Crailsheim Merlins vs Oldenburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Nov 2019

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 93-98 (OT)

23-18 24-17 15-24 20-23 11-16

Position#5

Record5-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game96.6

Allowed / game78.8

Crailsheim Merlins

Oldenburg 🏆

Position#4

Record3-2

FormWWWLL

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game80.2

BBLRound 6

Domestic2019-20

Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Oldenburg

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Oldenburg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ludwigsburg

#10

85-94

-9

H27/04

BBL

Vechta

92-95

-3

A30/04

BBL

Gottingen

#14

63-88

-25

H03/05

BBL

Jena

#18

91-88

A10/05

BBL

Oldenburg

99-87

+12

H12/05

BBL

Giessen

#13

108-92

108

+16

A24/09

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

83-76

H06/10

BBL

Bonn

#15

114-82

114

+32

A12/10

BBL

Gottingen

#11

83-57

+26

H19/10

BBL

Syntainics MBC

#16

95-87

A26/10

BBL

25-24

26-30

15-22

19-18

25-22

17-28

25-24

25-21

12-21

16-26

16-17

19-24

29-27

25-28

20-14

17-19

28-25

18-23

26-26

27-13

25-18

24-29

35-18

24-27

29-26

19-15

15-19

20-16

34-19

33-21

26-17

21-25

18-14

16-12

24-10

25-21

32-23

27-28

20-19

16-17

175.9Avg total

91.3Scored

84.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	96.6	78.8	175.4	+17.8	100%
Season at home (2)	83.0	66.5	149.5	+16.5	100%
Season away (3)	105.7	87.0	192.7	+18.7	100%
Last 10 (10)	91.3	84.6	175.9	+6.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	96.6	78.8	175.4	+17.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	83.4	91.4	174.8	-8.0	21%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	84.0	88.2	172.2	-4.2	67%
vs Weaker (5)	98.2	81.2	179.4	+17.0	100%

This opponent (Oldenburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Oldenburg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Giessen

#13

117-85

117

+32

H30/04

BBL

Bamberg

93-86

A08/05

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#15

118-115 OT

118

115

H10/05

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

#16

87-99

-12

A12/05

BBL

Bonn

105-94

105

+11

H19/05

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

90-82

H26/09

BBL

Vechta

73-68

A05/10

BBL

Ludwigsburg

83-78

H12/10

BBL

Bayern

83-90

-7

H20/10

BBL

Giessen

#13

68-83

-15

A27/10

BBL

24-23

35-20

25-23

33-19

18-29

26-18

23-17

26-22

27-23

29-35

29-24

19-22

25-28

23-18

26-26

13-27

31-24

22-32

24-24

28-14

21-21

27-22

20-20

22-19

20-16

17-24

16-13

20-15

25-22

25-16

18-17

15-23

29-13

17-24

15-25

22-28

16-24

18-29

15-11

19-19

179.7Avg total

91.7Scored

88.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	79.4	80.2	159.6	-0.8	60%
Season at home (3)	85.3	83.3	168.7	+2.0	67%
Season away (2)	70.5	75.5	146.0	-5.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	91.7	88.0	179.7	+3.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	80.2	159.6	-0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	83.0	84.0	167.0	-1.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	84.8	80.6	165.4	+4.2	80%
vs Weaker (23)	94.6	83.7	178.3	+10.9	83%

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Crailsheim MerlinsOldenburg

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	23.9	46.1	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	23.5	44.4	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	24.3	47.7	-0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	21.9	47.6	+3.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.6	20.0	47.6	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	20.8	24.6	45.5	-3.8	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.8	24.7	46.5	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	27.6	20.2	47.8	+7.4	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	20.9	44.7	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	26.5	20.2	46.7	+6.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	21.7	42.5	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	22.3	45.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.2	41.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	27.0	17.5	44.5	+9.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (23)	24.2	21.7	45.9	+2.4	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.2	43.3	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	21.5	40.7	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	23.0	45.8	-0.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	24.0	46.1	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.0	44.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	20.4	22.3	42.7	-1.8	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.7	21.0	40.7	-1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.0	23.6	48.6	+1.4	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	22.3	45.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.8	23.4	48.2	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	21.1	42.4	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	23.8	47.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	23.0	43.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	22.2	24.0	46.2	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (23)	23.6	22.2	45.7	+1.4	52%	-

Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ludwigsburg

#10

51-54

-3

H27/04

BBL

Vechta

42-50

-8

A30/04

BBL

Gottingen

#14

28-47

-19

H03/05

BBL

Jena

#18

54-55

-1

A10/05

BBL

Oldenburg

46-48

-2

H12/05

BBL

Giessen

#13

49-47

A24/09

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

48-41

H06/10

BBL

Bonn

#15

67-40

+27

A12/10

BBL

Gottingen

#11

34-26

H19/10

BBL

Syntainics MBC

#16

59-51

A26/10

BBL

93.7Avg total

47.8Scored

45.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	46.1	89.3	-2.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	45.0	85.1	-4.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.3	47.3	93.5	-1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.8	45.9	93.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.4	41.0	92.4	+10.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	41.3	46.9	88.2	-5.6	16%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	41.5	45.7	87.2	-4.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	52.6	43.8	96.4	+8.8	80%	-

This opponent (Oldenburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Giessen

