PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Croatia W vs Denmark W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-89
23-29 19-13 25-21 10-26
Position#17
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game73.0
Croatia W
vs
Denmark W 🏆
Position#24
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 2· Sports Hall Viju
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denmark W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Croatia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#6
L
66-84
66
84
-18
no box
H14/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
93-74
93
74
+19
no box
H27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
57-85
57
85
-28
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
65-70
65
70
-5
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
81-57
81
57
+24
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
A07/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
62-78
62
78
-16
no box
A10/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
92-65
92
65
+27
81avg 67
A06/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
65-57
65
57
+8
54avg 67
H09/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#16
W
76-73
76
73
+3
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
14-31
16-7
15-22
24-29
27-13
16-14
26-18
17-29
15-20
16-18
9-18
19-16
15-16
11-15
20-23
31-14
26-15
6-15
18-13
21-23
27-18
18-21
25-18
18-18
16-25
16-21
12-14
19-19
29-20
19-16
25-10
26-11
13-8
16-19
10-19
17-21
19-19
28-10
12-23
147.1Avg total
74.8Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.073.0149.0+3.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)76.073.0149.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.872.3147.1+2.560%
Last 5 (5)77.270.6147.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)68.477.8146.2-9.331%
vs Similar ◀ (2)71.069.5140.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (10)82.866.1148.9+16.7100%
This opponent (Denmark W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denmark WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Montenegro W
#16
L
60-67
60
67
-7
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#27
L
63-66
63
66
-3
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
81-53
81
53
+28
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
69-76
69
76
-7
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
62-75
62
75
-13
no box
A07/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
L
58-66
58
66
-8
no box
A10/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
72-98
72
98
-26
60avg 55
H06/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
58-75
58
75
-17
50avg 55
H09/02
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
L
78-79
78
79
-1
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
15-16
7-16
24-17
18-18
20-18
19-14
6-16
20-19
13-16
21-20
17-16
18-14
21-13
28-12
14-14
20-21
18-16
15-23
16-16
15-19
12-12
19-25
16-19
22-18
4-8
17-22
15-18
21-26
15-22
17-23
19-27
7-22
17-22
21-25
13-6
21-18
19-21
18-19
20-21
142.1Avg total
68.5Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.079.0157.0-1.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)78.079.0157.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)68.573.6142.1-5.120%
Last 5 (5)65.678.6144.2-13.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)63.683.6147.1-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (2)73.072.0145.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (12)86.257.2143.4+28.967%
This opponent (Croatia W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
Croatia WDenmark W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Croatia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#6
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H14/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A09/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H12/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A07/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A10/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A06/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
39-19
39
19
+20
H09/02
European Championship Women
Greece W
#16
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A12/11
European Championship Women
80.3Avg total
41.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)39.237.076.2+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.736.775.4+2.050%-
Last 30 away (14)39.837.377.1+2.564%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.980.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.477.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.439.574.9-4.131%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)36.536.072.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (10)45.933.279.1+12.7100%-
This opponent (Denmark W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denmark WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro W
#16
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H24/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#27
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A27/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A12/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H09/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A07/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A10/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H06/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H09/02
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#32
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A12/11
European Championship Women
68.7Avg total
33.0Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)37.835.172.9+2.743%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.334.673.9+4.645%-
Last 30 away (12)36.435.571.9+0.942%-
Last 10 (10)33.035.768.7-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)30.637.668.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.143.075.1-10.911%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)33.041.574.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker (12)42.828.170.9+14.875%-
This opponent (Croatia W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Croatia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia W: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.813.8
39.7%
-27.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.3
37.8%
-34.0
🏀 Free throws19.713.3
67.8%
-13.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denmark Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denmark W: 65.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.3 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.017.7
39.3%
-35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.7
27.4%
-20.0
🏀 Free throws15.810.3
65.3%
-10.3
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Croatia W
WWWLWWLLWL
Denmark W
LLLLLLWWLL
#17
League position
#24
+10.9
Net rating
-9.1
99.9
Offensive rating
83.7
89.0
Defensive rating
92.8
47.6%
Effective FG%
39.9%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
25.0%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
37.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.8%
3-point %
27.4%
74.2%
Assist %
65.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Croatia W   ■ Denmark W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Croatia W wins
0
Denmark W wins
No previous meetings.
Croatia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25AGreece W76-73
09/02/25HAustria W65-57
06/02/25ANetherlands W92-65
10/11/24ASpain W62-78
07/11/24AAustria W91-80
12/11/23HNetherlands W81-57
09/11/23HSpain W65-70
09/02/23ASerbia W57-85
27/11/22HBulgaria W93-74
14/11/21HSerbia W66-84
Denmark Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25ANorth Macedonia W78-79
09/02/25HGreat Britain W58-75
06/02/25HSweden W72-98
10/11/24AEstonia W58-66
07/11/24AGreat Britain W62-75
12/11/23ASweden W69-76
09/11/23HEstonia W81-53
12/02/23AMontenegro W84-81 OT
27/11/22AAustria W63-66
24/11/22HMontenegro W60-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game76.0-76.0
Allowed / game73.0-73.0
Point differential+3.0-+3.0
Avg total149.0-149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Denmark W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game78.0-78.0
Allowed / game79.0-79.0
Point differential-1.0--1.0
Avg total157.0-157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bulgaria W220100%110.554.0+56.5
2 Serbia W110100%84.059.0+25.0
3 Belgium W110100%96.072.0+24.0
4 Lithuania W110100%87.065.0+22.0
5 Great Britain W110100%85.064.0+21.0
6 Slovenia W220100%82.065.5+16.5
7 Luxembourg W110100%69.053.0+16.0
8 Austria W110100%63.048.0+15.0
9 Romania W110100%75.062.0+13.0
10 Israel W110100%98.091.0+7.0
11 Poland W110100%62.055.0+7.0
12 Croatia W110100%76.073.0+3.0
13 North Macedonia W110100%79.078.0+1.0
14 Montenegro W21150%84.566.5+18.0
15 Switzerland W21150%67.559.0+8.5
16 Latvia W21150%77.569.5+8.0
17 Netherlands W21150%77.071.5+5.5
18 Slovakia W21150%62.560.5+2.0
19 Ukraine W21150%65.572.5-7.0
20 Denmark W1010%78.079.0-1.0
21 Greece W1010%73.076.0-3.0
22 Bosnia & Herzegovina W1010%91.098.0-7.0
23 Cyprus W2020%60.572.5-12.0
24 Ireland W1010%53.069.0-16.0
25 Sweden W1010%65.087.0-22.0
26 Finland W1010%72.096.0-24.0
27 Iceland W1010%59.084.0-25.0
28 Norway W2020%40.567.0-26.5
29 Estonia W2020%59.589.5-30.0
30 Azerbaijan W2020%55.0122.5-67.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia W2319251077
Denmark W2913212689
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.