Oldenburg vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Nov 2018

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 87-79

23-25 22-11 17-28 25-15

Position#2

Record5-2

FormWWLLW

Points / game88.9

Allowed / game79.0

Oldenburg 🏆

Crailsheim Merlins

Position#16

Record1-7

FormWLLLL

Points / game81.6

Allowed / game90.8

BBLRound 9

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Oldenburg v Crailsheim Merlins

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oldenburg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crailsheim Merlins winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oldenburg

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alba Berlin

97-85

+12

H15/05

BBL

Alba Berlin

68-85

-17

A17/05

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

100-64

100

+36

A29/09

BBL

Jena

91-94

-3

H07/10

German Cup

Ulm

103-99 OT

103

H13/10

BBL

Ludwigsburg

#10

85-67

+18

A20/10

BBL

Frankfurt

#11

91-69

+22

H27/10

BBL

Giessen

#13

88-97

-9

A03/11

BBL

Bayern

74-95

-21

A11/11

BBL

Vechta

81-62

+19

H17/11

BBL

26-24

22-29

29-10

20-22

19-17

16-28

17-18

16-22

16-16

32-14

26-20

26-14

29-20

24-21

20-24

18-29

24-20

22-21

19-19

12-17

19-18

27-13

19-19

20-17

18-14

21-8

23-23

29-24

21-21

22-21

26-27

19-28

19-20

18-22

17-26

20-27

32-11

21-19

12-19

16-13

169.5Avg total

87.8Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	88.9	79.0	167.9	+9.9	71%
Season at home (3)	91.7	76.7	168.3	+15.0	100%
Season away (4)	86.8	80.8	167.5	+6.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	87.8	81.7	169.5	+6.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	78.0	161.8	+5.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	85.5	90.0	175.5	-4.5	40%
vs Similar (6)	83.2	90.2	173.3	-7.0	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	89.7	75.3	165.0	+14.4	92%

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crailsheim Merlins Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vechta

87-103

103

-16

H04/05

Pro A

Vechta

71-62

A06/05

Pro A

Bremerhaven

#17

80-93

-13

A28/09

BBL

Giessen

#13

90-92

-2

H03/10

BBL

Alba Berlin

76-115

115

-39

A12/10

BBL

Jena

#18

101-78

101

+23

H20/10

BBL

Gottingen

#14

80-93

-13

A28/10

BBL

Vechta

68-70

-2

H02/11

BBL

Bayern

71-96

-25

H04/11

BBL

Bonn

87-89

-2

A11/11

BBL

22-22

19-22

22-31

24-28

24-20

20-17

16-15

11-10

16-21

28-17

12-29

24-26

14-28

26-24

33-22

17-18

15-33

16-20

22-27

23-35

23-16

27-17

29-17

22-28

15-26

20-24

22-17

23-26

19-14

15-15

19-18

15-23

18-24

28-33

18-17

7-22

14-23

24-28

24-17

25-21

170.2Avg total

81.1Scored

89.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	81.6	90.8	172.4	-9.1	12%
Season at home (4)	82.5	84.0	166.5	-1.5	25%
Season away (4)	80.8	97.5	178.2	-16.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	81.1	89.1	170.2	-8.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	85.2	166.6	-3.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	75.5	92.5	168.0	-17.0	0%
vs Similar (6)	81.0	88.2	169.2	-7.2	17%
vs Weaker (20)	97.5	76.5	174.1	+21.0	95%

This opponent (Oldenburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

OldenburgCrailsheim Merlins

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	21.3	43.8	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	20.8	44.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	21.7	43.5	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	18.1	40.4	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.8	38.6	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.9	25.5	45.4	-5.6	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	23.9	18.2	42.1	+5.8	69%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	20.5	43.3	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	20.1	43.5	+3.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	20.9	43.1	+1.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	22.7	40.7	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	16.5	23.5	40.0	-7.0	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.2	23.2	42.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (20)	25.2	19.1	44.3	+6.2	85%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.7	40.5	+1.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.6	42.1	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.6	38.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.6	23.7	46.3	-1.1	60%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.2	21.5	38.7	-4.3	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.5	17.1	38.5	+4.4	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	20.1	43.0	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	19.5	43.2	+4.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	20.7	42.8	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.7	44.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	23.4	46.2	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.8	24.0	44.8	-3.2	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.3	20.2	41.5	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	23.8	19.3	43.1	+4.5	85%	-

OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alba Berlin

48-53

-5

H15/05

BBL

Alba Berlin

35-45

-10

A17/05

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

48-30

+18

A29/09

BBL

Jena

53-41

+12

H07/10

German Cup

Ulm

46-41

H13/10

BBL

Ludwigsburg

#10

46-31

+15

A20/10

BBL

Frankfurt

#11

39-22

+17

H27/10

BBL

Giessen

#13

43-42

A03/11

BBL

Bayern

37-42

-5

A11/11

BBL

Vechta

53-30

+23

H17/11

BBL

82.5Avg total

44.8Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	41.6	85.2	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.0	40.5	84.5	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.2	42.6	85.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	37.7	82.5	+7.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	33.4	77.0	+10.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	42.5	49.2	91.7	-6.7	10%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.0	42.7	82.7	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	45.4	35.2	80.6	+10.2	85%	-

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vechta

41-44

-3

H04/05

Pro A

Vechta

44-37

A06/05

Pro A

Bremerhaven

#17

44-38

A28/09

BBL

Giessen

#13

40-52

-12

H03/10

BBL

Alba Berlin

31-53

-22

A12/10

BBL

Jena

#18

50-33

+17

H20/10

BBL

Gottingen

#14

35-50

-15

A28/10

BBL

Vechta

34-29

H02/11

BBL

Bayern

46-57

-11

H04/11

BBL

Bonn

38-51

-13

A11/11

BBL

84.7Avg total

40.3Scored

44.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.8	40.6	86.3	+5.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.2	39.5	86.7	+7.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.3	41.6	85.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	44.4	84.7	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	44.0	84.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	37.2	47.5	84.8	-10.2	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.5	43.3	83.8	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (20)	49.0	38.4	87.4	+10.7	85%	-

