Crailsheim Merlins vs Mitteldeutscher Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Apr 2012

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 85-73

15-18 22-22 25-12 23-21

Position#4

Record20-13

FormWWLWL

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game81.6

Crailsheim Merlins 🏆

Mitteldeutscher

Position#1

Record27-5

FormWWWWW

Points / game86.9

Allowed / game75.6

Pro APro A - Semi-finals

Other2011-12

Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Mitteldeutscher

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Mitteldeutscher winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jena

98-93

A03/03

Pro A

Ehingen

#11

78-83 OT

-5

A10/03

Pro A

Chemnitz

66-70

-4

A23/03

Pro A

Heidelberg

82-81

H25/03

Pro A

Mitteldeutscher

60-75

-15

A31/03

Pro A

Paderborn

109-91

109

+18

H05/04

Pro A

Paderborn

97-95

H09/04

Pro A

Paderborn

97-100

100

-3

A11/04

Pro A

Paderborn

111-77

111

+34

H13/04

Pro A

Mitteldeutscher

68-98

-30

A20/04

Pro A

25-29

26-22

23-21

24-21

16-24

18-16

15-17

19-11

27-16

14-19

10-22

15-13

21-19

20-23

20-19

21-20

13-21

17-20

18-14

12-20

30-25

27-22

17-28

35-16

19-28

26-24

28-16

24-27

29-25

13-28

31-21

24-26

31-22

16-19

30-18

34-18

15-22

17-23

15-25

21-28

172.9Avg total

86.6Scored

86.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	83.9	81.6	165.5	+2.3	61%
Season at home (17)	87.2	79.2	166.4	+8.0	82%
Season away (16)	80.4	84.2	164.7	-3.8	38%
Last 10 (10)	86.6	86.3	172.9	+0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	96.4	92.2	188.6	+4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	75.4	84.2	159.6	-8.8	40%
vs Similar (20)	84.5	82.1	166.6	+2.4	55%
vs Weaker (5)	86.8	81.6	168.4	+5.2	100%

This opponent (Mitteldeutscher) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mitteldeutscher Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dusseldorf

77-85

-8

A04/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

92-82 OT

+10

H10/03

Pro A

BG Eisbaeren

82-68

+14

A16/03

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

73-72

H23/03

Pro A

Saar-Pfalz

#14

77-64

+13

A25/03

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

75-60

+15

H31/03

Pro A

Jena

83-67

+16

H05/04

Pro A

Jena

78-55

+23

A07/04

Pro A

Jena

88-60

+28

H09/04

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

98-68

+30

H20/04

Pro A

14-18

16-20

20-24

27-23

21-21

23-19

13-17

19-19

15-20

27-8

16-13

24-27

20-21

22-14

22-21

9-16

18-21

16-13

27-17

16-13

21-13

20-17

14-18

20-12

17-11

18-17

24-26

24-13

25-20

18-12

11-10

21-18

23-8

21-11

23-23

22-15

23-17

25-15

28-21

150.4Avg total

82.3Scored

68.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	86.9	75.6	162.5	+11.3	84%
Season at home (17)	88.1	73.6	161.7	+14.5	94%
Season away (15)	85.6	77.9	163.5	+7.7	73%
Last 10 (10)	82.3	68.1	150.4	+14.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	62.0	146.4	+22.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	94.5	81.0	175.5	+13.5	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	86.8	75.5	162.3	+11.3	82%

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Crailsheim MerlinsMitteldeutscher

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	20.9	43.5	+1.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	22.9	42.9	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	23.1	45.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	24.4	49.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	40%	-
vs Similar (20)	21.6	21.9	43.6	-0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.6	23.6	45.2	-2.0	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	17.4	38.5	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.1	36.4	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	14.0	35.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	23.0	20.5	43.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.9	40.0	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	20.2	41.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.5	38.6	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.2	43.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	20%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.0	19.1	39.1	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.6	21.0	43.6	+1.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	18.2	41.5	+5.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	17.9	41.5	+5.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	18.6	41.4	+4.2	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	15.3	36.6	+6.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	15.8	37.6	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	24.0	22.0	46.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	23.2	18.0	41.1	+5.2	75%	-

Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jena

51-51

A03/03

Pro A

Ehingen

#11

34-40

-6

A10/03

Pro A

Chemnitz

41-35

A23/03

Pro A

Heidelberg

41-42

-1

H25/03

Pro A

Mitteldeutscher

30-41

-11

A31/03

Pro A

Paderborn

57-47

+10

H05/04

Pro A

Paderborn

45-52

-7

H09/04

Pro A

Paderborn

42-53

-11

A11/04

Pro A

Paderborn

47-41

H13/04

Pro A

Mitteldeutscher

32-45

-13

A20/04

Pro A

86.7Avg total

42.0Scored

44.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	41.7	83.2	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.7	41.1	84.8	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	42.4	81.5	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	44.7	86.7	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	47.6	92.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	38.6	41.2	79.8	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar (20)	41.6	41.0	82.7	+0.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (5)	44.2	44.6	88.8	-0.4	40%	-

This opponent (Mitteldeutscher) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MitteldeutscherLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Dusseldorf

