Comunicaciones Mercedes vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 87-89 (OT)

26-20 24-26 14-20 18-16 5-7

Position#20

Record4-7

FormLLLLL

Points / game77.3

Allowed / game80.9

Comunicaciones Mercedes

Ferro 🏆

Position#13

Record3-6

FormWLLWL

Points / game73.7

Allowed / game78.4

Liga A

Other2023-24

Meetings · Comunicaciones Mercedes v Ferro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Comunicaciones Mercedes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Comunicaciones Mercedes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMercedes

Date

Competition

Riachuelo

#14

97-79

+18

93avg 68

H08/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

77-83

-6

72avg 68

A12/10

Liga A

Platense

70-92

-22

56avg 68

A14/10

Liga A

Argentino

#17

87-82

77avg 68

H28/10

Liga A

La Union

#16

76-75

71avg 68

H06/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

64-77

-13

47avg 68

H11/11

Liga A

Regatas

#10

75-80

-5

66avg 68

A20/11

Liga A

San Martin

69-83

-14

61avg 68

A23/11

Liga A

Olimpico

72-77

-5

65avg 68

A28/11

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

85-88

-3

76avg 68

A30/11

Liga A

30-13

19-29

27-18

21-19

18-26

15-16

20-21

24-20

15-24

16-20

17-23

22-25

27-21

18-15

24-22

18-24

9-16

28-21

18-22

21-16

21-25

18-19

7-16

18-17

21-21

19-16

17-19

18-24

16-24

20-20

16-16

17-23

18-23

12-18

17-22

25-14

18-26

17-21

26-21

24-20

158.8Avg total

77.2Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	77.3	80.9	158.2	-3.6	36%
Season at home (5)	80.4	77.4	157.8	+3.0	80%
Season away (6)	74.7	83.8	158.5	-9.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	77.2	81.6	158.8	-4.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	81.0	154.0	-8.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	78.8	87.8	166.5	-9.0	17%
vs Similar (5)	87.2	80.8	168.0	+6.4	80%
vs Weaker (1)	90.0	81.0	171.0	+9.0	100%

This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormFerro

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

#18

99-104 OT

104

-5

no box

A18/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

66-77

-11

48avg 64

A08/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

73-75

-2

58avg 64

A10/10

Liga A

Regatas

#10

71-81

-10

60avg 64

H17/10

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

96-89

91avg 64

H19/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

96-87

92avg 64

H23/10

Liga A

Zarate

#15

64-67

-3

55avg 64

A31/10

Liga A

Quimsa

64-74

-10

50avg 64

H08/11

Liga A

Penarol

#11

80-73

77avg 64

H14/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

53-83

-30

45avg 64

A25/11

Liga A

19-27

31-24

22-23

17-15

12-22

20-19

18-20

16-16

23-24

18-23

20-13

12-15

9-24

12-18

25-19

25-20

27-30

23-16

21-19

25-24

25-22

23-25

23-20

25-20

13-13

16-21

14-14

21-19

12-31

22-4

15-23

15-16

23-13

14-22

20-25

16-15

10-25

11-19

16-24

157.2Avg total

76.2Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	73.7	78.4	152.1	-4.8	33%
Season at home (5)	81.4	80.8	162.2	+0.6	60%
Season away (4)	64.0	75.5	139.5	-11.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	81.0	157.2	-4.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	76.8	148.2	-5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	80.2	84.1	164.3	-3.9	44%
vs Similar (17)	77.8	81.2	158.9	-3.4	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	86.5	86.0	172.5	+0.5	50%

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Comunicaciones MercedesFerro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.0	42.1	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	20.9	41.8	-0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	22.9	42.4	-3.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.9	41.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.8	42.6	-5.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	20.0	22.5	42.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	26.0	50.0	-2.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	22.1	41.8	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	22.0	43.9	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	22.3	39.7	-4.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	22.1	40.0	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.2	23.0	42.2	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	24.0	25.0	49.0	-1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.3	39.3	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	19.6	38.8	-0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.8	36.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	38%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	80%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	19.0	46.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	17.1	36.8	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.9	17.2	37.1	+2.7	67%	-
vs Similar (17)	18.7	18.7	37.4	+0.0	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	50%	-

Comunicaciones MercedesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Riachuelo

#14

49-42

H08/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

33-42

-9

A12/10

Liga A

Platense

31-44

-13

A14/10

Liga A

Argentino

#17

45-36

H28/10

Liga A

La Union

#16

37-37

H06/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

39-44

-5

H11/11

Liga A

Regatas

#10

40-37

A20/11

Liga A

San Martin

36-44

-8

A23/11

Liga A

Olimpico

30-41

-11

A28/11

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

35-47

-12

A30/11

Liga A

78.9Avg total

37.5Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	42.2	81.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	41.9	81.8	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.6	42.5	81.1	-3.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	41.4	78.9	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	42.6	78.6	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	38.2	43.2	81.5	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	41.6	36.8	78.4	+4.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	51.0	45.0	96.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

#18

50-51

-1

A18/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

32-41

-9

A08/10

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

41-47

-6

A10/10

Liga A

Regatas

#10

21-42

-21

H17/10

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

50-46

H19/10

Liga A

Gimnasia

48-47

H23/10

Liga A

Zarate

#15

29-34

-5

A31/10

Liga A

Quimsa

34-35

-1

H08/11

Liga A

Penarol

#11

46-26

+20

H14/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

26-40

-14

A25/11

Liga A

78.6Avg total

37.7Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	40.6	79.6	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	39.1	80.7	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.4	42.1	78.5	-5.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	40.9	78.6	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	36.4	73.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.1	40.2	79.3	-1.1	44%	-
vs Similar (17)	37.6	39.7	77.3	-2.1	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	45.0	45.0	90.0	+0.0	50%	-