This opponent (Oldenburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.8	42.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	19.9	42.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	21.7	42.1	-1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.8	42.2	-3.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.5	18.7	40.2	+2.8	70%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.5	24.0	45.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	21.5	20.7	42.2	+0.8	38%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	20.1	42.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.2	20.1	43.3	+3.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.2	39.6	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.8	19.8	40.5	+1.0	75%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.8	22.5	43.3	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	23.8	19.5	43.3	+4.3	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.4	41.1	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	20.4	42.4	+1.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.2	21.3	41.5	-1.1	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.7	23.5	45.2	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.8	17.7	38.5	+3.1	77%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	20.3	43.0	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.2	20.9	45.1	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	23.7	42.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	24.0	42.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.5	25.2	42.8	-7.8	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.7	17%	-
vs Weaker (20)	24.6	18.7	43.3	+5.9	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	41.2	83.4	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	40.3	82.3	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	42.1	84.5	+0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	41.8	82.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	44.6	84.8	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.7	40.0	81.7	+1.7	40%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.2	47.5	90.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	42.3	38.4	80.7	+3.9	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.5	40.4	85.9	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.6	39.9	83.5	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.4	41.0	88.4	+6.4	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	44.7	85.5	-3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	41.2	82.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	38.2	45.0	83.2	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.5	44.8	85.3	-4.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	48.5	38.2	86.7	+10.2	90%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 63.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀32%

🏀🏀🏀57%

🏀11%

🏀🏀 2-pointers20.0 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 11% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.0	10.0	31.2%	54.1%	20.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	12.0	44.4%	33.9%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	11.0	7.0	63.6%	73.5%	7.0

They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	25.0	62.5%	54.1%	50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	6.0	27.3%	33.9%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	26.0	20.0	76.9%	73.5%	20.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	25.0	62.5%	54.1%	50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	6.0	27.3%	33.9%	18.0
🏀 Free throws	26.0	20.0	76.9%	73.5%	20.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Oldenburg wins

Crailsheim Merlins wins

Date	Game	Score
05/03/16	Oldenburg v Crailsheim Merlins	83-57
14/11/15	Crailsheim Merlins v Oldenburg	66-90
07/03/15	Oldenburg v Crailsheim Merlins	112-81
05/10/14	Crailsheim Merlins v Oldenburg	62-85

Oldenburglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/11/18	H	Vechta	81-62
11/11/18	A	Bayern	74-95
03/11/18	A	Giessen	88-97
27/10/18	H	Frankfurt	91-69
20/10/18	A	Ludwigsburg	85-67
13/10/18	H	Ulm	103-99 OT
07/10/18	H	Jena	91-94
29/09/18	A	Basketball Braunschweig	100-64
17/05/18	A	Alba Berlin	68-85
15/05/18	H	Alba Berlin	97-85

Crailsheim Merlinslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/18	A	Bonn	87-89
04/11/18	H	Bayern	71-96
02/11/18	H	Vechta	68-70
28/10/18	A	Gottingen	80-93
20/10/18	H	Jena	101-78
12/10/18	A	Alba Berlin	76-115
03/10/18	H	Giessen	90-92
28/09/18	A	Bremerhaven	80-93
06/05/18	A	Vechta	71-62
04/05/18	H	Vechta	87-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oldenburg

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	71%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	71%	100%	50%
Points / game	88.9	91.7	86.8
Allowed / game	79.0	76.7	80.8
Point differential	+9.9	+15.0	+6.0
Avg total	167.9	168.3	167.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	57%	67%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	14%	33%	0%

Crailsheim Merlins

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	12%
Home	LWLL	25%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	12%	25%	0%
Points / game	81.6	82.5	80.8
Allowed / game	90.8	84.0	97.5
Point differential	-9.1	-1.5	-16.8
Avg total	172.4	166.5	178.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bayern	8	8	0	100%	89.0	72.2	+16.8
2	Alba Berlin	7	6	1	86%	94.4	74.4	+20.0
3	Giessen	8	6	2	75%	92.0	90.2	+1.8
4	Oldenburg	7	5	2	71%	88.9	79.0	+9.9
5	Bamberg	7	5	2	71%	88.7	88.1	+0.6
6	Bayreuth	7	4	3	57%	85.3	80.7	+4.6
7	Vechta	9	5	4	56%	78.4	79.0	-0.6
8	Bonn	9	5	4	56%	84.4	85.3	-0.9
9	Gottingen	8	4	4	50%	80.1	78.1	+2.0
10	Ludwigsburg	8	4	4	50%	78.0	76.5	+1.5
11	Jena	7	3	4	43%	78.7	87.3	-8.6
12	Ulm	8	3	5	38%	86.5	88.1	-1.6
13	Frankfurt	8	3	5	38%	79.1	83.4	-4.2
14	Basketball Braunschweig	9	3	6	33%	74.7	78.8	-4.1
15	Bremerhaven	9	3	6	33%	80.3	87.8	-7.4
16	s.Oliver Wurzburg	7	2	5	29%	79.7	81.9	-2.1
17	Crailsheim Merlins	8	1	7	12%	81.6	90.8	-9.1
18	Mitteldeutscher	8	1	7	12%	74.2	87.9	-13.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Oldenburg	23	22	17	25	87
Crailsheim Merlins	25	11	28	15	79

← all games of the day

Oldenburg vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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