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Citadel vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 52-62
25-29 27-33
Position#361
Record5-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Mercer 🏆
USA
Position#264
Record11-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Citadel v Mercer
14 Feb 2026
CITA54
MERC70
19 Feb 2025
CITA52
MERC62
24 Jan 2024
CITA68
MERC66
28 Jan 2023
CITA65
MERC74
17 Jan 2022
CITA64
MERC71
20 Jan 2021
CITA63
MERC83
26 Feb 2020
CITA57
MERC73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#105
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A23/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
L
78-80 OT
78
80
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
46-80
46
80
-34
A30/01
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
58-83
58
83
-25
H01/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H06/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A08/02
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
H13/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-34
28-36
36-41
34-34
26-52
42-27
27-36
45-36
18-34
28-46
29-47
29-36
32-34
29-42
31-41
39-41
31-32
35-34
35-30
38-46
142.7Avg total
65.2Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)68.075.0143.0-7.020%
Season at home (15)72.972.3145.2+0.733%
Season away (10)60.679.0139.6-18.40%
Last 10 (10)65.277.5142.7-12.30%
Last 5 (5)66.678.2144.8-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)62.579.1141.6-16.56%
vs Similar (9)71.876.0147.8-4.211%
vs Weaker (3)93.366.0159.3+27.3100%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#61
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H16/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A18/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A23/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H25/01
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
80-46
80
46
+34
H30/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A01/02
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
79-100
79
100
-21
A06/02
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
66-77
66
77
-11
H08/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
72-96
72
96
-24
A13/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-41
36-34
23-26
26-43
35-48
44-30
38-41
36-38
34-18
46-28
48-41
36-52
42-52
37-48
27-38
39-39
35-52
37-44
34-36
37-44
152.1Avg total
72.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.677.2155.8+1.341%
Season at home (13)83.270.5153.7+12.654%
Season away (14)74.383.4157.7-9.129%
Last 10 (10)72.879.3152.1-6.520%
Last 5 (5)74.489.2163.6-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.581.9156.4-7.320%
vs Similar (8)73.579.0152.5-5.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)91.163.7154.9+27.486%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -8.7-8.71st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: -2.6-2.6
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -8.7-8.71st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: -2.6-2.6
CitadelMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#105
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A16/01
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A23/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H25/01
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
18-34
18
34
-16
A30/01
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H01/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H13/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A15/02
NCAA
67.5Avg total
29.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.337.369.6-5.023%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.635.469.9-0.835%-
Last 30 away (13)29.339.869.2-10.58%-
Last 10 (10)29.438.167.5-8.710%-
Last 5 (5)31.636.868.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)27.939.367.2-11.40%-
vs Similar (9)33.236.069.2-2.833%-
vs Weaker (3)53.034.787.7+18.3100%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#61
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H16/01
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A18/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A23/01
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
34-18
34
18
+16
H30/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A01/02
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A06/02
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H08/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A13/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H15/02
NCAA
74.7Avg total
35.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.936.172.0-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.432.469.8+4.950%-
Last 30 away (16)34.639.373.9-4.738%-
Last 10 (10)35.439.374.7-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)37.243.881.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.740.274.9-5.520%-
vs Similar (8)32.235.467.6-3.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.728.170.9+14.6100%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Citadel wins
8
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
30/01/25Mercer v Citadel80-46
08/03/24Mercer v Citadel84-76
22/02/24Mercer v Citadel87-78
25/01/24Citadel v Mercer68-66
03/03/23Mercer v Citadel66-41
25/02/23Mercer v Citadel72-50
28/01/23Citadel v Mercer65-74
24/02/22Mercer v Citadel67-71
18/01/22Citadel v Mercer64-71
23/02/21Mercer v Citadel88-52
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25AWestern Carolina73-76
13/02/25HWofford71-74 OT
08/02/25AVMI70-82
06/02/25HNC Greensboro61-76
01/02/25HSamford58-83
30/01/25AMercer46-80
25/01/25HWestern Carolina78-80 OT
23/01/25AWofford68-79
18/01/25HVMI70-75
16/01/25ANC Greensboro57-70
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HVMI71-80
13/02/25AFurman72-96
08/02/25HWofford66-77
06/02/25ASamford79-100
01/02/25AChattanooga Mocs84-93
30/01/25HCitadel80-46
25/01/25HFurman74-79
23/01/25ANC Greensboro79-78
18/01/25AWofford49-69
16/01/25HSamford74-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game68.072.960.6
Allowed / game75.072.379.0
Point differential-7.0+0.7-18.4
Avg total143.0145.2139.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %12%20%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL41%
HomeLLWLL54%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %41%54%29%
Points / game78.683.274.3
Allowed / game77.270.583.4
Point differential+1.3+12.6-9.1
Avg total155.8153.7157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)33% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %11%15%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford2720774%82.672.9+9.7
2 Furman2719870%76.368.9+7.4
3 Chattanooga Mocs2719870%78.471.9+6.5
4 NC Greensboro2718967%73.264.0+9.3
5 East Tennessee St27151256%72.767.2+5.5
6 Wofford28151354%74.269.5+4.8
7 VMI28131546%73.872.2+1.6
8 Mercer27111641%78.677.2+1.3
9 Western Carolina2581732%69.278.0-8.8
10 Citadel2552020%68.075.0-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel252752
Mercer293362
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