This opponent (Comunicaciones Mercedes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.2	42.4	-0.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	22.4	43.2	-1.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.8	35.4	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	20.7	21.6	42.2	-0.9	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	24.4	20.2	44.6	+4.2	80%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.7	40.1	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.2	37.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	19.6	35.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.2	44%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	20.5	20.2	40.8	+0.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	22.9	43.1	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	21.6	40.5	-2.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	24.1	45.4	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	19.9	22.9	42.8	-3.0	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.2	23.8	45.0	-2.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.3	21.3	41.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	21.2	20.8	41.9	+0.4	41%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	18.5	17.0	35.5	+1.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	44.1	85.5	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	41.4	81.9	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.1	46.5	88.6	-4.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	40.2	79.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	38.4	75.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	40.5	44.5	85.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	45.6	44.0	89.6	+1.6	60%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	36.0	75.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	41.1	81.1	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	43.5	85.5	-1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	38.8	76.7	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	38.6	76.1	-1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	40.4	75.2	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.0	42.2	82.2	-2.2	44%	-
vs Similar (17)	40.2	41.5	81.6	-1.3	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	39.0	37.2	76.2	+1.8	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Comunicaciones Mercedes wins

Ferro wins

Date	Game	Score
13/04/23	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Ferro	81-97
28/11/22	Ferro v Comunicaciones Mercedes	81-68
26/01/22	Ferro v Comunicaciones Mercedes	96-91
13/12/21	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Ferro	70-67
16/03/21	Ferro v Comunicaciones Mercedes	67-84
18/12/20	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Ferro	63-73
01/12/19	Ferro v Comunicaciones Mercedes	83-76
13/02/19	Ferro v Comunicaciones Mercedes	88-78
12/12/18	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Ferro	90-77
08/04/18	Comunicaciones Mercedes v Ferro	95-89 OT

Comunicaciones Mercedeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/11/23	A	Independiente de Oliva	85-88
28/11/23	A	Olimpico	72-77
23/11/23	A	San Martin	69-83
20/11/23	A	Regatas	75-80
11/11/23	H	San Lorenzo	64-77
06/11/23	H	La Union	76-75
28/10/23	H	Argentino	87-82
14/10/23	A	Platense	70-92
12/10/23	A	Gimnasia	77-83
08/10/23	H	Riachuelo	97-79

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/23	A	San Lorenzo	53-83
14/11/23	H	Penarol	80-73
08/11/23	H	Quimsa	64-74
31/10/23	A	Zarate	64-67
23/10/23	H	Gimnasia	96-87
19/10/23	H	Obera TC	96-89
17/10/23	H	Regatas	71-81
10/10/23	A	Obras Sanitarias	73-75
08/10/23	A	Boca Juniors	66-77
18/04/23	A	San Lorenzo	99-104 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Comunicaciones Mercedes

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	36%
Home	WWWWL	80%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	36%	80%	0%
Points / game	77.3	80.4	74.7
Allowed / game	80.9	77.4	83.8
Point differential	-3.6	+3.0	-9.2
Avg total	158.2	157.8	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	100% (3)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ferro

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	33%
Home	LWWLW	60%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	33%	60%	0%
Points / game	73.7	81.4	64.0
Allowed / game	78.4	80.8	75.5
Point differential	-4.8	+0.6	-11.5
Avg total	152.1	162.2	139.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	10	9	1	90%	87.7	73.3	+14.4
2	Quimsa	10	9	1	90%	84.4	77.4	+7.0
3	Obras Sanitarias	9	8	1	89%	92.3	84.9	+7.4
4	San Lorenzo	10	8	2	80%	76.9	66.0	+10.9
5	Boca Juniors	11	8	3	73%	82.5	74.0	+8.5
6	Platense	10	7	3	70%	78.7	73.8	+4.9
7	Instituto de Cordoba	9	6	3	67%	83.6	78.8	+4.8
8	Regatas	11	6	5	55%	74.8	75.3	-0.5
9	Zarate	11	6	5	55%	71.2	77.3	-6.1
10	San Martin	10	5	5	50%	75.5	72.1	+3.4
11	Gimnasia	11	5	6	45%	82.1	84.5	-2.4
12	Riachuelo	10	4	6	40%	84.8	85.1	-0.3
13	Obera TC	10	4	6	40%	82.9	83.5	-0.6
14	Comunicaciones Mercedes	11	4	7	36%	77.3	80.9	-3.6
15	Independiente de Oliva	11	4	7	36%	74.5	80.2	-5.7
16	Ferro	9	3	6	33%	73.7	78.4	-4.8
17	La Union	10	2	8	20%	76.4	81.7	-5.3
18	Union De Santa Fe	9	1	8	11%	78.4	85.9	-7.4
19	Argentino	10	1	9	10%	75.8	84.2	-8.4
20	Penarol	10	1	9	10%	73.1	88.3	-15.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Comunicaciones Mercedes	26	24	14	18	5	87
Ferro	20	26	20	16	7	89

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Comunicaciones Mercedes vs Ferro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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