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Italy U20 vs Lithuania U20 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Jul 2018
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 70-59
19-22 17-14 20-11 14-12
Position#19
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#23
Record5-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game72.1
Meetings · Italy U20 v Lithuania U20
20 Jul 2025
ITAL83
LITH66
07 Jul 2018
ITAL70
LITH59
19 Jul 2013
ITAL75
LITH72
13 Jul 2012
ITAL89
LITH82
14 Jul 2011
ITAL77
LITH82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U20 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lithuania U20 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia U20
#14
L
63-82
63
82
-19
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A19/07
EuroBasket U20
Sweden U20
#11
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#15
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H22/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#14
W
69-52
69
52
+17
A23/07
EuroBasket U20
Netherlands U20
#64
W
79-51
79
51
+28
H22/06
Friendly International
Serbia U20
#24
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A03/07
Friendly International
Turkey U20
#17
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H04/07
Friendly International
Montenegro U20
#44
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A05/07
Friendly International
France U20
#40
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A06/07
Friendly International
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
16-26
19-16
15-23
15-23
18-15
14-17
24-24
26-16
14-18
16-29
10-13
13-7
19-17
7-11
16-18
19-14
15-15
20-19
15-4
19-13
19-10
24-10
17-18
19-27
13-18
19-22
25-19
19-19
18-13
17-30
16-21
23-27
17-7
19-19
18-20
21-14
9-19
23-18
19-20
140.4Avg total
69.8Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.872.8147.6+2.060%
Season at home (2)74.567.0141.5+7.550%
Season away (3)75.076.7151.7-1.767%
Last 10 (10)69.870.6140.4-0.850%
Last 5 (5)74.872.8147.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.476.1141.5-10.812%
vs Similar ◀ (10)68.370.4138.7-2.140%
vs Weaker (11)74.166.4140.5+7.782%
This opponent (Lithuania U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece U20
#1
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Germany U20
#8
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H22/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#4
L
86-102
86
102
-16
H23/07
EuroBasket U20
Ukraine U20
#31
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H17/06
Friendly International
Latvia U20
#39
W
83-52
83
52
+31
H19/06
Friendly International
Israel U20
#3
L
67-84
67
84
-17
H28/06
Friendly International
Turkey U20
#17
L
63-88
63
88
-25
A03/07
Friendly International
France U20
#40
W
80-55
80
55
+25
H04/07
Friendly International
Serbia U20
#24
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H05/07
Friendly International
Montenegro U20
#44
W
91-70
91
70
+21
A06/07
Friendly International
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
18-23
23-10
11-25
25-22
20-13
23-14
17-32
16-20
21-28
19-24
30-30
20-18
13-14
19-21
30-23
26-10
18-14
19-16
20-12
20-25
17-12
15-26
15-21
9-17
27-25
10-26
17-20
19-13
19-20
22-13
20-9
16-27
22-16
28-12
18-25
14-11
21-21
28-17
28-21
155.7Avg total
79.3Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.672.1150.7+6.471%
Season at home (5)79.269.4148.6+9.880%
Season away (2)77.079.0156.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)79.376.4155.7+2.960%
Last 5 (5)77.075.4152.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.385.0158.3-11.70%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.871.5144.3+1.462%
vs Weaker (10)86.963.5150.4+23.4100%
This opponent (Italy U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
Italy U20Lithuania U20
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia U20
#14
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A19/07
EuroBasket U20
Sweden U20
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#15
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H22/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#14
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A23/07
EuroBasket U20
Netherlands U20
#64
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H22/06
Friendly International
Serbia U20
#24
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/07
Friendly International
Turkey U20
#17
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H04/07
Friendly International
Montenegro U20
#44
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A05/07
Friendly International
France U20
#40
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A06/07
Friendly International
68.0Avg total
34.5Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.868.4+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.632.367.9+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)33.535.368.8-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)34.533.568.0+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.468.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.837.968.6-7.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.235.669.8-1.460%-
