
A26/04
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
77avg 68
H01/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
57-91
57
91
-34
50avg 68
A03/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#7
W
90-61
90
61
+29
79avg 68
H08/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
85avg 68
A10/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
60-68
60
68
-8
55avg 68
A15/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
58-64
58
64
-6
46avg 68
H17/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
62avg 68
A19/05
DBL
BAL Weert
#18
W
89-80
89
80
+9
83avg 68
A14/09
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 68
H22/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
9-25
16-9
20-15
15-27
20-16
24-22
21-15
11-27
15-21
18-21
13-22
26-12
25-21
19-15
20-13
27-22
14-16
25-18
22-24
13-20
17-14
14-22
16-12
20-15
18-15
15-20
5-14
14-14
14-24
18-18
25-23
22-19
20-23
23-29
24-9
22-17
18-25
21-16
29-24
151.3Avg total
74.8Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.581.0170.5+8.5100%
Season at home (1)90.082.0172.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)89.080.0169.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.876.5151.3-1.740%
Last 5 (5)73.674.6148.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)69.877.5147.3-7.627%
vs Similar (11)72.877.2150.0-4.427%
vs Weaker (8)83.672.5156.1+11.188%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#20
W
98-61
98
61
+37
106avg 74
H05/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
61-80
61
80
-19
46avg 74
A09/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
75-71
75
71
+4
74avg 74
H13/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
83-89
83
89
-6
78avg 74
A21/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
91-82
91
82
+9
91avg 74
H26/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
62-57
62
57
+5
62avg 74
A30/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
88avg 74
H03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 74
A13/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
67avg 74
H18/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
67-65
67
65
+2
60avg 74
H25/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
24-20
29-20
20-8
19-19
15-20
14-21
13-20
24-21
22-16
14-15
15-19
20-27
27-24
19-18
17-20
20-21
28-20
15-24
28-17
18-10
16-18
13-17
15-12
18-27
20-13
22-19
21-22
21-16
14-21
21-16
25-23
19-24
12-18
14-23
27-17
19-14
20-21
13-13
15-17
153.6Avg total
78.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.374.3147.7-1.067%
Season at home (2)69.573.5143.0-4.050%
Season away (1)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.375.3153.6+3.070%
Last 5 (5)75.074.0149.0+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.072.6139.6-5.60%
vs Similar (17)74.975.1150.0-0.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.876.8158.5+5.062%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
ZwolleCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#3
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A26/04
BNXT League
Liege
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H01/05
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A03/05
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#7
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H08/05
DBL
LWD Basket
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A15/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H17/05
DBL
Leiden
#1
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A19/05
DBL
BAL Weert
#18
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A14/09
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H22/09
BNXT League
74.7Avg total
35.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.739.074.8-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.838.175.9-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)33.740.073.7-6.327%-
Last 10 (10)35.439.374.7-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.272.8-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.238.572.6-4.336%-
vs Similar (11)32.039.771.7-7.718%-
vs Weaker (8)43.038.981.9+4.162%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#20
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H05/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A09/04
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A21/04
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H26/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A30/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H03/05
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A13/09
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H18/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H25/09
BNXT League
78.4Avg total
40.1Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.276.5+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.537.076.5+2.562%-
Last 30 away (14)39.137.476.5+1.636%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.378.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.471.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.634.670.2+1.060%-
vs Similar (17)38.937.075.9+1.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.539.281.8+3.238%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.8
53.2%
52.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.2
33.5%
34.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.29.4
61.8%
71.9%9.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.0
53.8%
52.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.2
36.0%
34.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.214.9
73.8%
71.9%14.9
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zwolle
WWLLLWWLLL
Circus Brussels
WLWWWWLWLW
#15
League position
#5
-3.0
Net rating
+4.7
103.7
Offensive rating
106.3
106.6
Defensive rating
101.6
52.0%
Effective FG%
53.9%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
21.9%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.5%
3-point %
36.0%
54.3%
Assist %
61.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 106.3Defence106.6 · 101.6Shooting52.0% · 53.9%3-point %33.5% · 36.0%Ball care16.5% · 21.9%Off. rebounds26.3% · 30.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Zwolle   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Zwolle wins
0
Circus Brussels wins
No previous meetings.
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/24HOkapi Aalst90-82
14/09/24ABAL Weert89-80
19/05/24ALeiden71-79
17/05/24HLeiden58-64
15/05/24ALeiden60-68
10/05/24ALWD Basket88-80
08/05/24HLWD Basket90-61
03/05/24ALimburg57-91
01/05/24HLiege86-91 OT
26/04/24AAntwerp Giants59-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/24HAntwerp Giants67-65
18/09/24HOostende72-82
13/09/24ADen Bosch81-76
03/05/24HFeyenoord93-90 OT
30/04/24ADen Helder62-57
26/04/24HKortrijk91-82
21/04/24AQSTA Utd83-89
13/04/24HOkapi Aalst75-71
09/04/24ALWD Basket61-80
05/04/24HDen Helder98-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zwolle
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.590.089.0
Allowed / game81.082.080.0
Point differential+8.5+8.0+9.0
Avg total170.5172.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game73.369.581.0
Allowed / game74.373.576.0
Point differential-1.0-4.0+5.0
Avg total147.7143.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk330100%100.076.3+23.7
2 Limburg330100%80.362.3+18.0
3 Zwolle220100%89.581.0+8.5
4 Oostende43175%85.570.8+14.8
5 Belfius Mons32167%82.077.0+5.0
6 Leiden32167%80.780.7+0.0
7 Circus Brussels32167%73.374.3-1.0
8 Spirou Charleroi21150%88.571.5+17.0
9 Leuven Bears21150%70.564.5+6.0
10 Mechelen21150%72.074.5-2.5
11 LWD Basket21150%81.585.0-3.5
12 Antwerp Giants31233%70.372.7-2.3
13 Den Helder31233%66.076.0-10.0
14 Donar Groningen31233%74.085.0-11.0
15 QSTA Utd31233%71.386.7-15.3
16 Den Bosch2020%86.590.0-3.5
17 Okapi Aalst3030%67.376.7-9.3
18 Feyenoord2020%68.091.5-23.5
19 BAL Weert2020%77.5102.0-24.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zwolle2223172284
Circus Brussels2624161581
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