The NBB clash on 12 November 2026 pits Corinthians Paulista against Pinheiros in a match that feels almost evenly matched, with only a slight edge to the home side. Corinthians have gone 2-3 this season, averaging 79.4 points and conceding 77.6, while Pinheiros sit 5-2, scoring 84.4 and allowing 72.3, a better offensive and defensive balance that puts them in fourth place versus Corinthians' twelfth. At home Corinthians have not lost a single game, posting a 1-0 record with 78.0 points for and 48.0 against, and their last five games have yielded two wins and three losses, including a 75-68 victory over Cearense and a 78-48 win at home over Franca. Pinheiros, on the road, are 2-1 with 84.0 points scored and 72.7 allowed, and their recent five outings show four wins and one loss, highlighted by a 103-87 win over São José. Historically, Pinheiros have edged the series 6-4 and last met Corinthians on 26 May 2026, winning 88-76. Pythia rates Corinthians as the favourite with a 55% chance of victory versus 45% for Pinheiros, projecting an 81-80 score and a 161.2 total; the home line is 2.5 with a 62% chance of covering, and the total line is 160.5 with a 51% over probability, while a 5% chance of overtime looms. The game will likely hinge on whether Corinthians can sustain their defensive edge from their sole home win against the stronger Pinheiros offence.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 79.4 | 77.6 | 157.0 | +1.8 | 40% |
| Season at home (1) | 78.0 | 48.0 | 126.0 | +30.0 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 79.8 | 85.0 | 164.8 | -5.2 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.9 | 81.8 | 162.7 | -0.9 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.4 | 77.6 | 157.0 | +1.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 79.7 | 81.1 | 160.8 | -1.4 | 33% |
| vs Similar (15) | 87.7 | 84.6 | 172.3 | +3.1 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 90.0 | 80.2 | 170.2 | +9.8 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 84.4 | 72.3 | 156.7 | +12.1 | 71% |
| Season at home (4) | 84.8 | 72.0 | 156.8 | +12.8 | 75% |
| Season away (3) | 84.0 | 72.7 | 156.7 | +11.3 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.6 | 76.1 | 159.7 | +7.5 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.6 | 72.4 | 158.0 | +13.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (7) | 79.1 | 83.9 | 163.0 | -4.7 | 29% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (23) | 86.9 | 74.4 | 161.3 | +12.4 | 83% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.3 | 41.8 | 84.1 | +0.5 | 57% | 60% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 43.8 | 40.6 | 84.4 | +3.1 | 57% | 57% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 41.0 | 42.8 | 83.8 | -1.8 | 56% | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.5 | 43.1 | 83.6 | -2.6 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.4 | 37.0 | 76.4 | +2.4 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 40.4 | 45.6 | 86.0 | -5.1 | 22% | 56% |
| vs Similar (15) | 43.5 | 41.3 | 84.7 | +2.2 | 60% | 67% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 42.2 | 37.5 | 79.7 | +4.7 | 100% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80.75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.0 | 38.8 | 81.9 | +4.2 | 63% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 44.2 | 37.4 | 81.6 | +6.8 | 71% | 57% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 42.0 | 40.1 | 82.1 | +1.9 | 56% | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.0 | 37.2 | 78.2 | +3.8 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.6 | 32.0 | 74.6 | +10.6 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (7) | 42.6 | 43.9 | 86.4 | -1.3 | 57% | 71% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (23) | 43.2 | 37.3 | 80.5 | +5.9 | 65% | 48% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians Paulista +10.5 | 84.6% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +14.3pp | Lost |
| Corinthians Paulista +5 | 70.6% | 1.57 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.52 | - | - | +12.6pp | Lost |
| Corinthians Paulista +5.5 | 71.6% | 1.54 | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.56 | 1.50 | 1.50 | +12.1pp | Lost |
| Corinthians Paulista +9.5 | 82.4% | 1.31 | 1.35 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +12.0pp | Lost |
| Corinthians Paulista +6.5 | 74.7% | 1.46 | 1.53 | 1.43 | 1.41 | - | - | +12.0pp | Lost |
| Corinthians Paulista +7.5 | 77.5% | 1.39 | 1.45 | 1.37 | 1.34 | - | - | +11.2pp | Lost |
| Corinthians Paulista +8.5 | 80.1% | 1.33 | 1.40 | 1.32 | 1.28 | - | - | +10.6pp | Lost |
| Corinthians Paulista +7 | 76.8% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Lost |
| Corinthians Paulista +9 | 82.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Lost |
| Corinthians Paulista +6 | 73.9% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Lost |
| Corinthians Paulista +8 | 79.6% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +9.6pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros under 92.5 | 88.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Corinthians Paulista over 75.5 | 71.1% | 1.44 | 1.47 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| Corinthians Paulista over 73.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Won |
| Pinheiros under 86.5 | 73.8% | 1.38 | 1.42 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Lost |
| Corinthians Paulista over 74.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | 1.37 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Corinthians Paulista over 69.5 | 87.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Corinthians Paulista over 68.5 | 89.2% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Pinheiros under 85.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | 1.45 | 1.41 | 1.40 | - | - | +7.6pp | Lost |
