Cremona vs Casale Monferrato Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jan 2012

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 73-74 (OT)

23-15 14-13 13-16 10-16 13-14

Position#11

Record5-12

FormWLWLL

Points / game71.2

Allowed / game77.7

Cremona

Casale Monferrato 🏆

Position#18

Record4-13

FormLLLLL

Points / game72.8

Allowed / game75.6

Lega ARound 19

Domestic2011-12

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Casale Monferrato winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cremona

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

66-102

102

-36

H27/11

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

66-80

-14

A04/12

Lega A

Caserta

#15

77-70

H11/12

Lega A

Pesaro

78-81

-3

H18/12

Lega A

Venezia

70-83

-13

A27/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

76-72

H30/12

Lega A

Avellino

#10

62-64

-2

A03/01

Lega A

Varese

69-61

H08/01

Lega A

Treviso

#14

62-68

-6

A14/01

Lega A

Cantu

73-87

-14

A22/01

Lega A

20-32

15-18

20-23

11-29

16-23

19-19

14-16

17-22

19-22

22-12

11-22

25-14

16-15

19-22

21-22

22-22

19-16

18-15

14-23

19-29

27-25

19-20

10-15

20-12

11-26

16-9

19-18

16-11

16-8

20-18

16-17

17-18

19-17

8-12

23-20

12-19

12-17

16-27

19-22

26-21

146.7Avg total

69.9Scored

76.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	71.2	77.7	148.9	-6.5	29%
Season at home (8)	71.6	78.6	150.2	-7.0	38%
Season away (9)	70.8	76.9	147.7	-6.1	22%
Last 10 (10)	69.9	76.8	146.7	-6.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	68.4	70.4	138.8	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	72.0	85.5	157.5	-13.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (22)	75.7	77.8	153.5	-2.1	41%
vs Weaker (2)	79.0	69.5	148.5	+9.5	100%

This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Casale Monferrato Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

87-82

H27/11

Lega A

Venezia

84-87 OT

-3

A04/12

Lega A

Cantu

69-65

H18/12

Lega A

Siena

86-88 OT

-2

A27/12

Lega A

Biella

#12

77-70

H30/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

62-70

-8

A03/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

92-93

-1

H08/01

Lega A

Teramo

#17

60-62

-2

H11/01

Lega A

Pesaro

72-79

-7

A15/01

Lega A

Sassari

75-78

-3

H22/01

Lega A

31-19

19-21

18-19

19-23

23-17

20-26

13-18

14-9

20-8

10-21

12-19

27-17

18-16

22-27

20-17

16-16

23-15

17-20

17-17

20-18

9-12

19-18

24-14

10-26

27-23

17-19

17-26

31-25

10-17

17-11

16-18

17-16

12-19

15-21

17-22

28-17

16-22

23-19

13-16

23-21

153.8Avg total

76.4Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	72.8	75.6	148.4	-2.9	24%
Season at home (9)	74.2	73.7	147.9	+0.6	33%
Season away (8)	71.1	77.9	149.0	-6.8	12%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	77.4	153.8	-1.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	76.4	148.6	-4.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	73.0	73.3	146.3	-0.3	33%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	72.7	76.1	148.9	-3.4	21%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CremonaCasale Monferrato

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.2	39.3	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.9	40.5	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	20.6	38.0	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	20.1	37.6	-2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.6	35.6	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.3	22.8	38.2	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	15.0	34.5	+4.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	17.9	16.8	34.8	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (8)	15.9	16.1	32.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	16.8	35.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	18.6	33.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	14.3	33.3	+4.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.7	17.4	35.1	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.8	37.6	-0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.7	36.9	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	17.2	34.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	17.2	33.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	18.9	18.4	37.2	+0.5	59%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	15.5	34.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	17.1	20.1	37.2	-3.0	29%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (8)	16.4	21.4	37.8	-5.0	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	20.3	38.2	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.6	35.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	21.3	38.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.2	19.9	37.1	-2.6	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

35-50

-15

H27/11

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

35-42

-7

A04/12

Lega A

Caserta

#15

41-34

H11/12

Lega A

Pesaro

35-37

-2

H18/12

Lega A

Venezia

37-31

A27/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

46-45

H30/12

Lega A

Avellino

#10

27-35

-8

A03/01

Lega A

Varese

36-26

+10

H08/01

Lega A

Treviso

#14

27-29

-2

A14/01

Lega A

Cantu

28-44

-16

A22/01

Lega A

72.0Avg total

34.7Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	39.0	76.8	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	38.8	78.7	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	39.3	74.9	-3.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	37.3	72.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	35.8	68.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.8	44.3	78.2	-10.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	38.9	38.4	77.2	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.0	30.5	68.5	+7.5	100%	-

This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Casale MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

