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Cleveland State vs Kent State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 82-81
Projected total 163.5
Scheduled
Position#246
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game88.0
Vs
53%
47%
■ CLEV 53%■ KENT 47%
Pythia win probability
Position#275
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game75.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cleveland State v Kent State
21 Nov 2026
CLEV v KENT
upcoming
23 Nov 2024
CLEV52
KENT68
10 Dec 2022
CLEV58
KENT67
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Cleveland State host Kent State in the NCAA. Pythia makes Cleveland State the favourite at 53% and projects 82-81, about 163 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Cleveland State are 2-2 this season (75.2 scored, 88.0 allowed a game), form LLWLW; Kent State are 1-2 this season (83.3 scored, 75.3 allowed a game), form WLLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cleveland State win
53.4%fair 1.87
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kent State win
46.6%fair 2.14
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cleveland StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Youngstown State
#227
L
82-106
82
106
-24
A18/02
NCAA
IPFW
#181
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H26/02
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A28/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
101-93
101
93
+8
H03/03
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
61-90
61
90
-29
A05/03
NCAA
Missouri
#145
L
50-111
50
111
-61
A04/11
NCAA
Michigan Dearborn Wolves
#391
W
103-79
103
79
+24
H07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#72
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A10/11
NCAA
West Florida Argonauts
#248
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-52
44-54
40-43
46-49
24-42
46-39
39-39
25-44
45-36
56-57
32-37
29-53
18-56
32-55
47-40
56-39
37-44
42-51
31-36
38-31
166.2Avg total
76.5Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.288.0163.2-12.850%
Season at home (2)86.073.0159.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)64.5103.0167.5-38.50%
Last 10 (10)76.589.7166.2-13.230%
Last 5 (5)72.488.4160.8-16.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)74.588.0162.5-13.523%
vs Similar (5)87.086.0173.0+1.060%
vs Weaker (1)96.052.0148.0+44.0100%
This opponent (Kent State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kent StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#143
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A18/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
70-92
70
92
-22
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
102-76
102
76
+26
A04/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H12/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A13/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#209
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A03/11
NCAA
Roberts Wesleyan
#493
W
102-50
102
50
+52
H07/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#19
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-25
48-46
32-42
51-39
37-47
33-45
51-28
51-48
46-37
40-41
40-38
46-37
28-42
40-33
32-41
43-44
49-15
53-35
30-49
43-42
159.7Avg total
82.3Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.375.3158.7+8.033%
Season at home (1)102.050.0152.0+52.0100%
Season away (2)74.088.0162.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)82.377.4159.7+4.960%
Last 5 (5)80.875.2156.0+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.887.4162.1-12.625%
vs Similar (6)81.577.5159.0+4.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.374.6159.9+10.679%
This opponent (Cleveland State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
85.7%
Under 146
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151
Over 151
77.5%
Under 151
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 156
Over 156
67.1%
Under 156
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Cleveland State total 80.5
Over 80.5
56.3%
Under 80.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cleveland State total 84.5
Over 84.5
41.0%
Under 84.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cleveland State total 88.5
Over 88.5
27.0%
Under 88.5
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kent State total 62
Over 62
97.2%
Under 62
2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kent State total 66
Over 66
93.6%
Under 66
6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kent State total 70
Over 70
86.9%
Under 70
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Cleveland State -3
CLEV -3
44.2%
KENT +3
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
CLEV
No market prices yet.
KENT
No market prices yet.
Spread Cleveland State 0
CLEV 0
53.4%
KENT 0
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
CLEV
No market prices yet.
KENT
No market prices yet.
Spread Cleveland State +3
CLEV +3
62.4%
KENT -3
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
CLEV
No market prices yet.
KENT
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -7.4-7.41st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: +3.8+3.8
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -7.4-7.41st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -5.8-5.82nd half: +3.8+3.8
Cleveland StateKent State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cleveland StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Youngstown State
#227
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A18/02
NCAA
IPFW
#181
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H26/02
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/02
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/03
NCAA
Wright State
#94
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A05/03
NCAA
Missouri
#145
L
18-56
18
56
-38
A04/11
NCAA
Michigan Dearborn Wolves
#391
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#72
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A10/11
NCAA
West Florida Argonauts
#248
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H13/11
NCAA
77.6Avg total
35.1Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.139.375.4-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.937.174.9+0.847%-
Last 30 away (15)34.341.675.9-7.327%-
Last 10 (10)35.142.577.6-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.042.675.6-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)33.741.274.9-7.518%-
vs Similar (5)39.237.476.6+1.880%-
vs Weaker (1)45.022.067.0+23.0100%-
This opponent (Kent State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kent StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#143
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A18/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H25/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H28/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A04/03
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H07/03
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H12/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A13/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#209
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A03/11
NCAA
Roberts Wesleyan
#493
W
49-15
49
15
+34
H07/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#19
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A12/11
NCAA
73.9Avg total
37.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.935.173.0+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.534.275.7+7.360%-
Last 30 away (15)34.336.070.3-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)37.536.473.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.072.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.543.175.6-10.612%-
vs Similar (6)35.234.069.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.432.973.3+7.664%-
This opponent (Cleveland State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cleveland State wins
5
Kent State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HWest Florida Argonauts69-67
10/11/26ABowling Green79-95
07/11/26HMichigan Dearborn Wolves103-79
04/11/26AMissouri50-111
05/03/26AWright State61-90
03/03/26HIU Indy101-93
28/02/26ARobert Morris64-83
26/02/26HNorthern Kentucky70-81
22/02/26HIPFW86-92
18/02/26AYoungstown State82-106
Kent Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ANC Wilmington73-91
07/11/26HRoberts Wesleyan102-50
03/11/26ALouisiana Tech75-85
13/03/26AAkron68-75
12/03/26HOhio86-75
07/03/26HWestern Michigan86-78
04/03/26ANorthern Illinois102-76
28/02/26HAkron70-92
25/02/26HCentral Michigan83-81
18/02/26ABowling Green78-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cleveland State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game75.286.064.5
Allowed / game88.073.0103.0
Point differential-12.8+13.0-38.5
Avg total163.2159.0167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kent State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game83.3102.074.0
Allowed / game75.350.088.0
Point differential+8.0+52.0-14.0
Avg total158.7152.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wright State440100%91.269.0+22.2
2 Wisc. Green Bay53260%75.266.8+8.4
3 Youngstown State42250%74.080.5-6.5
4 Cleveland State42250%75.288.0-12.8
5 Wisc. Milwaukee52340%76.077.4-1.4
6 Northern Kentucky52340%74.693.4-18.8
7 IPFW31233%77.774.7+3.0
8 Oakland61517%70.891.8-21.0
9 Robert Morris3030%52.780.3-27.7
10 Detroit3030%53.092.7-39.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron330100%84.062.7+21.3
2 Central Michigan440100%83.865.8+18.0
3 Bowling Green330100%86.376.0+10.3
4 Miami (Ohio)330100%84.076.0+8.0
5 Western Michigan43175%79.060.8+18.2
6 Eastern Michigan32167%77.363.3+14.0
7 UMass32167%66.064.3+1.7
8 Ohio32167%76.075.7+0.3
9 Northern Illinois53260%79.473.2+6.2
10 Toledo52340%73.077.2-4.2
11 Kent State31233%83.375.3+8.0
12 Buffalo31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Ball State41325%68.872.5-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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