vs Weaker (11)37.430.267.5+7.273%-
This opponent (Lithuania U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece U20
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Germany U20
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H22/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#4
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H23/07
EuroBasket U20
Ukraine U20
#31
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H17/06
Friendly International
Latvia U20
#39
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H19/06
Friendly International
Israel U20
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H28/06
Friendly International
Turkey U20
#17
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A03/07
Friendly International
France U20
#40
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H04/07
Friendly International
Serbia U20
#24
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H05/07
Friendly International
Montenegro U20
#44
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A06/07
Friendly International
74.8Avg total
38.1Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.336.173.4+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.136.573.6+0.647%-
Last 30 away (13)37.635.573.1+2.262%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.774.8+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.474.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.543.377.8-8.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.836.070.8-1.246%-
vs Weaker (10)42.331.774.0+10.690%-
This opponent (Italy U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Italy U20 wins
2
Lithuania U20 wins
DateGameScore
19/07/13Italy U20 v Lithuania U2075-72 OT
13/07/12Italy U20 v Lithuania U2089-82
14/07/11Italy U20 v Lithuania U2077-82
17/07/10Lithuania U20 v Italy U2074-73
Italy U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/18AFrance U2072-71
05/07/18AMontenegro U2077-73
04/07/18HTurkey U2070-83
03/07/18ASerbia U2076-86
22/06/18HNetherlands U2079-51
23/07/17ASlovenia U2069-52
22/07/17HCzech Republic U2055-53
20/07/17ASweden U2066-76
19/07/17AIsrael U2071-79
17/07/17HSlovenia U2063-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/18AMontenegro U2091-70
05/07/18HSerbia U2084-80
04/07/18HFrance U2080-55
03/07/18ATurkey U2063-88
28/06/18HIsrael U2067-84
19/06/18HLatvia U2083-52
17/06/18HUkraine U2082-76
23/07/17HSerbia U2086-102
22/07/17HGermany U2085-81
20/07/17AGreece U2072-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U20
Friendly International 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game74.874.575.0
Allowed / game72.867.076.7
Point differential+2.0+7.5-1.7
Avg total147.6141.5151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lithuania U20
Friendly International 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW71%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%80%50%
Points / game78.679.277.0
Allowed / game72.169.479.0
Point differential+6.4+9.8-2.0
Avg total150.7148.6156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lebanon110100%74.053.0+21.0
2 Israel U20110100%84.067.0+17.0
3 Iraq110100%71.056.0+15.0
4 Czech Republic110100%71.057.0+14.0
5 Czech Republic U20330100%85.772.3+13.3
6 Croatia110100%88.075.0+13.0
7 Finland220100%85.572.5+13.0
8 Croatia U20220100%76.064.5+11.5
9 Cameroon220100%77.566.5+11.0
10 Qatar110100%72.063.0+9.0
11 Bulgaria U20220100%74.066.0+8.0
12 Russia110100%79.071.0+8.0
13 Ukraine110100%85.083.0+2.0
14 Turkey U2075271%80.664.9+15.7
15 Lithuania U2075271%78.672.1+6.4
16 Tunisia32167%76.070.3+5.7
17 Finland U2032167%83.382.7+0.7
18 Mali32167%56.062.3-6.3
19 Serbia U2053260%81.476.0+5.4
20 Italy U2053260%74.872.8+2.0
21 D.R. Congo21150%67.053.0+14.0
22 Bulgaria21150%82.574.0+8.5
23 Ireland21150%87.582.0+5.5
24 Jordan21150%82.577.0+5.5
25 South Korea21150%89.587.5+2.0
26 Ukraine U2042250%76.075.2+0.8
27 Sweden U2021150%83.082.5+0.5
28 Japan21150%87.589.5-2.0
29 Luxembourg21150%82.087.5-5.5
30 France U2052340%65.270.4-5.2
31 Montenegro U2051420%66.275.4-9.2
32 Israel1010%83.085.0-2.0
33 Greece U201010%76.084.0-8.0
34 Latvia1010%71.079.0-8.0
35 North Macedonia U202020%66.074.0-8.0
36 Armenia1010%63.072.0-9.0
37 Slovenia U202020%71.080.5-9.5
38 Bosnia & Herzegovina1010%75.088.0-13.0
39 Estonia2020%72.585.5-13.0
40 Slovakia U203030%72.385.7-13.3
41 Georgia1010%57.071.0-14.0
42 Saudi Arabia2020%57.573.5-16.0
43 Uganda1010%75.091.0-16.0
44 Cyprus1010%53.074.0-21.0
45 United Arab Emirates2020%45.567.0-21.5
46 Belarus U203030%61.788.3-26.7
47 Netherlands U201010%51.079.0-28.0
48 Latvia U201010%52.083.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U201917201470
Lithuania U202214111259
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