Paderborn vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Apr 2012

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 100-97

25-29 28-13 21-31 26-24

Position#5

Record16-14

FormLLWLL

Points / game88.2

Allowed / game87.2

Paderborn 🏆

Crailsheim Merlins

Position#4

Record19-11

FormLWLWW

Points / game83.1

Allowed / game80.6

Pro APro A - Quarter-finals

Other2011-12

Meetings · Paderborn v Crailsheim Merlins

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paderborn winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crailsheim Merlins winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Paderborn

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mitteldeutscher

79-91

-12

A25/02

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

73-92

-19

H02/03

Pro A

Leitershofen/Stadtbergen

#15

96-84

+12

H04/03

Pro A

ETB Wohnbau

#10

104-91

104

+13

A10/03

Pro A

Cuxhaven

#13

103-83

103

+20

H17/03

Pro A

Jena

83-87

-4

H23/03

Pro A

Dusseldorf

60-73

-13

A25/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

102-97

102

A31/03

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

91-109

109

-18

A05/04

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

95-97

-2

A09/04

Pro A

20-18

22-22

13-26

24-25

24-27

12-23

16-21

21-21

30-25

23-15

23-23

20-21

27-20

23-16

26-20

28-35

22-15

21-29

34-21

26-18

23-19

22-19

20-19

18-30

25-8

19-18

10-21

6-26

18-21

32-31

30-24

22-21

25-30

22-27

28-17

16-35

28-19

24-26

16-28

27-24

179.0Avg total

88.6Scored

90.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	88.2	87.2	175.4	+1.0	53%
Season at home (14)	90.1	84.1	174.3	+6.0	71%
Season away (16)	86.5	89.9	176.4	-3.4	38%
Last 10 (10)	88.6	90.4	179.0	-1.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	92.6	178.8	-6.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	90.5	89.8	180.2	+0.8	50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	86.2	87.5	173.8	-1.2	45%
vs Weaker (6)	93.2	84.7	177.8	+8.5	83%

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crailsheim Merlins Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BG Eisbaeren

88-91

-3

H11/02

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

90-82

A16/02

Pro A

Saar-Pfalz

#14

88-79

H25/02

Pro A

Jena

98-93

A03/03

Pro A

Ehingen

#11

78-83 OT

-5

A10/03

Pro A

Chemnitz

66-70

-4

A23/03

Pro A

Heidelberg

82-81

H25/03

Pro A

Mitteldeutscher

60-75

-15

A31/03

Pro A

Paderborn

109-91

109

+18

H05/04

Pro A

Paderborn

97-95

H09/04

Pro A

23-26

25-15

22-27

18-23

24-13

19-21

22-26

25-22

28-26

25-24

12-9

23-20

25-29

26-22

23-21

24-21

16-24

18-16

15-17

19-11

27-16

14-19

10-22

15-13

21-19

20-23

20-19

21-20

13-21

17-20

18-14

12-20

30-25

27-22

17-28

35-16

19-28

26-24

28-16

24-27

169.6Avg total

85.6Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	83.1	80.6	163.7	+2.5	63%
Season at home (16)	85.7	79.3	165.0	+6.4	81%
Season away (14)	80.1	82.1	162.3	-2.0	43%
Last 10 (10)	85.6	84.0	169.6	+1.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	82.4	165.2	+0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	77.2	80.8	158.0	-3.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	82.3	81.4	163.7	+0.9	56%
vs Weaker (8)	87.9	78.9	166.8	+9.0	88%

This opponent (Paderborn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PaderbornCrailsheim Merlins

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	21.9	44.5	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	22.9	45.5	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.6	21.0	43.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	20.2	44.4	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.4	43.2	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	23.4	22.2	45.7	+1.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.2	22.2	43.3	-1.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	20.2	42.6	+2.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	22.7	45.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.5	18.8	40.2	+2.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.7	21.8	42.5	-1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.8	21.8	45.5	+2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.7	42.9	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	20.9	43.2	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	22.4	42.7	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	22.6	44.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	24.2	48.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	25.0	25.2	50.2	-0.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.9	20.7	41.5	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	22.5	42.7	-2.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.0	40.1	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	19.9	40.9	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	17.9	39.2	+3.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.6	42.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	21.5	40.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.6	18.5	42.1	+5.1	75%	-

PaderbornLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mitteldeutscher

42-40

A25/02

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

36-50

-14

H02/03

Pro A

Leitershofen/Stadtbergen

#15

53-40

+13

H04/03

Pro A

ETB Wohnbau

#10

50-36

+14

A10/03

Pro A

Cuxhaven

#13

43-44

-1

H17/03

Pro A

Jena

45-38

H23/03

Pro A

Dusseldorf

44-26

+18

A25/03

Pro A

Kirchheim

50-52

-2

A31/03

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

47-57

-10

A05/04

Pro A

Crailsheim Merlins

52-45

A09/04

Pro A

89.0Avg total

46.2Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	43.6	87.4	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	43.8	88.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.9	43.4	86.2	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.2	42.8	89.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	43.6	91.2	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	45.2	45.0	90.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	44.3	43.0	87.2	+1.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.3	44.7	86.0	-3.3	33%	-

