The Pro A clash on 13 November 2026 pits the Crailsheim Merlins against Koln, with the Merlins the clear favourite as the model rates them at 90% versus 10% for Koln, a reflection of Crailsheim's 7-1 record, 80.8 points scored and 68.0 allowed per game, and second place in the league, while Koln sits sixth with a 5-4 record, 84.4 points scored and 89.3 allowed. Crailsheim has been flawless at home, 4-0 with 78.2 points and 66.5 allowed, and has won four of its last five games, including a 83-80 win over Bochum on 7 November, a 65-58 home win over Paderborn on 31 October and a 80-68 win over Bremerhaven on 24 October; Koln's road form is 4-1, 81.8 points and 82.4 allowed, with three wins in its last five, notably a 84-81 victory over OrangeAcademy on 1 November. Their head-to-head record is 4-2 in favour of Crailsheim, the last meeting ending 99-58 for Crailsheim on 17 January 2026. The model projects a 89-74 score, 163.5 total points, a -11.5 spread with a 61% chance of the Merlins covering, a 162.0 total with a 53% over probability, and a 2% chance of overtime, underscoring Crailsheim's dominance in recent games.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Crailsheim Merlins winWon
90.4%fair 1.11
Best odds1.13
Implied84.9%
Edge+5.5pp
Koln winLost
9.6%fair 10.47
Best odds6.50
Implied15.1%
Edge-5.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:44 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Crailsheim Merlins -9
71.2%
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
-
-
-
-
+11.5pp
Won
Crailsheim Merlins -4.5
83.0%
1.27
Betano
1.27
-
-
-
-
+10.8pp
Won
Crailsheim Merlins over 82.5
75.6%
1.36
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.34
-
-
-
+9.7pp
Won
Crailsheim Merlins over 81.5
78.6%
1.29
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+9.7pp
Won
Crailsheim Merlins -5.5
80.5%
1.29
Betano
1.29
-
-
-
-
+9.6pp
Won
Crailsheim Merlins -6.5
77.9%
1.34
Betano
1.34
-
-
-
-
+9.5pp
Won
Crailsheim Merlins -8.5
72.1%
1.43
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.39
-
-
-
+8.9pp
Won
Crailsheim Merlins (regulation)
89.1%
1.12
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathon Bet
1.11
-
-
+8.8pp
Won
Crailsheim Merlins over 83.5
72.3%
1.41
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40
-
-
-
+8.7pp
Won
Crailsheim Merlins -7.5
75.1%
1.36
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.32
-
-
-
+8.6pp
Won
Overtime: no
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.6pp
Won
Crailsheim Merlins win
90.4%
1.10
Betano
1.13
WilliamHill
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathon Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
+5.5pp
Won
Over 154.5
71.1%
1.38
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
-
+4.8pp
Won
Koln under 79.5
70.1%
1.36
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.33
-
-
-
+4.3pp
Won
Koln under 80.5
73.4%
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+4.2pp
Won
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They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Their opponents take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Kolntheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Their opponents take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of those shots are threes. Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Kolntheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
No box scores for this team yet.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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PythiaBasketballBETA
Pro ARound 9· Arena Hohenlohe
Kirchheim
Wolmirstedt
Heidelberg
Tubingen
Bremerhaven
Giessen
Gottingen
Paderborn
Koblenz
Nurnberger
PS Karlsruhe
Artland
OrangeAcademy
Bochum
ETB Miners
Bayreuth