Croatia U20 vs Italy U20 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Jul 2018

Tip-off: 13:45

Final 79-68

23-13 18-28 15-17 23-10

Position#3

Record4-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.8

Allowed / game67.0

Croatia U20 🏆

Italy U20

Position#8

Record3-1

FormWWLWW

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game69.0

EuroBasket U20EuroBasket U20 - Quarter-finals

Other2018

Meetings · Croatia U20 v Italy U20

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia U20 winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Italy U20 winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Croatia U20Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Moldova U20

#21

150-47

150

+103

A19/07

EuroBasket U20 B

Georgia U20

74-71

H21/07

EuroBasket U20 B

Great Britain U20

79-69

+10

A22/07

EuroBasket U20 B

Romania U20

67-80

-13

A23/07

EuroBasket U20 B

Montenegro U20

#44

68-53

+15

H20/06

Friendly International

Greece U20

#47

84-76 OT

H02/07

Friendly International

France U20

68-58

+10

A14/07

EuroBasket U20

Ukraine U20

#14

93-78

+15

H15/07

EuroBasket U20

Spain U20

#11

85-70

+15

H16/07

EuroBasket U20

Great Britain U20

#13

93-62

+31

H18/07

EuroBasket U20

33-20

52-4

44-11

21-12

17-18

24-24

23-17

10-12

18-12

20-22

20-21

21-14

18-16

15-10

11-26

23-28

17-16

15-15

19-14

17-8

17-16

18-15

17-20

17-18

21-21

14-11

17-6

16-20

20-15

24-26

30-14

19-23

17-18

21-19

23-18

24-15

24-9

26-18

23-19

20-16

152.5Avg total

86.1Scored

66.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	84.8	67.0	151.8	+17.8	100%
Season at home (3)	90.3	70.0	160.3	+20.3	100%
Season away (1)	68.0	58.0	126.0	+10.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	86.1	66.4	152.5	+19.7	90%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	68.8	153.4	+15.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	70.5	81.5	152.0	-11.0	0%
vs Similar (4)	59.8	64.8	124.5	-5.0	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	82.7	60.5	143.2	+22.3	87%

This opponent (Italy U20) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Italy U20Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Netherlands U20

#64

79-51

+28

H22/06

Friendly International

Serbia U20

#24

76-86

-10

A03/07

Friendly International

Turkey U20

#17

70-83

-13

H04/07

Friendly International

Montenegro U20

#44

77-73

A05/07

Friendly International

France U20

#40

72-71

A06/07

Friendly International

Lithuania U20

#23

70-59

+11

H07/07

Friendly International

Sweden U20

#12

85-71

+14

H14/07

EuroBasket U20

Serbia U20

78-79

-1

A15/07

EuroBasket U20

Iceland U20

#15

81-56

+25

A16/07

EuroBasket U20

Greece U20

76-70

H18/07

EuroBasket U20

19-13

19-10

24-10

17-18

19-27

13-18

19-22

25-19

19-19

18-13

17-30

16-21

23-27

17-7

19-19

18-20

21-14

9-19

23-18

19-20

19-22

17-14

20-11

14-12

28-19

18-18

17-12

22-22

18-22

22-15

18-22

20-20

19-11

23-17

22-7

17-21

21-16

20-17

13-17

22-20

146.3Avg total

76.4Scored

69.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	80.0	69.0	149.0	+11.0	75%
Season at home (2)	80.5	70.5	151.0	+10.0	100%
Season away (2)	79.5	67.5	147.0	+12.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	69.9	146.3	+6.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	67.0	145.0	+11.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	66.8	76.4	143.2	-9.7	11%
vs Similar (10)	72.6	70.9	143.5	+1.7	60%
vs Weaker (10)	75.1	64.6	139.7	+10.5	90%

This opponent (Croatia U20) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Croatia U20Italy U20

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	16.5	35.4	+2.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	18.1	16.0	34.1	+2.1	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	16.1	36.3	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	15.8	35.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	14.5	30.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	12.2	18.8	31.0	-6.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.5	16.3	36.7	+4.2	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	17.6	35.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	16.2	34.8	+2.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	19.3	37.2	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	15.1	20.4	35.6	-5.3	22%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.2	15.0	34.2	+4.2	90%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	14.8	34.4	+4.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.8	15.1	34.9	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.3	14.2	33.6	+5.1	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	16.4	39.3	+6.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.8	38.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.8	16.2	32.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.3	14.2	34.5	+6.1	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	16.1	33.5	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.9	16.1	34.0	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	16.1	32.9	+0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	14.8	32.4	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.2	36.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	16.7	17.3	34.0	-0.7	44%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.4	18.1	34.5	-1.7	30%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.8	13.6	32.4	+5.2	80%	-

Croatia U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Moldova U20

#21

85-24

+61

A19/07

EuroBasket U20 B

Georgia U20

41-42

-1

H21/07

EuroBasket U20 B

Great Britain U20

38-34

A22/07

EuroBasket U20 B

Romania U20

33-26

A23/07

EuroBasket U20 B

Montenegro U20

#44

32-31

H20/06

Friendly International

Greece U20

#47

35-31

H02/07

Friendly International

France U20

35-32

A14/07

EuroBasket U20

Ukraine U20

#14

44-41

H15/07

EuroBasket U20

Spain U20

#11

38-37

H16/07

EuroBasket U20

Great Britain U20

#13

50-27

+23

H18/07

EuroBasket U20

75.6Avg total

43.1Scored

32.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	31.2	69.8	+7.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	37.9	31.1	69.1	+6.8	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.6	31.4	71.0	+8.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	32.5	75.6	+10.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	33.6	74.0	+6.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.5	33.0	69.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	28.0	35.0	63.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	40.8	30.4	71.2	+10.3	83%	-

