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Greece W vs Croatia W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-76
21-17 19-19 10-28 23-12
Position#16
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#17
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 1· Kozani Sporthall
Women2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Greece W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Greece WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#12
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
A19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
67-76
67
76
-9
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
A07/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
W
56-45
56
45
+11
no box
H10/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
66-81
66
81
-15
63avg 62
A06/02
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
64-67
64
67
-3
55avg 62
H09/02
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#20
W
87-65
87
65
+22
90avg 62
H18/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
56-92
56
92
-36
44avg 62
A19/06
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
72-83
72
83
-11
57avg 62
H21/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
20-19
19-20
15-18
10-24
21-15
17-14
19-23
18-11
19-23
24-18
14-14
19-19
16-20
18-19
23-21
23-20
10-8
9-7
14-10
21-15
16-19
14-20
15-27
16-20
10-17
13-11
25-19
19-19
27-13
18-12
23-21
17-21
20-23
10-20
9-28
21-17
14-26
24-19
13-21
142.8Avg total
69.5Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.573.3142.8-3.830%
Last 5 (5)69.077.6146.6-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)65.273.7138.9-8.523%
vs Similar (10)70.666.3136.9+4.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)76.062.4138.4+13.671%
This opponent (Croatia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Croatia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bulgaria W
#37
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A11/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
66-84
66
84
-18
no box
H14/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
93-74
93
74
+19
no box
H27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
57-85
57
85
-28
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
65-70
65
70
-5
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
81-57
81
57
+24
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
A07/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
62-78
62
78
-16
no box
A10/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
92-65
92
65
+27
81avg 67
A06/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
65-57
65
57
+8
54avg 67
H09/02
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
26-11
22-21
14-14
21-24
14-31
16-7
15-22
24-29
27-13
16-14
26-18
17-29
15-20
16-18
9-18
19-16
15-16
11-15
20-23
31-14
26-15
6-15
18-13
21-23
27-18
18-21
25-18
18-18
16-25
16-21
12-14
19-19
29-20
19-16
25-10
26-11
13-8
16-19
10-19
147.9Avg total
75.6Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.672.3147.9+3.360%
Last 5 (5)78.267.4145.6+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)67.978.1146.0-10.127%
vs Similar (2)71.069.5140.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (10)82.866.1148.9+16.7100%
This opponent (Greece W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
Greece WCroatia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Greece WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A09/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H12/11
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A07/11
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H10/11
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A06/02
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H09/02
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#20
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H18/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A19/06
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H21/06
European Championship Women
73.0Avg total
35.9Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.634.067.7-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.331.165.4+3.353%-
Last 30 away (15)32.937.069.9-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)35.937.173.0-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.074.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)30.437.868.2-7.415%-
vs Similar (10)34.631.165.7+3.570%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)38.331.369.6+7.057%-
This opponent (Croatia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Croatia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulgaria W
#37
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A11/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H14/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#37
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H27/11
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#6
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A09/02
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H12/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A07/11
European Championship Women
Spain W
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A10/11
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A06/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
39-19
39
19
+20
H09/02
European Championship Women
81.3Avg total
42.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)39.436.976.3+2.559%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.736.775.4+2.050%-
Last 30 away (13)40.137.177.2+3.069%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.781.3+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.234.279.4+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.439.574.9-4.133%-
vs Similar (2)36.536.072.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (10)45.933.279.1+12.7100%-
This opponent (Greece W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Greece Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece W: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.819.0
44.4%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.05.7
31.5%
-17.0
🏀 Free throws17.312.9
74.4%
-12.9
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Croatia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia W: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.813.8
39.7%
-27.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.3
37.8%
-34.0
🏀 Free throws19.713.3
67.8%
-13.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/6 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Greece W
LLWLLWLWLL
Croatia W
WWLWWLLWLW
#16
League position
#17
-5.0
Net rating
+10.9
92.1
Offensive rating
99.9
97.0
Defensive rating
89.0
45.2%
Effective FG%
47.6%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
19.5%
Turnover %
15.4%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.5%
3-point %
37.8%
71.2%
Assist %
74.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Greece W   ■ Croatia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Greece W wins
0
Croatia W wins
No previous meetings.
Greece Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25HTurkey W72-83
19/06/25AFrance W56-92
18/06/25HSwitzerland W87-65
09/02/25HGermany W64-67
06/02/25ACzech Republic W66-81
10/11/24HItaly W56-45
07/11/24AGermany W76-79
12/11/23HCzech Republic W75-66
09/11/23AItaly W67-76
19/06/23ACzech Republic W76-79
Croatia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HAustria W65-57
06/02/25ANetherlands W92-65
10/11/24ASpain W62-78
07/11/24AAustria W91-80
12/11/23HNetherlands W81-57
09/11/23HSpain W65-70
09/02/23ASerbia W57-85
27/11/22HBulgaria W93-74
14/11/21HSerbia W66-84
11/11/21ABulgaria W84-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Greece W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Croatia W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bulgaria W110100%141.048.0+93.0
2 North Macedonia W110100%79.078.0+1.0
3 Denmark W1010%78.079.0-1.0
4 Azerbaijan W1010%48.0141.0-93.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Greece W2119102373
Croatia W1719281276
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