| Corinthians Paulista over 72.5 | 80.2% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Pinheiros under 87.5 | 76.8% | 1.29 | 1.30 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Lost |
| Corinthians Paulista over 70.5 | 85.2% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Corinthians Paulista over 66.5 | 92.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +6.3pp | Won |
| Pinheiros under 91.5 | 86.6% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Pinheiros under 89.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Lost |
| Pinheiros under 90.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Lost |
| Over 135.5 | 94.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Pinheiros over 62.5 | 95.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Pinheiros over 63.5 | 94.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Under 185.5 | 92.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Over 140.5 | 89.4% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Over 145.5 | 82.6% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Over 150.5 | 73.6% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Pinheiros over 65.5 | 91.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Corinthians Paulista under 94.5 | 89.9% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| Pinheiros over 70.5 | 81.9% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Under 175.5 | 80.7% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Under 180.5 | 87.5% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Corinthians Paulista under 92.5 | 86.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Pinheiros over 67.5 | 88.6% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Corinthians Paulista under 90.5 | 81.5% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +0.0pp | Won |
| Under 170.5 | 71.7% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | -0.2pp | Won |
| Pinheiros over 73.5 | 73.2% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Corinthians Paulista under 89.5 | 78.8% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -1.7pp | Won |
| Pinheiros over 69.5 | 84.3% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -1.8pp | Won |
| Corinthians Paulista under 88.5 | 75.9% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -1.9pp | Won |
| Pinheiros over 71.5 | 79.2% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -2.2pp | Won |
| Pinheiros over 72.5 | 76.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -3.2pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.2 | 19.3 | 49.8% | 38.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.4 | 10.3 | 31.6% | 30.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.4 | 14.5 | 71.3% | 14.5 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.3 | 16.7 | 49.8% | 33.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 32.3 | 11.1 | 31.6% | 33.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.4 | 12.7 | 71.3% | 12.7 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26/05/26 | Pinheiros v Corinthians Paulista | 88-76 |
| 23/05/26 | Corinthians Paulista v Pinheiros | 81-82 OT |
| 20/05/26 | Corinthians Paulista v Pinheiros | 98-84 |
| 19/05/26 | Pinheiros v Corinthians Paulista | 95-65 |
| 04/04/26 | Corinthians Paulista v Pinheiros | 74-69 |
| 21/12/25 | Pinheiros v Corinthians Paulista | 109-80 |
| 29/03/25 | Pinheiros v Corinthians Paulista | 83-76 |
| 28/11/24 | Corinthians Paulista v Pinheiros | 69-89 |
| 23/03/24 | Pinheiros v Corinthians Paulista | 77-90 |
| 30/11/23 | Corinthians Paulista v Pinheiros | 94-92 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLW | 40% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LLLW | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| Win % | 40% | 100% | 25% |
| Points / game | 79.4 | 78.0 | 79.8 |
| Allowed / game | 77.6 | 48.0 | 85.0 |
| Point differential | +1.8 | +30.0 | -5.2 |
| Avg total | 157.0 | 126.0 | 164.8 |
| Over 160.75 | 40% | 0% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWL | 71% |
| Home | WWWL | 75% |
| Away | LWW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Points / game | 84.4 | 84.8 | 84.0 |
| Allowed / game | 72.3 | 72.0 | 72.7 |
| Point differential | +12.1 | +12.8 | +11.3 |
| Avg total | 156.7 | 156.8 | 156.7 |
| Over 160.75 | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 86.3 | 65.7 | +20.6 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 81.5 | 73.7 | +7.8 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 84.4 | 72.3 | +12.1 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 80.9 | 73.4 | +7.4 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 79.4 | 75.1 | +4.3 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 78.3 | 73.3 | +5.0 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 80.6 | 79.8 | +0.9 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 76.2 | 78.8 | -2.7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 70.3 | 73.0 | -2.7 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 73.2 | 76.8 | -3.7 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 76.7 | 77.7 | -1.0 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 79.4 | 77.6 | +1.8 | |
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 80.0 | 83.0 | -3.0 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 80.5 | 84.5 | -4.0 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 74.1 | 83.6 | -9.4 | |
| 16 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 79.5 | 86.0 | -6.5 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 66.0 | 84.8 | -18.8 | |
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0% | 64.7 | 79.6 | -14.9 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 17 | 24 | 16 | 79 | |
| 16 | 21 | 37 | 17 | 91 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.