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Ferro vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 01:10
Final 80-73
23-13 23-13 14-22 20-25
Position#13
Record2-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game78.6
Ferro 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#11
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game92.8
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ferro v Penarol
13 Nov 2026
FERR v PENA
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
FERR80
PENA78
24 Apr 2026
FERR97
PENA91
28 Sep 2025
FERR97
PENA84
09 Oct 2024
FERR84
PENA82
13 Nov 2023
FERR80
PENA73
19 Jan 2023
FERR88
PENA102
02 Apr 2022
FERR90
PENA78
20 Jan 2021
FERR90
PENA98
16 Feb 2020
FERR80
PENA69
14 Dec 2018
FERR82
PENA77
30 Apr 2018
FERR77
PENA89
19 Apr 2017
FERR63
PENA80
05 Oct 2016
FERR78
PENA52
03 Mar 2016
FERR78
PENA90
15 Oct 2015
FERR97
PENA106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#5
L
63-97
63
97
-34
no box
A11/04
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#17
W
97-81
97
81
+16
no box
A13/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#18
L
99-104 OT
99
104
-5
no box
A18/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
66-77
66
77
-11
48avg 65
A08/10
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
73-75
73
75
-2
58avg 65
A10/10
Liga A
Regatas
#10
L
71-81
71
81
-10
60avg 65
H17/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
W
96-89
96
89
+7
91avg 65
H19/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
96-87
96
87
+9
92avg 65
H23/10
Liga A
Zarate
#15
L
64-67
64
67
-3
55avg 65
A31/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
64-74
64
74
-10
50avg 65
H08/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
17-20
16-23
14-28
30-27
21-23
26-16
20-15
19-27
31-24
22-23
17-15
12-22
20-19
18-20
16-16
23-24
18-23
20-13
12-15
9-24
12-18
25-19
25-20
27-30
23-16
21-19
25-24
25-22
23-25
23-20
25-20
13-13
16-21
14-14
21-19
12-31
22-4
15-23
15-16
162.1Avg total
78.9Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.778.6154.3-2.929%
Season at home (4)81.882.8164.5-1.050%
Season away (3)67.773.0140.7-5.30%
Last 10 (10)78.983.2162.1-4.330%
Last 5 (5)78.279.6157.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.284.1164.3-3.944%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.782.5162.2-2.829%
vs Weaker (4)86.586.0172.5+0.550%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
no box
A16/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
no box
A19/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
78-94
78
94
-16
no box
A23/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
84-98
84
98
-14
no box
A26/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
110-114 OT
110
114
-4
no box
H29/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
L
71-105
71
105
-34
59avg 65
A09/10
Liga A
Regatas
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
79avg 65
A12/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
72-92
72
92
-20
56avg 65
H15/10
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
89-106
89
106
-17
76avg 65
H19/10
Liga A
Argentino
#17
L
66-81
66
81
-15
55avg 65
A12/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
19-22
25-30
24-24
26-18
17-19
18-21
28-30
21-21
14-15
15-26
28-32
19-22
22-20
24-31
19-25
28-16
19-19
14-26
20-20
15-22
13-31
19-20
24-32
17-29
26-17
26-18
18-16
22-19
14-22
16-34
20-17
18-26
21-29
17-25
33-26
15-17
21-28
14-18
16-18
177.8Avg total
82.8Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.092.8169.8-15.820%
Season at home (2)80.599.0179.5-18.50%
Season away (3)74.788.7163.3-14.033%
Last 10 (10)82.895.0177.8-12.220%
Last 5 (5)77.092.8169.8-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.686.5164.2-8.918%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.987.8169.7-5.935%
vs Weaker (2)86.592.5179.0-6.050%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
FerroPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#5
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A11/04
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#17
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A13/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#18
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A18/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A08/10
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A10/10
Liga A
Regatas
#10
L
21-42
21
42
-21
H17/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H19/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H23/10
Liga A
Zarate
#15
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A31/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H08/11
Liga A
82.8Avg total
38.9Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.480.4-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.240.181.3+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)36.842.879.6-6.020%-
Last 10 (10)38.943.982.8-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.877.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.140.279.3-1.144%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.541.278.8-3.735%-
vs Weaker (4)45.045.090.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A16/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A19/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A23/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A26/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H29/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#12
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A09/10
Liga A
Regatas
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A12/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H15/10
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H19/10
Liga A
Argentino
#17
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A12/11
Liga A
80.9Avg total
38.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.478.9-1.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.938.977.8-0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)38.142.180.2-4.114%-
Last 10 (10)38.142.880.9-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)36.448.084.4-11.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.040.778.7-2.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.440.378.7-1.935%-
vs Weaker (2)42.040.082.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ferro wins
4
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
19/01/23Ferro v Penarol88-102
26/11/22Penarol v Ferro69-64
03/04/22Ferro v Penarol90-78
02/12/21Penarol v Ferro80-89
10/10/21Penarol v Ferro97-101 OT
20/01/21Ferro v Penarol90-98 OT
09/01/21Penarol v Ferro111-101 OT
16/02/20Ferro v Penarol80-69
05/03/19Penarol v Ferro66-88
15/12/18Ferro v Penarol82-77
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23HQuimsa64-74
31/10/23AZarate64-67
23/10/23HGimnasia96-87
19/10/23HObera TC96-89
17/10/23HRegatas71-81
10/10/23AObras Sanitarias73-75
08/10/23ABoca Juniors66-77
18/04/23ASan Lorenzo99-104 OT
13/04/23AComunicaciones Mercedes97-81
11/04/23AObera TC63-97
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23AArgentino66-81
19/10/23HObras Sanitarias89-106
15/10/23HBoca Juniors72-92
12/10/23ARegatas87-80
09/10/23AObera TC71-105
29/04/23HBoca Juniors110-114 OT
26/04/23ABoca Juniors84-98
23/04/23ABoca Juniors78-94
19/04/23AObras Sanitarias89-88
16/04/23ABoca Juniors82-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro
Liga A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL29%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game75.781.867.7
Allowed / game78.682.873.0
Point differential-2.9-1.0-5.3
Avg total154.3164.5140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga A 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game77.080.574.7
Allowed / game92.899.088.7
Point differential-15.8-18.5-14.0
Avg total169.8179.5163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors76186%80.770.0+10.7
2 Olimpico65183%87.773.8+13.8
3 Quimsa65183%87.580.3+7.2
4 Obras Sanitarias65183%88.883.3+5.5
5 Platense75271%81.174.3+6.9
6 Obera TC64267%91.081.3+9.7
7 San Lorenzo64267%70.769.0+1.7
8 Regatas74357%77.077.4-0.4
9 Comunicaciones Mercedes74357%78.480.3-1.9
10 San Martin63350%74.370.5+3.8
11 Instituto de Cordoba63350%82.080.8+1.2
12 Riachuelo52340%88.089.6-1.6
13 Gimnasia83538%83.485.1-1.8
14 Independiente de Oliva62433%69.276.5-7.3
15 La Union72529%77.778.9-1.1
16 Ferro72529%75.778.6-2.9
17 Zarate72529%68.080.0-12.0
18 Penarol51420%77.092.8-15.8
19 Union De Santa Fe61517%81.589.5-8.0
20 Argentino71614%76.384.7-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferro2323142080
Penarol1313222573
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