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BG Eisbaeren

48-41

H11/02

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

43-34

A16/02

Pro A

Saar-Pfalz

#14

53-50

H25/02

Pro A

Jena

51-51

A03/03

Pro A

Ehingen

#11

34-40

-6

A10/03

Pro A

Chemnitz

41-35

A23/03

Pro A

Heidelberg

41-42

-1

H25/03

Pro A

Mitteldeutscher

30-41

-11

A31/03

Pro A

Paderborn

57-47

+10

H05/04

Pro A

Paderborn

45-52

-7

H09/04

Pro A

87.6Avg total

44.3Scored

43.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	40.3	83.1	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.4	40.1	83.6	+3.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	40.6	82.6	+1.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	43.3	87.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	43.4	86.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.2	40.2	80.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	41.3	40.4	81.7	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	47.4	40.2	87.6	+7.1	62%	-

This opponent (Paderborn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	22.9	43.8	-2.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.7	20.5	46.2	+5.2	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	18.9	38.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	18.1	37.3	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.9	38.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	18.0	36.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.9	19.4	38.3	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.8	16.9	37.6	+3.9	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	22.2	44.7	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	21.1	44.0	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-1.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	25.6	46.4	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	27.2	45.0	-9.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	24.2	22.8	47.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.1	22.9	44.0	-1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	26.2	19.5	45.7	+6.7	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.9	41.1	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	19.5	41.6	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	22.4	40.6	-4.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.2	22.5	40.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.9	20.1	41.1	+0.8	61%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.8	21.8	41.5	-2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	43.4	87.5	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.2	40.4	85.6	+4.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.0	46.1	89.1	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	47.6	90.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	49.0	87.6	-10.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	45.2	44.8	90.0	+0.5	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	41.5	44.2	85.7	-2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	51.8	40.0	91.8	+11.8	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	39.4	79.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	38.4	80.1	+3.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.4	40.5	77.9	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	39.2	79.5	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	39.0	79.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.0	40.5	77.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	39.8	39.5	79.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.5	38.6	79.1	+1.9	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Paderborn wins

Crailsheim Merlins wins

Date	Game	Score
09/04/12	Crailsheim Merlins v Paderborn	97-95
05/04/12	Crailsheim Merlins v Paderborn	109-91
20/01/12	Paderborn v Crailsheim Merlins	93-85
08/10/11	Crailsheim Merlins v Paderborn	91-87

Paderbornlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/04/12	A	Crailsheim Merlins	95-97
05/04/12	A	Crailsheim Merlins	91-109
31/03/12	A	Kirchheim	102-97
25/03/12	A	Dusseldorf	60-73
23/03/12	H	Jena	83-87
17/03/12	H	Cuxhaven	103-83
10/03/12	A	ETB Wohnbau	104-91
04/03/12	H	Leitershofen/Stadtbergen	96-84
02/03/12	H	Nurnberger	73-92
25/02/12	A	Mitteldeutscher	79-91

Crailsheim Merlinslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/04/12	H	Paderborn	97-95
05/04/12	H	Paderborn	109-91
31/03/12	A	Mitteldeutscher	60-75
25/03/12	H	Heidelberg	82-81
23/03/12	A	Chemnitz	66-70
10/03/12	A	Ehingen	78-83 OT
03/03/12	A	Jena	98-93
25/02/12	H	Saar-Pfalz	88-79
16/02/12	A	Nurnberger	90-82
11/02/12	H	BG Eisbaeren	88-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paderborn

Pro A 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	53%
Home	WLWWL	71%
Away	WLWLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	14	16
Win %	53%	71%	38%
Points / game	88.2	90.1	86.5
Allowed / game	87.2	84.1	89.9
Point differential	+1.0	+6.0	-3.4
Avg total	175.4	174.3	176.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	36%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	58% (12)	50% (6)	67% (6)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Crailsheim Merlins

Pro A 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	63%
Home	LWWWW	81%
Away	WWLLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	16	14
Win %	63%	81%	43%
Points / game	83.1	85.7	80.1
Allowed / game	80.6	79.3	82.1
Point differential	+2.5	+6.4	-2.0
Avg total	163.7	165.0	162.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	31%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (13)	71% (7)	50% (6)
Overtime %	7%	6%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mitteldeutscher	31	26	5	84%	86.6	75.8	+10.7
2	Kirchheim	31	21	10	68%	85.1	78.2	+6.9
3	Crailsheim Merlins	30	19	11	63%	83.1	80.6	+2.5
4	Chemnitz	31	19	12	61%	74.1	72.2	+2.0
5	Dusseldorf	31	17	14	55%	73.7	71.9	+1.8
6	Paderborn	30	16	14	53%	88.2	87.2	+1.0
7	BG Eisbaeren	28	14	14	50%	83.2	83.4	-0.2
8	Heidelberg	28	13	15	46%	88.0	86.2	+1.8
9	Jena	31	14	17	45%	78.9	80.0	-1.1
10	ETB Wohnbau	31	14	17	45%	79.2	81.6	-2.4
11	Ehingen	28	12	16	43%	74.5	76.4	-1.9
12	Nurnberger	28	11	17	39%	80.3	81.7	-1.4
13	Cuxhaven	28	10	18	36%	79.1	85.2	-6.1
14	Saar-Pfalz	28	8	20	29%	78.9	84.2	-5.3
15	Leitershofen/Stadtbergen	28	7	21	25%	78.5	88.9	-10.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Paderborn	25	28	21	26	100
Crailsheim Merlins	29	13	31	24	97

← all games of the day

Paderborn vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature