PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Citadel vs Bellarmine Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 58-70
31-35 27-35
Position#302
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#279
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game87.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bellarmine winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#264
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H20/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
42-85
42
85
-43
A27/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H01/03
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A08/03
NCAA
Erskine
#496
W
105-61
105
61
+44
H04/11
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
47-76
47
76
-29
A07/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H11/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
L
92-100
92
100
-8
A15/11
NCAA
North Greenville
#215
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-29
27-33
33-41
42-35
11-44
31-41
23-38
43-43
27-36
35-37
47-21
58-40
24-38
23-38
48-45
38-51
39-47
53-53
35-23
35-34
146.4Avg total
69.7Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.078.0158.0+2.040%
Season at home (3)87.071.3158.3+15.767%
Season away (2)69.588.0157.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)69.776.7146.4-7.020%
Last 5 (5)80.078.0158.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)62.078.2140.2-16.15%
vs Similar ◀ (5)72.281.0153.2-8.80%
vs Weaker (3)99.767.7167.3+32.0100%
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Georgia
#354
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H15/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
94-68
94
68
+26
H18/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H20/02
NCAA
Stetson
#341
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
59-104
59
104
-45
A04/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
71-98
71
98
-27
A09/11
NCAA
Hanover
#540
W
94-55
94
55
+39
H13/11
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H15/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-34
34-47
50-19
44-49
37-28
43-46
32-31
35-38
34-40
27-40
29-49
30-55
30-46
41-52
41-25
53-30
38-51
48-43
30-37
49-49
157.6Avg total
76.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.887.4165.2-9.620%
Season at home (2)90.074.5164.5+15.550%
Season away (3)69.796.0165.7-26.30%
Last 10 (10)76.780.9157.6-4.230%
Last 5 (5)77.887.4165.2-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)71.683.3154.9-11.811%
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.184.2156.3-12.10%
vs Weaker (2)97.563.0160.5+34.5100%
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: -4.5-4.5
CitadelBellarmine
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#264
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A22/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
11-44
11
44
-33
A27/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H01/03
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Erskine
#496
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H04/11
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A07/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H11/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A15/11
NCAA
North Greenville
#215
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H20/11
NCAA
67.4Avg total
31.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.138.169.2-6.920%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.335.870.1-1.431%-
Last 30 away (14)27.540.768.2-13.27%-
Last 10 (10)31.236.267.4-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.634.873.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)27.938.666.5-10.79%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)33.439.673.0-6.220%-
vs Weaker (3)51.331.783.0+19.7100%-
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Georgia
#354
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H15/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H18/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H20/02
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A25/02
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A04/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A09/11
NCAA
Hanover
#540
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H13/11
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H15/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A20/11
NCAA
72.3Avg total
36.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.738.272.9-3.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.035.973.9+2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)31.940.172.0-8.212%-
Last 10 (10)36.336.072.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.641.675.2-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)33.738.872.4-5.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.940.774.6-6.833%-
vs Weaker (2)45.028.073.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Citadel wins
0
Bellarmine wins
No previous meetings.
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25HNorth Greenville70-57
15/11/25AWest Georgia92-100
11/11/25HCharleston Southern86-96
07/11/25ABoston College47-76
04/11/25HErskine105-61
08/03/25AVMI62-73
01/03/25HEast Tennessee St66-81
27/02/25AFurman42-85
22/02/25AChattanooga Mocs75-76
20/02/25HMercer52-62
Bellarminelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25ANotre Dame79-86
15/11/25HWofford86-94
13/11/25HHanover94-55
09/11/25AKansas State71-98
04/11/25AGeorgia59-104
27/02/25AFlorida Gulf Coast61-80
25/02/25AStetson67-69
20/02/25HEastern Kentucky80-74
18/02/25HAustin Peay94-68
15/02/25HWest Georgia76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game80.087.069.5
Allowed / game78.071.388.0
Point differential+2.0+15.7-18.5
Avg total158.0158.3157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bellarmine
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game77.890.069.7
Allowed / game87.474.596.0
Point differential-9.6+15.5-26.3
Avg total165.2164.5165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St65183%82.262.0+20.2
2 Wofford64267%75.876.7-0.8
3 Mercer53260%83.680.6+3.0
4 Furman63350%74.068.8+5.2
5 Chattanooga Mocs63350%74.873.5+1.3
6 Western Carolina63350%71.775.7-4.0
7 Samford73443%77.180.1-3.0
8 Citadel52340%80.078.0+2.0
9 VMI83538%80.678.1+2.5
10 NC Greensboro61517%73.887.8-14.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Gulf Coast53260%85.680.6+5.0
2 West Georgia74357%76.378.4-2.1
3 Austin Peay63350%79.366.5+12.8
4 Stetson63350%76.281.3-5.2
5 Queens Royals73443%82.483.7-1.3
6 Lipscomb62433%75.276.0-0.8
7 Central Arkansas62433%74.278.8-4.7
8 North Alabama62433%71.880.5-8.7
9 Eastern Kentucky51420%84.885.4-0.6
10 Bellarmine51420%77.887.4-9.6
11 North Florida61517%82.588.8-6.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel312758
Bellarmine353570
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.