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Colo Colo vs Arabe Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 82-73
24-7 18-17 18-23 22-26
Position#1
Record18-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game62.8
Colo Colo 🏆
Chile
vs
Arabe Valparaiso
Chile
Position#10
Record7-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game71.4
ChileLNB 2· Polideportivo La Pintana
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colo Colo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arabe Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Colo ColoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormColo
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
82-72
82
72
+10
81avg 81
H11/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
W
95-83
95
83
+12
90avg 81
H12/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
87-69
87
69
+18
75avg 81
A19/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
91-64
91
64
+27
no box
H25/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
78-62
78
62
+16
72avg 81
A02/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
115-58
115
58
+57
123avg 81
H08/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
68-47
68
47
+21
70avg 81
A16/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
98-62
98
62
+36
95avg 81
H16/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
80-45
80
45
+35
76avg 81
A22/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
75-68
75
68
+7
66avg 81
A07/07
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
24-12
19-19
19-19
24-15
27-15
23-24
21-29
21-22
20-15
26-12
20-20
23-14
19-8
29-20
20-22
16-10
18-15
24-16
20-21
32-21
21-10
30-13
32-14
19-9
21-14
4-12
24-12
30-13
23-18
24-16
21-15
18-17
10-14
32-10
20-4
16-13
15-18
19-23
25-14
149.9Avg total
86.9Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.362.8147.1+21.6100%
Season at home (9)86.665.2151.8+21.3100%
Season away (9)82.160.3142.4+21.8100%
Last 10 (10)86.963.0149.9+23.9100%
Last 5 (5)87.256.0143.2+31.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.283.0150.2-15.80%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)84.562.3146.8+22.2100%
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValparaiso
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
84-81
84
81
+3
75avg 60
H11/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
56-96
56
96
-40
39avg 60
A12/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
53avg 60
A18/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
49-52
49
52
-3
no box
A19/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
43-57
43
57
-14
32avg 60
H25/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
60-48
60
48
+12
56avg 60
A26/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
L
71-80
71
80
-9
64avg 60
A02/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
70-66
70
66
+4
69avg 60
A15/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
57avg 60
H16/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
49-81
49
81
-32
45avg 60
H20/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
19-24
20-17
27-17
9-15
21-30
10-25
16-26
15-23
16-25
16-16
17-12
–
–
–
–
16-23
13-6
7-12
7-16
17-16
15-14
12-11
16-7
23-8
8-23
19-27
21-22
23-25
11-19
24-12
12-10
20-27
15-18
16-22
17-11
19-16
11-15
14-22
5-28
132.9Avg total
61.4Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)65.771.4137.1-5.844%
Season at home (8)66.275.0141.2-8.838%
Season away (8)65.167.9133.0-2.850%
Last 10 (10)61.471.5132.9-10.130%
Last 5 (5)63.670.6134.2-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)61.676.1137.7-14.527%
vs Similar (13)64.466.9131.3-2.538%
vs Weaker (6)73.867.5141.3+6.367%
This opponent (Colo Colo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
Colo ColoArabe Valparaiso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Colo ColoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H11/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H12/05
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A19/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H25/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A02/06
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H08/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A16/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H16/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A22/06
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/07
LNB 2
71.2Avg total
41.7Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.532.672.0+6.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.231.372.5+9.967%-
Last 30 away (15)37.733.871.5+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)41.729.571.2+12.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.029.470.4+11.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.044.076.0-12.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)40.630.871.4+9.877%-
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H11/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A12/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/05
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H25/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A02/06
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A15/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H16/06
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H20/06
LNB 2
71.0Avg total
32.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)32.835.968.7-3.135%-
Last 30 at home (11)33.137.170.2-4.027%-
Last 30 away (9)32.434.466.9-2.044%-
Last 10 (9)32.138.971.0-6.811%-
Last 5 (5)32.436.268.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)32.936.669.4-3.733%-
vs Similar (9)31.935.967.8-4.033%-
vs Weaker (2)36.533.069.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Colo Colo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Colo Colotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Colo Colo: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.3
52.9%
44.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.7
38.6%
28.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.214.2
67.0%
63.6%14.2
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Arabe Valparaisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arabe Valparaiso: 60.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.617.2
44.6%
44.9%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.35.7
24.5%
28.7%17.1
🏀 Free throws13.89.1
65.9%
63.6%9.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jul 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Colo Colo
WWWWWWWWWW
Arabe Valparaiso
LLWLWLLLLW
#1
League position
#10
+29.0
Net rating
-17.2
106.1
Offensive rating
77.2
77.1
Defensive rating
94.4
54.8%
Effective FG%
41.6%
37.9%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
18.7%
Turnover %
26.3%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.22
38.6%
3-point %
24.5%
64.2%
Assist %
61.1%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 77.2Defence77.1 · 94.4Shooting54.8% · 41.6%3-point %38.6% · 24.5%Ball care18.7% · 26.3%Off. rebounds25.7% · 26.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)100% · 30%
■ Colo Colo   ■ Arabe Valparaiso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Colo Colo wins
0
Arabe Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
27/04/24Arabe Valparaiso v Colo Colo51-83
Colo Cololast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/07/24ABoston C. C.75-68
22/06/24AQuilpue Basquetbol80-45
16/06/24HLuis Matte Larrain98-62
16/06/24ABrisas68-47
08/06/24HArturo Prat San Felipe115-58
02/06/24ATruenos De Talca78-62
25/05/24HStadio Italiano91-64
19/05/24ASergio Ceppi87-69
12/05/24HAleman95-83
11/05/24HMunicipal Chillan82-72
Arabe Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/06/24HBrisas49-81
16/06/24HQuilpue Basquetbol68-78
15/06/24ALuis Matte Larrain70-66
02/06/24AArturo Prat San Felipe71-80
26/05/24AQuilpue Basquetbol60-48
25/05/24HTruenos De Talca43-57
19/05/24AMunicipal Chillan49-52
18/05/24AAleman64-76
12/05/24AStadio Italiano56-96
11/05/24HSergio Ceppi84-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Colo Colo
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.386.682.1
Allowed / game62.865.260.3
Point differential+21.6+21.3+21.8
Avg total147.1151.8142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%78%89%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arabe Valparaiso
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%38%50%
Points / game65.766.265.1
Allowed / game71.475.067.9
Point differential-5.8-8.8-2.8
Avg total137.1141.2133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo18180100%84.362.8+21.6
2 Truenos De Talca1912763%73.867.3+6.5
3 Stadio Italiano1811761%68.263.4+4.7
4 Sergio Ceppi2012860%73.472.0+1.4
5 Aleman1911858%75.371.9+3.3
6 Boston C. C.1910953%70.468.6+1.8
7 Municipal Chillan1881044%62.566.6-4.1
8 Arabe Valparaiso167944%65.771.4-5.8
9 Quilpue Basquetbol1981142%64.869.7-4.9
10 Luis Matte Larrain1871139%68.173.6-5.5
11 Brisas1741324%67.270.7-3.5
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe1921711%70.386.4-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Colo Colo2418182282
Arabe Valparaiso717232673
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