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Colorado State vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 75-73
0-0 33-34 0-0 42-39
Position#8
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#10
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANIT
Other2021
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#66
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H28/01
NCAA
Boise State
#66
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H30/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A06/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
72-49
72
49
+23
H27/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
74-44
74
44
+30
H02/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H04/03
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H12/03
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-25
38-31
39-38
38-47
32-38
42-34
39-29
29-30
28-24
44-25
26-23
48-21
47-31
40-42
44-37
38-48
33-28
39-34
28-32
22-30
138.1Avg total
73.4Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.464.7138.1+8.770%
Last 5 (5)73.065.2138.2+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.066.0126.0-6.00%
vs Similar (8)68.073.4141.4-5.438%
vs Weaker (20)76.564.1140.6+12.485%
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#321
W
86-54
86
54
+32
H13/02
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H20/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#346
W
102-74
102
74
+28
A23/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H25/02
NCAA
Ohio
#67
W
86-66
86
66
+20
A27/02
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H02/03
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H05/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H11/03
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
81-74 OT
81
74
+7
H13/03
NCAA
Ohio
#67
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-21
45-33
32-40
38-40
51-28
51-46
37-29
48-44
52-32
34-34
39-25
41-53
33-24
48-43
40-32
34-31
33-28
35-40
21-41
48-43
152.7Avg total
81.4Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.471.3152.7+10.180%
Last 5 (5)77.073.2150.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.086.0159.0-13.00%
vs Similar (13)79.878.8158.7+1.054%
vs Weaker (15)83.871.7155.5+12.173%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +7.9+7.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +7.9+7.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
Colorado StateBuffalo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#66
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H28/01
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H30/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A06/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H27/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H02/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H04/03
NCAA
Nevada
#118
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A06/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#189
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H12/03
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A13/03
NCAA
66.1Avg total
35.6Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.133.668.6+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.131.268.3+5.973%-
Last 30 away (15)33.135.969.0-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)35.630.566.1+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)35.630.265.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.034.070.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (8)32.439.471.8-7.038%-
vs Weaker (20)35.930.866.7+5.170%-
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#321
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H13/02
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H20/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#346
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A23/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#296
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H25/02
NCAA
Ohio
#67
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A27/02
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H02/03
NCAA
Kent State
#89
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H11/03
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H13/03
NCAA
Ohio
#67
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H14/03
NCAA
67.9Avg total
37.9Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.433.571.0+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.432.368.7+4.172%-
Last 30 away (12)39.035.474.4+3.658%-
Last 10 (10)37.930.067.9+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)33.230.063.2+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.037.075.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (13)34.136.170.2-2.046%-
vs Weaker (15)39.531.470.9+8.180%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Colorado State wins
0
Buffalo wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/21AUtah State50-62
12/03/21HFresno State72-62
06/03/21ANevada82-85
04/03/21HNew Mexico87-73
02/03/21HAir Force74-44
27/02/21HAir Force72-49
06/02/21AWyoming68-59
05/02/21AWyoming74-72
30/01/21HBoise State77-85
28/01/21HBoise State78-56
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/21HOhio69-84
13/03/21HAkron81-74 OT
11/03/21HMiami (Ohio)74-63
05/03/21HKent State81-67
02/03/21HAkron80-78
27/02/21AOhio86-66
25/02/21HCentral Michigan85-73
23/02/21ANorthern Illinois102-74
20/02/21HToledo70-80
13/02/21HWestern Michigan86-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Colorado State
NIT 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Buffalo
NIT 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC State110100%75.061.0+14.0
2 Richmond Spiders110100%76.066.0+10.0
3 Western Kentucky110100%69.067.0+2.0
4 Boise State110100%85.084.0+1.0
5 SMU Mustangs1010%84.085.0-1.0
6 St. Marys (CA)1010%67.069.0-2.0
7 Toledo1010%66.076.0-10.0
8 Davidson1010%61.075.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Colorado State03304275
Buffalo03403973
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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