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Northern Illinois vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 74-102
28-51 46-51
Position#346
Record2-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game60.7
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Buffalo 🏆
USA
Position#74
Record9-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game73.1
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Northern Illinois v Buffalo
31 Dec 2025
NORT67
BUFF81
11 Feb 2025
NORT67
BUFF73
13 Feb 2024
NORT72
BUFF68
28 Feb 2023
NORT75
BUFF85
24 Feb 2022
NORT68
BUFF79
23 Feb 2021
NORT74
BUFF102
23 Jan 2021
NORT v BUFF
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#435
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H19/12
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
55-78
55
78
-23
A22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
L
42-68
42
68
-26
H02/01
NCAA
Ohio
#67
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A05/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A09/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H12/01
NCAA
Ball State
#232
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A16/01
NCAA
Kent State
#89
L
58-80
58
80
-22
A13/02
NCAA
Akron
#88
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A16/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-23
32-31
26-40
29-38
18-23
24-45
31-42
42-34
24-40
34-30
28-31
39-34
19-34
39-44
20-32
38-48
45-41
31-40
27-32
37-37
133.4Avg total
61.5Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)60.775.4136.1-14.713%
Season at home (7)60.167.6127.7-7.429%
Season away (8)61.282.2143.5-21.00%
Last 10 (10)61.571.9133.4-10.420%
Last 5 (5)64.674.6139.2-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)59.475.7135.1-16.46%
vs Similar (9)66.461.1127.6+5.378%
vs Weaker (4)69.867.2137.0+2.575%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#232
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H09/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#321
W
85-69
85
69
+16
A12/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H16/01
NCAA
Kent State
#89
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#289
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H21/01
NCAA
Ohio
#67
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H30/01
NCAA
Ball State
#232
W
78-58
78
58
+20
A02/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H06/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#321
W
86-54
86
54
+32
H13/02
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-31
53-38
38-32
47-37
25-41
44-35
26-47
55-37
37-27
55-50
32-41
43-35
33-32
45-26
47-30
41-34
41-21
45-33
32-40
38-40
151.7Avg total
81.0Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.473.1154.5+8.456%
Season at home (9)80.169.4149.6+10.767%
Season away (7)83.177.7160.9+5.443%
Last 10 (10)81.070.7151.7+10.360%
Last 5 (5)79.466.4145.8+13.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.080.0155.0-5.050%
vs Similar (12)78.277.5155.8+0.842%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)80.971.3152.2+9.567%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -6.8-6.81st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: +10.1+10.1
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -6.8-6.81st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: +10.1+10.1
Northern IllinoisBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#435
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H19/12
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A22/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
L
18-23
18
23
-5
H02/01
NCAA
Ohio
#67
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A05/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A09/01
NCAA
Akron
#88
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H12/01
NCAA
Ball State
#232
L
19-34
19
34
-15
A16/01
NCAA
Kent State
#89
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A13/02
NCAA
Akron
#88
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A16/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H20/02
NCAA
60.8Avg total
27.0Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.532.761.2-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)28.328.857.1-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)28.736.665.3-7.920%-
Last 10 (10)27.033.860.8-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)27.834.061.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)26.535.361.8-8.818%-
vs Similar (9)31.629.961.4+1.744%-
vs Weaker (4)30.528.058.5+2.575%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#232
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H09/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#321
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A12/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#142
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H16/01
NCAA
Kent State
#89
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A19/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#289
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H21/01
NCAA
Ohio
#67
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H30/01
NCAA
Ball State
#232
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A02/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#168
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H06/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#321
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H13/02
NCAA
Toledo
#40
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H20/02
NCAA
68.6Avg total
34.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.870.8+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.132.970.0+4.159%-
Last 30 away (13)36.934.871.8+2.154%-
Last 10 (10)34.434.268.6+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.869.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.531.066.5+4.5100%-
vs Similar (12)34.836.971.7-2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.131.970.1+6.267%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Northern Illinois wins
0
Buffalo wins
DateGameScore
04/01/20Buffalo v Northern Illinois72-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/21HMiami (Ohio)64-69
16/02/21AAkron76-81
13/02/21AKent State58-80
16/01/21ABall State58-78
12/01/21HAkron67-65
09/01/21AMiami (Ohio)58-70
05/01/21AOhio73-76
02/01/21HBowling Green42-68
22/12/20AToledo55-78
19/12/20HChicago State64-54
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/21HToledo70-80
13/02/21HWestern Michigan86-54
06/02/21HMiami (Ohio)88-64
02/02/21ABall State78-58
30/01/21HOhio75-76
21/01/21HEastern Michigan92-77
19/01/21AKent State81-84
16/01/21HBowling Green69-76
12/01/21AWestern Michigan85-69
09/01/21HBall State86-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northern Illinois
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL13%
HomeLWLWL29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %13%29%0%
Points / game60.760.161.2
Allowed / game75.467.682.2
Point differential-14.7-7.4-21.0
Avg total136.1127.7143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL56%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %56%67%43%
Points / game81.480.183.1
Allowed / game73.169.477.7
Point differential+8.4+10.7+5.4
Avg total154.5149.6160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo2418675%80.772.2+8.5
2 Kent State1914574%78.869.9+8.9
3 Akron1914574%79.071.0+8.0
4 Ohio1812667%80.773.3+7.3
5 UMass117464%77.971.5+6.5
6 Bowling Green2112957%78.775.6+3.0
7 Buffalo169756%81.473.1+8.4
8 Miami (Ohio)189950%71.972.8-0.8
9 Ball State1871139%70.773.8-3.1
10 Central Michigan1761135%77.676.8+0.9
11 Eastern Michigan134931%70.174.9-4.8
12 Western Michigan1741324%63.571.7-8.2
13 Northern Illinois1521313%60.775.4-14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northern Illinois284674
Buffalo5151102
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