This opponent (Italy U20) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Italy U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Netherlands U20

#64

38-23

+15

H22/06

Friendly International

Serbia U20

#24

32-45

-13

A03/07

Friendly International

Turkey U20

#17

37-32

H04/07

Friendly International

Montenegro U20

#44

40-34

A05/07

Friendly International

France U20

#40

30-33

-3

A06/07

Friendly International

Lithuania U20

#23

36-36

H07/07

Friendly International

Sweden U20

#12

46-37

H14/07

EuroBasket U20

Serbia U20

40-37

A15/07

EuroBasket U20

Iceland U20

#15

42-28

+14

A16/07

EuroBasket U20

Greece U20

41-33

H18/07

EuroBasket U20

72.0Avg total

38.2Scored

33.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	33.7	69.4	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.5	32.3	68.8	+4.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.7	35.4	70.1	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	33.8	72.0	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	34.2	75.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	31.8	37.8	69.6	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.6	36.3	72.9	+0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	38.0	28.6	66.6	+9.4	80%	-

This opponent (Croatia U20) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	16.2	37.1	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.5	16.3	36.8	+4.2	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.6	16.0	37.6	+5.6	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	16.6	39.3	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	15.4	37.4	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	28.5	46.5	-10.5	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	14.5	15.5	30.0	-1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	22.5	15.1	37.6	+7.4	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	18.2	36.1	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	17.1	35.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	19.5	36.9	-2.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	13.8	31.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	15.3	19.9	35.2	-4.6	11%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.3	17.6	35.9	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	15.3	34.2	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	17.9	13.3	31.2	+4.6	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.3	18.3	38.7	+2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	16.6	35.4	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	20.0	36.0	-4.0	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.2	14.2	31.5	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.5	15.0	34.4	+4.5	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.4	18.1	34.6	-1.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	17.5	38.1	+3.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.7	18.8	38.4	+0.9	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.7	17.0	34.7	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.1	17.8	35.9	+0.3	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	31.5	71.3	+8.3	80%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	38.4	29.6	68.0	+8.8	89%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.9	34.3	76.2	+7.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	33.2	74.7	+8.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	33.8	75.0	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.0	48.5	82.5	-14.5	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	31.8	29.8	61.5	+2.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	42.0	30.0	72.0	+11.9	91%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	36.1	72.3	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	34.6	35.2	69.9	-0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	37.0	75.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	36.1	74.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	32.8	69.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	35.0	38.7	73.7	-3.7	22%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.0	34.6	70.6	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	37.1	36.0	73.1	+1.1	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Croatia U20 wins

Italy U20 wins

Date	Game	Score
07/07/15	Croatia U20 v Italy U20	50-53
10/07/14	Croatia U20 v Italy U20	80-67
14/07/10	Croatia U20 v Italy U20	77-63

Croatia U20last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/07/18	H	Great Britain U20	93-62
16/07/18	H	Spain U20	85-70
15/07/18	H	Ukraine U20	93-78
14/07/18	A	France U20	68-58
02/07/18	H	Greece U20	84-76 OT
20/06/18	H	Montenegro U20	68-53
23/07/17	A	Romania U20	67-80
22/07/17	A	Great Britain U20	79-69
21/07/17	H	Georgia U20	74-71
19/07/17	A	Moldova U20	150-47

Italy U20last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/07/18	H	Greece U20	76-70
16/07/18	A	Iceland U20	81-56
15/07/18	A	Serbia U20	78-79
14/07/18	H	Sweden U20	85-71
07/07/18	H	Lithuania U20	70-59
06/07/18	A	France U20	72-71
05/07/18	A	Montenegro U20	77-73
04/07/18	H	Turkey U20	70-83
03/07/18	A	Serbia U20	76-86
22/06/18	H	Netherlands U20	79-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia U20

EuroBasket U20 2018

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	3	1
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	84.8	90.3	68.0
Allowed / game	67.0	70.0	58.0
Point differential	+17.8	+20.3	+10.0
Avg total	151.8	160.3	126.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Italy U20

EuroBasket U20 2018

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWW	75%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	75%	100%	50%
Points / game	80.0	80.5	79.5
Allowed / game	69.0	70.5	67.5
Point differential	+11.0	+10.0	+12.0
Avg total	149.0	151.0	147.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Serbia U20	4	4	0	100%	94.8	65.8	+29.0
2	Croatia U20	4	4	0	100%	84.8	67.0	+17.8
3	Germany U20	4	4	0	100%	76.2	67.0	+9.2
4	Israel U20	5	4	1	80%	86.0	66.0	+20.0
5	Lithuania U20	5	4	1	80%	86.6	76.4	+10.2
6	Turkey U20	4	3	1	75%	83.8	65.5	+18.2
7	Italy U20	4	3	1	75%	80.0	69.0	+11.0
8	France U20	4	2	2	50%	67.0	61.0	+6.0
9	Spain U20	5	2	3	40%	75.0	81.8	-6.8
10	Greece U20	4	1	3	25%	80.5	81.5	-1.0
11	Montenegro U20	4	1	3	25%	64.8	80.8	-16.0
12	Ukraine U20	4	1	3	25%	67.2	85.5	-18.2
13	Sweden U20	5	1	4	20%	75.4	79.8	-4.4
14	Great Britain U20	4	0	4	0%	67.0	83.5	-16.5
15	Iceland U20	4	0	4	0%	60.8	89.0	-28.2
16	Romania U20	4	0	4	0%	59.5	94.5	-35.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Croatia U20	23	18	15	23	79
Italy U20	13	28	17	10	68

← all games of the day

Croatia U20 vs Italy U20 Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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