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Creighton vs Villanova Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 69-80
27-41 42-39
Position#238
Record13-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#46
Record19-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game69.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Creighton v Villanova
19 Dec 2026
CREI v VILL
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
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VILL80
21 Dec 2024
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VILL79
20 Dec 2023
CREI66
VILL68
09 Mar 2023
CREI87
VILL74
04 Feb 2023
CREI66
VILL61
17 Dec 2021
CREI79
VILL59
13 Feb 2021
CREI86
VILL70
07 Jan 2020
CREI59
VILL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Creighton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Villanova winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CreightonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#46
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A08/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H10/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
H14/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A16/01
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
94-93
94
93
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A28/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
58-85
58
85
-27
H01/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A05/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H07/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
46-38
34-52
39-38
38-36
38-40
46-45
42-48
42-39
52-54
23-52
39-34
30-41
28-44
29-27
39-49
32-34
37-34
42-40
29-32
156.3Avg total
74.5Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.375.0151.3+1.452%
Season at home (15)80.374.7154.9+5.673%
Season away (10)70.475.4145.8-5.020%
Last 10 (10)74.581.8156.3-7.340%
Last 5 (5)65.677.4143.0-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)64.877.7142.5-12.918%
vs Similar (17)82.875.0157.8+7.871%
vs Weaker (2)84.563.0147.5+21.5100%
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#238
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H08/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A10/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A13/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H18/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H22/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
67-75 OT
67
75
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H31/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H04/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A07/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
38-46
44-38
32-35
46-34
42-48
35-36
44-50
26-23
40-28
31-27
30-34
45-28
42-45
40-25
32-35
37-40
43-33
36-32
41-42
148.7Avg total
76.4Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.769.1146.8+8.579%
Season at home (15)80.567.9148.3+12.687%
Season away (9)73.071.2144.2+1.867%
Last 10 (10)76.472.3148.7+4.170%
Last 5 (5)76.671.0147.6+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)64.082.0146.0-18.00%
vs Similar (10)72.868.6141.4+4.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)79.166.8145.9+12.394%
This opponent (Creighton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: -1.2-1.2
CreightonVillanova
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CreightonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#46
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A08/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H10/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A16/01
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
23-52
23
52
-29
A28/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H01/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A05/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H07/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A12/02
NCAA
74.6Avg total
34.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.235.973.1+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.036.675.6+2.465%-
Last 30 away (13)34.834.869.7+0.062%-
Last 10 (10)34.640.074.6-5.450%-
Last 5 (5)31.238.870.0-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)30.636.467.0-5.727%-
vs Similar (17)42.436.378.7+6.188%-
vs Weaker (2)29.029.558.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#238
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H08/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A10/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A13/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A24/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H31/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H04/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H11/02
NCAA
68.7Avg total
37.4Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.731.768.4+5.073%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.229.868.9+9.489%-
Last 30 away (12)33.134.667.7-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)37.431.368.7+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)37.830.468.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.040.067.0-13.050%-
vs Similar (10)35.830.866.6+5.070%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.331.369.6+7.178%-
This opponent (Creighton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Creighton wins
4
Villanova wins
DateGameScore
08/01/26Villanova v Creighton72-76
01/02/25Villanova v Creighton60-62
21/12/24Creighton v Villanova86-79
09/03/24Villanova v Creighton67-69
21/12/23Creighton v Villanova66-68 OT
10/03/23Creighton v Villanova87-74
25/02/23Villanova v Creighton79-67
05/02/23Creighton v Villanova66-61
12/03/22Villanova v Creighton54-48
06/01/22Villanova v Creighton75-41
Creightonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26ADePaul71-72
07/02/26HSeton Hall69-68
05/02/26AGeorgetown68-76
01/02/26HUconn58-85
28/01/26AMarquette62-86
22/01/26HXavier94-93
16/01/26AProvidence88-93
14/01/26HGeorgetown86-83 OT
10/01/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)73-90
08/01/26AVillanova76-72
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HMarquette77-74
07/02/26AGeorgetown80-73
04/02/26HSeton Hall72-60
31/01/26HProvidence87-73
24/01/26AUconn67-75 OT
22/01/26HGeorgetown66-51
18/01/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)79-86
13/01/26AProvidence88-82
10/01/26AMarquette76-73
08/01/26HCreighton72-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Creighton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL52%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %52%73%20%
Points / game76.380.370.4
Allowed / game75.074.775.4
Point differential+1.4+5.6-5.0
Avg total151.3154.9145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%47%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Villanova
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW79%
HomeLWWWW87%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %79%87%67%
Points / game77.780.573.0
Allowed / game69.167.971.2
Point differential+8.5+12.6+1.8
Avg total146.8148.3144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%73%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%7%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn2523292%79.364.8+14.5
2 Villanova2419579%77.769.1+8.5
3 St. John's (N.Y.)2720774%82.073.2+8.8
4 Seton Hall2517868%72.065.4+6.7
5 Georgetown24131154%75.373.0+2.3
6 Butler25131252%80.777.4+3.3
7 DePaul25131252%71.770.2+1.5
8 Creighton25131252%76.375.0+1.4
9 Xavier24121250%77.078.1-1.1
10 Providence26111542%87.485.4+2.0
11 Marquette2591636%75.577.0-1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Creighton274269
Villanova413980
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