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Cividale vs Chiusi Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-58
18-16 18-13 23-15 23-14
Position#11
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game70.0
Cividale 🏆
Italy
vs
Chiusi
Italy
Position#18
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game58.0
Allowed / game74.0
ItalySerie A2Round 3· PalaGesteco
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cividale v Chiusi
11 Oct 2023
CIVI82
CHIU58
18 Dec 2022
CIVI62
CHIU63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cividale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chiusi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#10
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
A23/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
78-82
78
82
-4
no box
H29/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
no box
A07/05
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
no box
A15/05
Serie A2
Udine
#8
L
57-77
57
77
-20
no box
A17/05
Serie A2
Udine
#8
L
68-79
68
79
-11
no box
H20/05
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
74-65
74
65
+9
no box
H22/05
Serie A2
Udine
#8
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
A25/05
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
66-72
66
72
-6
53avg 59
H30/09
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
73-68
73
68
+5
65avg 59
A08/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
28-24
18-15
17-25
17-25
19-20
20-19
22-18
28-16
11-22
17-22
19-15
31-28
19-25
22-18
16-11
15-19
16-15
22-22
4-21
13-18
19-20
17-23
19-18
17-16
21-9
17-25
19-15
15-26
30-18
17-21
22-21
17-17
14-12
21-23
14-20
14-20
22-10
21-17
16-21
153.7Avg total
75.7Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)69.570.0139.5-0.550%
Season at home (1)66.072.0138.0-6.00%
Season away (1)73.068.0141.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.778.0153.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)73.074.0147.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.067.5136.5+1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (24)74.975.3150.2-0.446%
vs Weaker (4)68.063.8131.8+4.250%
This opponent (Chiusi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChiusiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiusi
Date
Competition
Latina
#19
L
69-75
69
75
-6
no box
A08/04
Serie A2
Trapani
#24
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
H16/04
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
L
83-90
83
90
-7
no box
A23/04
Serie A2
Latina
#19
W
82-66
82
66
+16
no box
H30/04
Serie A2
Trapani
#24
W
77-73
77
73
+4
no box
A07/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
62-68
62
68
-6
no box
A14/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
60-73
60
73
-13
no box
H22/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
76-89
76
89
-13
no box
H24/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
51-72
51
72
-21
46avg 48
A01/10
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
65-76
65
76
-11
51avg 48
H08/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
14-24
16-20
16-13
28-20
11-15
22-21
22-22
27-24
19-23
19-24
18-19
23-19
10-22
22-14
27-11
11-17
24-17
14-23
28-16
17-18
19-14
9-22
17-14
10-25
21-14
17-22
12-12
17-21
19-23
29-16
11-29
15-17
14-14
10-23
12-18
21-18
22-14
9-24
13-20
146.8Avg total
70.8Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)58.074.0132.0-16.00%
Season at home (1)65.076.0141.0-11.00%
Season away (1)51.072.0123.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)70.876.0146.8-5.230%
Last 5 (5)62.875.6138.4-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)65.173.6138.7-8.510%
vs Similar ◀ (18)74.073.4147.4+0.650%
vs Weaker (2)80.075.5155.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
CividaleChiusi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#10
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A23/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H29/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A07/05
Serie A2
Udine
#8
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A15/05
Serie A2
Udine
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A17/05
Serie A2
Udine
#8
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H20/05
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H22/05
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A25/05
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H30/09
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A08/10
Serie A2
77.3Avg total
38.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.437.975.3-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.936.874.6+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)36.938.975.8-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)38.838.577.3+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.433.269.6+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.031.072.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)38.038.676.6-0.646%-
vs Weaker (4)31.837.269.0-5.50%-
This opponent (Chiusi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChiusiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latina
#19
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/04
Serie A2
Trapani
#24
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H16/04
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A23/04
Serie A2
Latina
#19
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H30/04
Serie A2
Trapani
#24
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A07/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A14/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H22/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A01/10
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H08/10
Serie A2
74.2Avg total
36.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.237.673.8-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.737.675.2+0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)34.537.672.1-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)36.537.774.2-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.035.670.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.536.671.1-2.130%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.138.475.5-1.433%-
vs Weaker (2)37.034.571.5+2.5100%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.015.5
44.3%
50.3%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.5
35.2%
34.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws13.010.0
76.9%
74.2%10.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chiusitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiusi: 57.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.516.0
42.7%
50.3%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.03.5
16.7%
34.1%10.5
🏀 Free throws19.014.5
76.3%
74.2%14.5
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cividale
WLLWLLWWLL
Chiusi
LLLLLWWLWL
#11
League position
#18
+0.7
Net rating
-21.1
95.6
Offensive rating
75.3
94.9
Defensive rating
96.5
48.0%
Effective FG%
36.3%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
23.2%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.2%
3-point %
16.7%
50.0%
Assist %
59.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 75.3Defence94.9 · 96.5Shooting48.0% · 36.3%3-point %35.2% · 16.7%Ball care18.6% · 23.2%Off. rebounds23.6% · 22.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Cividale   ■ Chiusi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cividale wins
2
Chiusi wins
DateGameScore
26/03/23Chiusi v Cividale76-62
18/12/22Cividale v Chiusi62-63
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23AOrzinuovi73-68
30/09/23HVerona66-72
25/05/23AUdine84-86
22/05/23HUdine74-65
20/05/23HUdine68-79
17/05/23AUdine57-77
15/05/23AUdine88-82
07/05/23AAssigeco Piacenza84-80 OT
29/04/23HBasket Torino78-82
23/04/23AUrania Milano85-89
Chiusilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23HTrieste65-76
01/10/23AFortitudo Bologna51-72
24/05/23HForli76-89
22/05/23HForli60-73
14/05/23AForli62-68
07/05/23ATrapani77-73
30/04/23HLatina82-66
23/04/23AAgrigento83-90
16/04/23HTrapani83-78
08/04/23ALatina69-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cividale
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game69.566.073.0
Allowed / game70.072.068.0
Point differential-0.5-6.0+5.0
Avg total139.5138.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chiusi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game58.065.051.0
Allowed / game74.076.072.0
Point differential-16.0-11.0-21.0
Avg total132.0141.0123.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Forli220100%88.565.5+23.0
2 Fortitudo Bologna220100%77.062.5+14.5
3 Trieste220100%78.070.0+8.0
4 Sebastiani Rieti220100%83.075.5+7.5
5 Trapani220100%90.583.5+7.0
6 Udine220100%87.580.5+7.0
7 Luiss Roma220100%79.074.5+4.5
8 Basket Torino21150%85.581.0+4.5
9 Verona21150%74.573.0+1.5
10 Cantu21150%89.588.5+1.0
11 Assigeco Piacenza21150%84.084.5-0.5
12 Cividale21150%69.570.0-0.5
13 JuVi Cremona21150%89.089.5-0.5
14 Agrigento21150%71.072.0-1.0
15 Urania Milano21150%80.581.5-1.0
16 Treviglio21150%89.090.5-1.5
17 Cento21150%70.577.5-7.0
18 Monferrato2020%81.585.0-3.5
19 Orzinuovi2020%71.576.5-5.0
20 Rimini2020%76.084.0-8.0
21 Vigevano2020%76.584.5-8.0
22 Latina2020%80.089.0-9.0
23 Chiusi2020%58.074.0-16.0
24 Nardo2020%74.591.5-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cividale1818232382
Chiusi1613151458
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