PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Creighton hosts Bethune-Cookman on 18 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model rates Creighton the clear favourite, assigning it a 94% chance to win and projecting an 85-67 victory. Creighton is 2-1 this season, averaging 80.3 points and allowing 68.3, and is 158th in the league; at home it is undefeated 2-0, scoring 79.5 and conceding 58.0. Their last five games include a loss to Kansas State 82-89 away, a win over Le Moyne 83-55 at home, and a win over UMKC 76-61 at home. Bethune-Cookman is 0-4 this season, averaging 71.0 points and giving up 85.5, and is 359th; on the road it is 0-3, scoring 71.3 and allowing 87.7, with five straight losses, including defeats to San Diego State, Grand Canyon and Texas Tech. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia gives Creighton a 94% chance to win, Bethune-Cookman 6%, and projects a total of 152.2 points; the game is expected to finish 85-67. The overtime probability is 1%. The game will be a decisive showcase of Creighton's offensive strength against a struggling Bethune-Cookman defense.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 80.3 | 68.3 | 148.7 | +12.0 | 67% |
| Season at home (2) | 79.5 | 58.0 | 137.5 | +21.5 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 82.0 | 89.0 | 171.0 | -7.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 73.7 | 73.2 | 146.9 | +0.5 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.6 | 67.2 | 142.8 | +8.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 64.8 | 76.1 | 140.9 | -11.3 | 27% |
| vs Similar (16) | 81.4 | 75.8 | 157.2 | +5.7 | 56% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 80.3 | 68.3 | 148.7 | +12.0 | 67% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 71.0 | 85.5 | 156.5 | -14.5 | 0% |
| Season at home (1) | 70.0 | 79.0 | 149.0 | -9.0 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 71.3 | 87.7 | 159.0 | -16.3 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.3 | 79.1 | 154.4 | -3.8 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 70.2 | 82.6 | 152.8 | -12.4 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 65.5 | 92.9 | 158.4 | -27.4 | 0% |
| vs Similar (16) | 76.9 | 73.8 | 150.8 | +3.1 | 69% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 77.8 | 65.2 | 143.0 | +12.7 | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.3 | 36.4 | 72.6 | -0.1 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 38.4 | 36.7 | 75.1 | +1.7 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 33.5 | 35.9 | 69.4 | -2.5 | 38% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 35.9 | 36.2 | 72.1 | -0.3 | 20% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.0 | 33.0 | 70.0 | +4.0 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 29.4 | 37.5 | 66.9 | -8.2 | 9% | - |
| vs Similar (16) | 39.9 | 36.4 | 76.2 | +3.5 | 75% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 42.3 | 32.0 | 74.3 | +10.3 | 33% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.0 | 36.2 | 72.2 | -0.2 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 39.7 | 31.7 | 71.4 | +8.0 | 69% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 33.2 | 39.7 | 72.9 | -6.5 | 24% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.1 | 37.8 | 74.9 | -0.7 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.4 | 40.0 | 72.4 | -7.6 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 29.4 | 45.4 | 74.8 | -16.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (16) | 37.9 | 33.8 | 71.6 | +4.1 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (6) | 39.8 | 30.7 | 70.5 | +9.2 | 83% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Kansas State | 82-89 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Le Moyne | 83-55 |
| 03/11/26 | H | UMKC | 76-61 |
| 12/03/26 | A | Seton Hall | 61-72 |
| 04/03/26 | A | Butler | 76-59 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Providence | 76-79 |
| 26/02/26 | H | DePaul | 71-72 |
| 21/02/26 | A | St. John's (N.Y.) | 52-81 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Uconn | 91-84 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Villanova | 69-80 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | San Diego State | 75-88 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Grand Canyon | 81-99 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Texas Tech | 58-76 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Furman | 70-79 |
| 11/03/26 | H | Prairie View A&M | 67-71 |
| 06/03/26 | A | Florida A&M | 77-81 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Southern Univ. | 82-79 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Grambling St. | 76-71 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 85-76 |
| 20/02/26 | H | Alabama State | 82-71 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWL | 67% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 80.3 | 79.5 | 82.0 |
| Allowed / game | 68.3 | 58.0 | 89.0 |
| Point differential | +12.0 | +21.5 | -7.0 |
| Avg total | 148.7 | 137.5 | 171.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLL | 0% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 71.0 | 70.0 | 71.3 |
| Allowed / game | 85.5 | 79.0 | 87.7 |
| Point differential | -14.5 | -9.0 | -16.3 |
| Avg total | 156.5 | 149.0 | 159.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Xavier | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 88.5 | 55.8 | +32.8 |
| 2 |  St. John's (N.Y.) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 90.7 | 62.3 | +28.3 |
| 3 |  Uconn | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 84.5 | 58.0 | +26.5 |
| 4 |  DePaul | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 77.0 | 58.0 | +19.0 |
| 5 |  Georgetown | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 83.5 | 72.0 | +11.5 |
| 6 |  Seton Hall | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 69.2 | 61.5 | +7.8 |
| 7 |  Marquette | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.3 | 53.0 | +27.3 |
| 8 |  Villanova | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 82.3 | 66.3 | +16.0 |
| 9 |  Providence | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 73.0 | 59.3 | +13.7 |
| 10 | Creighton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.3 | 68.3 | +12.0 |
| 11 |  Butler | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 85.0 | 75.2 | +9.8 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 81.2 | 67.8 | +13.5 |
| 2 |  Grambling St. | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 75.5 | 90.0 | -14.5 |
| 3 |  Prairie View A&M | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 75.4 | 82.0 | -6.6 |
| 4 |  Alabama State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 69.7 | 78.7 | -9.0 |
| 5 |  Florida A&M | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 77.8 | 80.8 | -3.0 |
| 6 |  Texas Southern | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 76.5 | 93.0 | -16.5 |
| 7 |  Jackson State | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 66.5 | 85.8 | -19.2 |
| 8 | Bethune-Cookman | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 71.0 | 85.5 | -14.5 |
| 9 |  Miss. Valley St. | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 63.0 | 85.5 | -22.5 |
| 10 |  Alcorn State | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 66.8 | 90.0 | -23.2 |
| 11 |  Southern Univ. | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 60.4 | 88.2 | -27.8 |
| 12 |  Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 52.8 | 98.8 | -46.0 |
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