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Colorado State vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 78-69 (OT)
24-27 40-37 14-5
Position#52
Record13-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game68.6
vs
Position#331
Record7-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game67.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Colorado State v Air Force
20 Jan 2026
COLO81
AIR 52
28 Jan 2025
COLO79
AIR 58
16 Jan 2024
COLO78
AIR 69
10 Jan 2023
COLO74
AIR 85
04 Jan 2022
COLO67
AIR 59
01 Mar 2021
COLO74
AIR 44
27 Feb 2021
COLO72
AIR 49
29 Feb 2020
COLO87
AIR 74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#47
W
88-83
88
83
+5
H30/11
NCAA
Washington
#181
W
86-81
86
81
+5
A03/12
NCAA
Denver
#205
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H07/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H09/12
NCAA
Colorado State - Pueblo
#506
W
86-54
86
54
+32
H17/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A23/12
NCAA
Adams State
#458
W
106-61
106
61
+45
H30/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A07/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-26
47-57
41-44
45-37
35-39
55-41
32-33
29-31
46-26
40-28
35-27
41-40
56-35
50-26
33-30
43-38
32-28
40-49
21-28
37-37
149.9Avg total
79.9Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.768.6150.2+13.181%
Season at home (10)86.369.5155.8+16.890%
Season away (6)74.067.0141.0+7.067%
Last 10 (10)79.970.0149.9+9.970%
Last 5 (5)77.667.6145.2+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.577.4147.9-6.912%
vs Similar (14)71.667.2138.9+4.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.369.7157.0+17.6100%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska O.
#247
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H19/11
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H22/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A26/11
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
80-58
80
58
+22
A03/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H09/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A16/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
60-88
60
88
-28
H02/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-24
28-32
36-20
28-34
33-28
25-29
37-33
43-25
26-41
42-32
37-42
36-34
43-43
36-40
29-42
31-46
24-30
30-37
33-46
34-24
134.3Avg total
66.1Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)67.467.0134.4+0.447%
Season at home (9)67.468.3135.8-0.944%
Season away (6)67.365.0132.3+2.350%
Last 10 (10)66.168.2134.3-2.140%
Last 5 (5)66.676.8143.4-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)63.671.3134.9-7.712%
vs Similar (12)67.066.1133.1+0.958%
vs Weaker (2)73.060.5133.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: +0.0+0.0
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: +0.0+0.0
Colorado StateAir Force
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#47
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H30/11
NCAA
Washington
#181
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A03/12
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H07/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H09/12
NCAA
Colorado State - Pueblo
#506
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H17/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#293
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A23/12
NCAA
Adams State
#458
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H30/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A07/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
21-28
21
28
-7
A10/01
NCAA
68.8Avg total
37.2Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.331.966.2+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.232.971.2+5.365%-
Last 30 away (13)29.230.659.8-1.546%-
Last 10 (10)37.231.668.8+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.429.665.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.234.665.9-3.425%-
vs Similar (14)31.429.861.2+1.664%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.934.075.9+7.971%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska O.
#247
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H19/11
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H22/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#299
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A26/11
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A03/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H09/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#136
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A16/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H21/12
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H02/01
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H14/01
NCAA
67.7Avg total
32.8Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.032.964.0-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.833.164.8-1.344%-
Last 30 away (14)30.232.863.0-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)32.834.967.7-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.240.673.8-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)28.834.463.2-5.619%-
vs Similar (12)32.632.665.2+0.058%-
vs Weaker (2)39.523.563.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Colorado State wins
1
Air Force wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24ABoise State58-65
07/01/24AUtah State72-77
03/01/24HNew Mexico76-68
30/12/23HAdams State106-61
23/12/23ALoyola Marymount76-67
17/12/23HColorado State - Pueblo86-54
09/12/23HSt. Marys (CA)61-64
07/12/23HDenver90-80
03/12/23AWashington86-81
30/11/23HColorado88-83
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HSan Jose State67-70
10/01/24ANevada54-67
02/01/24HUtah State60-88
21/12/23HNorthern Colorado79-83
16/12/23AUT Arlington73-76
09/12/23HEast. Washington68-73
03/12/23APortland80-58
26/11/23ASouth Dakota Coyotes58-57
22/11/23HVMI64-54
19/11/23HNebraska O.58-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Colorado State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL81%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %81%90%67%
Points / game81.786.374.0
Allowed / game68.669.567.0
Point differential+13.1+16.8+7.0
Avg total150.2155.8141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Air Force
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL47%
HomeWLLLL44%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game67.467.467.3
Allowed / game67.068.365.0
Point differential+0.4-0.9+2.3
Avg total134.4135.8132.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%22%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1716194%81.966.5+15.4
2 Grand Canyon1716194%81.966.9+15.0
3 Nevada1715288%77.163.3+13.8
4 New Mexico1714382%82.668.4+14.3
5 San Diego State1714382%76.967.3+9.6
6 Colorado State1613381%81.768.6+13.1
7 Boise State1612475%74.664.8+9.8
8 UNLV158753%77.369.9+7.4
9 Wyoming179853%72.673.5-0.8
10 San Jose State178947%74.972.1+2.9
11 Air Force157847%67.467.0+0.4
12 Fresno State167944%68.772.0-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Colorado State24401478
Air Force2737569
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