30-38

-8

A04/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

44-40

H10/03

Pro A

BG Eisbaeren

42-28

+14

A16/03

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

42-35

H23/03

Pro A

Saar-Pfalz

#14

34-34

A25/03

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

41-30

+11

H31/03

Pro A

Jena

35-28

H05/04

Pro A

Jena

49-33

+16

A07/04

Pro A

Jena

44-26

+18

H09/04

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

45-32

+13

H20/04

Pro A

73.0Avg total

40.6Scored

32.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	37.1	81.1	+6.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.7	35.3	80.0	+9.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.1	39.0	82.1	+4.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	32.4	73.0	+8.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	29.8	72.6	+13.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	47.0	42.5	89.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	43.7	36.8	80.5	+7.0	68%	-

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.7	38.5	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	18.6	38.9	+1.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.6	45.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (20)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.6	15.0	35.6	+5.6	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	18.1	38.4	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	18.3	39.3	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	17.9	37.5	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.4	37.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.4	36.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	14.5	18.5	33.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	20.7	18.1	38.8	+2.6	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.1	42.4	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.1	19.5	42.6	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	23.0	42.3	-3.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	20.0	42.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.6	23.0	50.6	+4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.8	23.6	42.4	-4.8	20%	-
vs Similar (20)	21.8	20.3	42.0	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.4	43.0	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	19.9	42.1	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	20.9	43.8	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.7	37.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	15.8	37.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	25.0	17.0	42.0	+8.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	22.4	20.7	43.0	+1.7	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	39.8	80.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.4	38.1	81.5	+5.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.5	41.7	80.2	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	40.1	83.7	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.8	44.6	96.4	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	36.8	43.0	79.8	-6.2	20%	-
vs Similar (20)	41.8	39.7	81.5	+2.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.6	37.0	79.6	+5.6	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	38.5	81.4	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	38.2	81.4	+5.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.5	38.9	81.3	+3.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	35.1	75.2	+5.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	32.2	73.8	+9.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	39.5	35.5	75.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	43.1	38.8	81.8	+4.3	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Crailsheim Merlins wins

Mitteldeutscher wins

Date	Game	Score
20/04/12	Mitteldeutscher v Crailsheim Merlins	98-68
31/03/12	Mitteldeutscher v Crailsheim Merlins	75-60
17/12/11	Crailsheim Merlins v Mitteldeutscher	100-80

Crailsheim Merlinslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/04/12	A	Mitteldeutscher	68-98
13/04/12	H	Paderborn	111-77
11/04/12	A	Paderborn	97-100
09/04/12	H	Paderborn	97-95
05/04/12	H	Paderborn	109-91
31/03/12	A	Mitteldeutscher	60-75
25/03/12	H	Heidelberg	82-81
23/03/12	A	Chemnitz	66-70
10/03/12	A	Ehingen	78-83 OT
03/03/12	A	Jena	98-93

Mitteldeutscherlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/04/12	H	Crailsheim Merlins	98-68
09/04/12	H	Jena	88-60
07/04/12	A	Jena	78-55
05/04/12	H	Jena	83-67
31/03/12	H	Crailsheim Merlins	75-60
25/03/12	A	Saar-Pfalz	77-64
23/03/12	H	Nurnberger	73-72
16/03/12	A	BG Eisbaeren	82-68
10/03/12	H	Kirchheim	92-82 OT
04/03/12	A	Dusseldorf	77-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins

Pro A 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	61%
Home	WWWWW	82%
Away	LLLLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	17	16
Win %	61%	82%	38%
Points / game	83.9	87.2	80.4
Allowed / game	81.6	79.2	84.2
Point differential	+2.3	+8.0	-3.8
Avg total	165.5	166.4	164.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	35%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (14)	71% (7)	43% (7)
Overtime %	6%	6%	6%

Mitteldeutscher

Pro A 2011-12

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	84%
Home	WWWWW	94%
Away	WLWWW	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	17	15
Win %	84%	94%	73%
Points / game	86.9	88.1	85.6
Allowed / game	75.6	73.6	77.9
Point differential	+11.3	+14.5	+7.7
Avg total	162.5	161.7	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	59%	53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (5)	100% (2)	100% (3)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mitteldeutscher	32	27	5	84%	86.9	75.6	+11.3
2	Kirchheim	33	23	10	70%	85.2	77.7	+7.5
3	Crailsheim Merlins	33	20	13	61%	83.9	81.6	+2.3
4	Chemnitz	32	19	13	59%	74.4	72.8	+1.6
5	Paderborn	32	17	15	53%	88.2	88.3	-0.1
6	Dusseldorf	34	18	16	53%	74.0	73.1	+1.0
7	BG Eisbaeren	28	14	14	50%	83.2	83.4	-0.2
8	Heidelberg	28	13	15	46%	88.0	86.2	+1.8
9	Jena	31	14	17	45%	78.9	80.0	-1.1
10	ETB Wohnbau	31	14	17	45%	79.2	81.6	-2.4
11	Ehingen	28	12	16	43%	74.5	76.4	-1.9
12	Nurnberger	28	11	17	39%	80.3	81.7	-1.4
13	Cuxhaven	28	10	18	36%	79.1	85.2	-6.1
14	Saar-Pfalz	28	8	20	29%	78.9	84.2	-5.3
15	Leitershofen/Stadtbergen	28	7	21	25%	78.5	88.9	-10.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Crailsheim Merlins	15	22	25	23	85
Mitteldeutscher	18	22	12	21	73

← all games of the day

Crailsheim Merlins vs Mitteldeutscher Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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