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Colorado State vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 72-62
33-28 39-34
Position#29
Record17-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game65.8
Colorado State 🏆
USA
vs
Fresno State
USA
Position#189
Record12-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Colorado State v Fresno State
17 Jan 2027
COLO v FRES
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
COLO67
FRES63
24 Feb 2026
COLO74
FRES70
07 Jan 2025
COLO91
FRES64
08 Mar 2023
COLO67
FRES65
07 Jan 2023
COLO79
FRES57
11 Feb 2022
COLO65
FRES50
11 Mar 2021
COLO72
FRES62
30 Dec 2020
COLO81
FRES59
28 Dec 2020
COLO75
FRES53
22 Jan 2020
COLO86
FRES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#72
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A20/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A22/01
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H28/01
NCAA
Boise State
#66
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H30/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A06/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
72-49
72
49
+23
H27/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
74-44
74
44
+30
H02/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H04/03
NCAA
Nevada
#118
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-44
35-39
37-35
47-41
40-25
38-31
39-38
38-47
32-38
42-34
39-29
29-30
28-24
44-25
26-23
48-21
47-31
40-42
44-37
38-48
144.2Avg total
76.0Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.965.8141.6+10.177%
Season at home (11)80.163.5143.6+16.591%
Season away (11)71.668.0139.6+3.664%
Last 10 (10)76.068.2144.2+7.870%
Last 5 (5)76.662.0138.6+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.070.5136.5-4.50%
vs Similar (7)70.675.0145.6-4.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)76.964.5141.4+12.485%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#72
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H05/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A13/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H19/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
57-75
57
75
-18
H21/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A25/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A27/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A03/03
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H07/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-33
24-36
33-22
36-41
39-31
28-33
20-32
33-35
26-36
31-39
32-30
35-34
40-32
27-36
35-29
32-35
27-17
24-40
34-35
51-42
130.4Avg total
63.6Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)66.567.2133.7-0.752%
Season at home (13)69.864.8134.5+5.062%
Season away (10)62.270.4132.6-8.240%
Last 10 (10)63.666.8130.4-3.250%
Last 5 (5)67.466.0133.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)58.471.8130.2-13.48%
vs Similar (7)71.068.3139.3+2.743%
vs Weaker (11)74.663.2137.8+11.5100%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -5.0-5.0
Colorado StateFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#72
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A20/01
NCAA
Utah State
#72
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H28/01
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H30/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A05/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#144
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A06/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H27/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H02/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H04/03
NCAA
Nevada
#118
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A06/03
NCAA
68.5Avg total
36.1Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.433.869.2+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.931.868.7+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)34.035.869.8-1.853%-
Last 10 (10)36.132.468.5+3.780%-
Last 5 (5)36.828.865.6+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.035.568.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (7)33.040.473.4-7.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)36.330.967.2+5.470%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#72
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A12/02
NCAA
Air Force
#337
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A13/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
20-32
20
32
-12
H19/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#15
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H21/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A25/02
NCAA
UNLV
#219
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A27/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A03/03
NCAA
Utah State
#72
W
27-17
27
17
+10
H07/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H11/03
NCAA
61.2Avg total
31.5Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.029.360.3+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.827.658.4+3.141%-
Last 30 away (13)31.431.562.8-0.169%-
Last 10 (10)31.529.761.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)33.628.662.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)27.432.660.0-5.233%-
vs Similar (7)32.128.660.7+3.686%-
vs Weaker (11)34.326.260.5+8.155%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Colorado State wins
0
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
30/12/20Colorado State v Fresno State81-59
29/12/20Colorado State v Fresno State75-53
05/02/20Fresno State v Colorado State70-80
23/01/20Colorado State v Fresno State86-68
Colorado Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/21ANevada82-85
04/03/21HNew Mexico87-73
02/03/21HAir Force74-44
27/02/21HAir Force72-49
06/02/21AWyoming68-59
05/02/21AWyoming74-72
30/01/21HBoise State77-85
28/01/21HBoise State78-56
22/01/21AUtah State84-76
20/01/21AUtah State64-83
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/21HNew Mexico85-77
07/03/21HUtah State51-57
03/03/21ABoise State67-64
27/02/21AUNLV67-68
25/02/21AUNLV67-64
21/02/21HSan Diego State57-75
19/02/21HSan Diego State53-67
13/02/21AAir Force67-64
12/02/21AAir Force69-63
05/02/21HUtah State53-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Colorado State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayLWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %77%91%64%
Points / game75.980.171.6
Allowed / game65.863.568.0
Point differential+10.1+16.5+3.6
Avg total141.6143.6139.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%73%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW52%
HomeLLLLW62%
AwayWWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %52%62%40%
Points / game66.569.862.2
Allowed / game67.264.870.4
Point differential-0.7+5.0-8.2
Avg total133.7134.5132.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State2521484%74.260.3+13.9
2 Colorado State2217577%75.965.8+10.1
3 Grand Canyon2115671%75.462.0+13.4
4 Utah State2417771%74.263.0+11.2
5 Boise State2517868%75.867.0+8.8
6 Nevada2415962%73.369.6+3.7
7 Wyoming25141156%76.675.5+1.1
8 Fresno State23121152%66.567.2-0.7
9 UNLV27121544%69.467.5+2.0
10 San Jose State2151624%65.881.4-15.7
11 New Mexico2041620%63.072.6-9.6
12 Air Force2552020%58.771.9-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Colorado State333972
Fresno State283462
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