50-40

+10

H27/11

Lega A

Venezia

43-43

A04/12

Lega A

Cantu

30-29

H18/12

Lega A

Siena

40-43

-3

A27/12

Lega A

Biella

#12

40-35

H30/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

28-30

-2

A03/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

44-42

H08/01

Lega A

Teramo

#17

27-28

-1

H11/01

Lega A

Pesaro

27-40

-13

A15/01

Lega A

Sassari

39-41

-2

H22/01

Lega A

73.9Avg total

36.8Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	35.1	36.9	72.0	-1.9	35%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	37.6	36.4	74.0	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (8)	32.2	37.5	69.8	-5.2	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	37.1	73.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	36.2	69.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.7	35.7	71.3	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	34.9	37.2	72.1	-2.3	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.2	37.0	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	19.5	37.3	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	19.8	36.5	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	18.4	35.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	20.5	38.2	-2.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.0	16.0	32.0	+0.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	16.6	18.5	35.1	-1.8	24%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	15.6	17.8	33.3	-2.2	11%	-
Last 30 away (8)	17.9	19.2	37.1	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	18.6	35.3	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.2	36.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	16.0	32.3	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	16.7	19.0	35.7	-2.3	14%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.3	39.7	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	20.9	39.9	-1.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.2	34.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	23.0	48.0	+2.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	19.6	18.5	38.2	+1.1	59%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	21.1	19.4	40.6	+1.7	78%	-
Last 30 away (8)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.0	42.8	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	17.7	35.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.1	18.7	38.8	+1.4	64%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	39.5	76.7	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.4	39.3	76.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	39.7	76.7	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.2	39.5	74.7	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	34.6	70.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.2	41.2	79.3	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	36.6	39.1	75.7	-2.5	32%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.0	39.0	80.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	36.3	37.0	73.3	-0.7	35%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	36.7	37.2	73.9	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (8)	35.9	36.8	72.6	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	37.4	74.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	40.2	79.4	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.0	33.7	67.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	36.8	37.7	74.5	-0.9	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cremona wins

Casale Monferrato wins

Date	Game	Score
16/10/11	Casale Monferrato v Cremona	73-74

Cremonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/12	A	Cantu	73-87
14/01/12	A	Treviso	62-68
08/01/12	H	Varese	69-61
03/01/12	A	Avellino	62-64
30/12/11	H	Sutor Montegranaro	76-72
27/12/11	A	Venezia	70-83
18/12/11	H	Pesaro	78-81
11/12/11	H	Caserta	77-70
04/12/11	A	Olimpia Milano	66-80
27/11/11	H	Siena	66-102

Casale Monferratolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/01/12	H	Sassari	75-78
15/01/12	A	Pesaro	72-79
11/01/12	H	Teramo	60-62
08/01/12	H	Virtus Roma	92-93
03/01/12	A	Virtus Bologna	62-70
30/12/11	H	Biella	77-70
27/12/11	A	Siena	86-88 OT
18/12/11	H	Cantu	69-65
04/12/11	A	Venezia	84-87 OT
27/11/11	H	Sutor Montegranaro	87-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	29%
Home	LWLWW	38%
Away	LLLLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	29%	38%	22%
Points / game	71.2	71.6	70.8
Allowed / game	77.7	78.6	76.9
Point differential	-6.5	-7.0	-6.1
Avg total	148.9	150.2	147.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	33% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Casale Monferrato

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	24%
Home	WWLLL	33%
Away	WLLLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	24%	33%	12%
Points / game	72.8	74.2	71.1
Allowed / game	75.6	73.7	77.9
Point differential	-2.9	+0.6	-6.8
Avg total	148.4	147.9	149.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (10)	25% (8)	0% (2)
Overtime %	12%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	17	13	4	76%	79.5	70.6	+8.9
2	Virtus Bologna	17	11	6	65%	78.9	77.2	+1.6
3	Pesaro	17	11	6	65%	74.4	74.2	+0.1
4	Cantu	18	11	7	61%	74.4	70.3	+4.1
5	Olimpia Milano	17	10	7	59%	75.7	72.9	+2.8
6	Avellino	17	10	7	59%	81.8	80.5	+1.3
7	Venezia	16	9	7	56%	77.2	76.0	+1.2
8	Sassari	18	10	8	56%	77.2	78.2	-1.0
9	Varese	17	9	8	53%	77.2	76.9	+0.3
10	Biella	18	9	9	50%	75.3	74.9	+0.4
11	Caserta	17	8	9	47%	77.3	77.7	-0.4
12	Treviso	18	8	10	44%	75.1	76.5	-1.4
13	Virtus Roma	18	7	11	39%	78.9	81.3	-2.4
14	Sutor Montegranaro	17	6	11	35%	76.7	78.9	-2.2
15	Teramo	18	6	12	33%	71.3	75.0	-3.7
16	Cremona	17	5	12	29%	71.2	77.7	-6.5
17	Casale Monferrato	17	4	13	24%	72.8	75.6	-2.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Cremona	23	14	13	10	13	73
Casale Monferrato	15	13	16	16	14	74

← all games of the day

Cremona vs Casale Monferrato Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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