#13

59-43

+16

H30/04

BBL

Bamberg

44-47

-3

A08/05

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#15

56-58

-2

H10/05

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

#16

48-46

A12/05

BBL

Bonn

53-56

-3

H19/05

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

48-43

H26/09

BBL

Vechta

37-40

-3

A05/10

BBL

Ludwigsburg

50-38

+12

H12/10

BBL

Bayern

46-37

H20/10

BBL

Giessen

#13

34-53

-19

A27/10

BBL

93.6Avg total

47.5Scored

46.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.0	43.2	90.2	+3.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	51.3	43.6	94.9	+7.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	42.9	84.9	-0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.5	46.1	93.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	42.2	85.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	48.0	37.5	85.5	+10.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	43.2	42.4	85.6	+0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (23)	47.7	43.9	91.7	+3.8	57%	-

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.3	41.5	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.3	38.9	+0.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	21.3	44.1	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	16.6	40.6	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.7	19.7	39.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	25.0	15.6	40.6	+9.4	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.2	40.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	20.1	42.8	+2.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	16.0	36.9	+4.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.2	34.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (23)	23.0	18.3	41.2	+4.7	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	22.3	43.6	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	23.7	45.7	-1.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.1	41.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	20.9	22.3	43.2	-1.4	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	22.8	22.8	45.7	+0.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.2	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	21.4	44.3	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	21.6	45.2	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	21.3	43.3	+0.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.8	42.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	25.5	44.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (23)	23.3	21.1	44.4	+2.2	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	42.7	85.0	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.0	40.3	80.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.7	45.1	89.8	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	38.7	82.2	+4.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	37.8	83.0	+7.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	41.5	44.1	85.6	-2.6	37%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	42.5	42.5	85.0	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.6	37.4	83.0	+8.2	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.7	39.6	84.4	+5.1	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.3	41.7	88.0	+4.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.9	37.3	80.2	+5.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	40.8	83.6	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	38.0	74.4	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.0	46.5	81.5	-11.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	41.6	38.2	79.8	+3.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (23)	46.3	39.3	85.6	+6.9	87%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 63.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀32%

🏀🏀🏀57%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers20.0 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.0	10.0	31.2%	54.1%	20.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	12.0	44.4%	33.9%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	11.0	7.0	63.6%	73.5%	7.0

They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	25.0	62.5%	54.1%	50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	6.0	27.3%	33.9%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	26.0	20.0	76.9%	73.5%	20.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	25.0	62.5%	54.1%	50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	6.0	27.3%	33.9%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	26.0	20.0	76.9%	73.5%	20.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Crailsheim Merlins wins

Oldenburg wins

Date	Game	Score
12/05/19	Crailsheim Merlins v Oldenburg	99-87
24/11/18	Oldenburg v Crailsheim Merlins	87-79
05/03/16	Oldenburg v Crailsheim Merlins	83-57
14/11/15	Crailsheim Merlins v Oldenburg	66-90
07/03/15	Oldenburg v Crailsheim Merlins	112-81
05/10/14	Crailsheim Merlins v Oldenburg	62-85

Crailsheim Merlinslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/10/19	A	Syntainics MBC	95-87
19/10/19	H	Gottingen	83-57
12/10/19	A	Bonn	114-82
06/10/19	H	Bayreuth	83-76
24/09/19	A	Giessen	108-92
12/05/19	H	Oldenburg	99-87
10/05/19	A	Jena	91-88
03/05/19	H	Gottingen	63-88
30/04/19	A	Vechta	92-95
27/04/19	H	Ludwigsburg	85-94

Oldenburglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/10/19	A	Giessen	68-83
20/10/19	H	Bayern	83-90
12/10/19	H	Ludwigsburg	83-78
05/10/19	A	Vechta	73-68
26/09/19	H	s.Oliver Wurzburg	90-82
19/05/19	H	Bonn	105-94
12/05/19	A	Crailsheim Merlins	87-99
10/05/19	H	Mitteldeutscher	118-115 OT
08/05/19	A	Bamberg	93-86
30/04/19	H	Giessen	117-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins

BBL 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	96.6	83.0	105.7
Allowed / game	78.8	66.5	87.0
Point differential	+17.8	+16.5	+18.7
Avg total	175.4	149.5	192.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	50%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Oldenburg

BBL 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	60%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	60%	67%	50%
Points / game	79.4	85.3	70.5
Allowed / game	80.2	83.3	75.5
Point differential	-0.8	+2.0	-5.0
Avg total	159.6	168.7	146.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Alba Berlin	4	4	0	100%	94.0	71.8	+22.2
2	Crailsheim Merlins	5	5	0	100%	96.6	78.8	+17.8
3	Bayern	5	5	0	100%	89.4	71.8	+17.6
4	Ludwigsburg	6	5	1	83%	90.7	80.8	+9.8
5	Bamberg	5	4	1	80%	88.6	77.8	+10.8
6	Basketball Braunschweig	4	3	1	75%	88.5	82.0	+6.5
7	Oldenburg	5	3	2	60%	79.4	80.2	-0.8
8	s.Oliver Wurzburg	6	3	3	50%	85.8	87.2	-1.3
9	Vechta	5	2	3	40%	73.8	82.6	-8.8
10	Frankfurt	6	2	4	33%	73.5	80.5	-7.0
11	Bonn	3	1	2	33%	79.7	94.7	-15.0
12	Giessen	4	1	3	25%	82.8	87.0	-4.2
13	Ulm	4	1	3	25%	79.8	85.0	-5.2
14	Bayreuth	5	1	4	20%	80.2	83.4	-3.2
15	Syntainics MBC	6	1	5	17%	90.2	93.2	-3.0
16	Hamburg	6	1	5	17%	72.8	92.7	-19.8
17	Gottingen	5	0	5	0%	71.6	85.8	-14.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Crailsheim Merlins	23	24	15	20	11	93
Oldenburg	18	17	24	23	16	98

← all games of the day

Crailsheim Merlins vs Oldenburg Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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