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Cruzeiro vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 89-65
18-19 22-18 19-14 30-14
Position#14
Record3-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Position#16
Record3-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game81.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Dona Salome
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cruzeiro v Botafogo
27 Dec 2026
CRUZ v BOTA
upcoming
16 Dec 2025
CRUZ89
BOTA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cruzeiro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
76-84
76
84
-8
68avg 69
H01/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
76-75
76
75
+1
73avg 69
H03/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
76avg 69
H06/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
77-99
77
99
-22
72avg 69
A12/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
65-79
65
79
-14
60avg 69
A14/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
98-76
98
76
+22
99avg 69
H17/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
86-106
86
106
-20
71avg 69
H20/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
89-102
89
102
-13
80avg 69
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
63-78
63
78
-15
50avg 69
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
76-87
76
87
-11
68avg 69
A03/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
23-15
17-30
22-16
23-30
18-17
25-16
10-12
20-19
11-26
23-24
27-21
17-24
11-26
32-27
17-22
13-23
15-25
18-18
19-13
25-24
29-18
21-20
23-14
11-29
18-23
26-28
31-26
12-30
34-27
16-23
27-22
15-22
15-29
10-19
23-8
19-32
26-13
13-20
18-22
166.3Avg total
78.7Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.486.7163.1-10.421%
Season at home (9)79.789.1168.8-9.422%
Season away (5)70.482.4152.8-12.020%
Last 10 (10)78.787.6166.3-8.920%
Last 5 (5)82.489.8172.2-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.089.4165.4-13.411%
vs Similar (4)71.883.2155.0-11.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)98.076.0174.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
66avg 65
A03/11
NBB
Pato
#17
W
82-75
82
75
+7
79avg 65
H07/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-91
61
91
-30
44avg 65
A10/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
71-73
71
73
-2
65avg 65
A13/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
70-82
70
82
-12
65avg 65
H18/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
74-61
74
61
+13
71avg 65
H20/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
70-79
70
79
-9
59avg 65
A02/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 65
A04/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
75-80
75
80
-5
68avg 65
H08/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
61-84
61
84
-23
50avg 65
H13/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
17-28
23-17
23-25
20-16
26-14
16-16
20-29
14-26
9-22
18-24
20-19
25-19
15-18
17-14
14-22
22-25
19-15
12-19
17-23
19-23
13-7
24-17
18-14
15-23
20-21
22-16
13-19
19-28
20-28
21-22
17-23
17-20
20-20
22-19
16-21
15-21
18-20
16-26
12-17
153.2Avg total
71.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)70.881.7152.5-10.920%
Season at home (8)74.978.4153.2-3.538%
Season away (7)66.185.4151.6-19.30%
Last 10 (10)71.681.6153.2-10.020%
Last 5 (5)71.481.0152.4-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)71.284.7155.9-13.517%
vs Similar (7)76.076.6152.6-0.643%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.7-8.7Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -4.2-4.2
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.7-8.7Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -4.2-4.2
CruzeiroBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H03/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H06/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A12/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A14/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H17/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H20/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A03/12
NBB
84.4Avg total
36.9Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)36.645.882.4-9.114%-
Last 30 at home (9)37.445.983.3-8.411%-
Last 30 away (5)35.245.680.8-10.420%-
Last 10 (10)36.947.584.4-10.610%-
Last 5 (5)40.849.490.2-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.646.681.1-12.00%-
vs Similar (4)37.045.082.0-8.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)54.042.096.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A03/11
NBB
Pato
#17
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H07/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A10/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A13/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H18/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H20/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A04/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H08/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H13/12
NBB
76.9Avg total
35.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.842.279.0-5.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.740.680.3-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)33.943.877.7-9.920%-
Last 10 (10)35.541.476.9-5.940%-
Last 5 (5)35.242.277.4-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.343.579.8-7.226%-
vs Similar (7)38.638.076.6+0.657%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.1
47.9%
52.2%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.1
37.0%
32.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.416.5
77.1%
72.8%16.5
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.2
48.7%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.2
30.9%
32.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.712.6
64.0%
72.8%12.6
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cruzeiro
LLLLWLLLWL
Botafogo
LLLLWLLLWL
#14
League position
#16
-9.0
Net rating
-13.6
101.3
Offensive rating
94.3
110.3
Defensive rating
107.9
50.9%
Effective FG%
47.8%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
19.4%
Turnover %
20.8%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.0%
3-point %
30.9%
69.9%
Assist %
58.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 94.3Defence110.3 · 107.9Shooting50.9% · 47.8%3-point %37.0% · 30.9%Ball care19.4% · 20.8%Off. rebounds22.6% · 27.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Cruzeiro   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cruzeiro wins
0
Botafogo wins
No previous meetings.
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25AUniao Corinthians76-87
01/12/25ACaxias do Sul63-78
23/11/25HPinheiros89-102
20/11/25HPaulistano86-106
17/11/25HOsasco98-76
14/11/25ABrasilia65-79
12/11/25ARio Claro77-99
06/11/25HFranca81-90
03/11/25HBauru76-75
01/11/25HMinas76-84
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HUniao Corinthians61-84
08/12/25HCaxias do Sul75-80
04/12/25APaulistano77-101
02/12/25AOsasco70-79
20/11/25HRio Claro74-61
18/11/25HBrasilia70-82
13/11/25ABauru71-73
10/11/25AFranca61-91
07/11/25HPato82-75
03/11/25ACorinthians Paulista75-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cruzeiro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL21%
HomeWLWLL22%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %21%22%20%
Points / game76.479.770.4
Allowed / game86.789.182.4
Point differential-10.4-9.4-12.0
Avg total163.1168.8152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWLWLL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %20%38%0%
Points / game70.874.966.1
Allowed / game81.778.485.4
Point differential-10.9-3.5-19.3
Avg total152.5153.2151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1412286%87.673.8+13.8
2 Pinheiros1412286%84.575.0+9.5
3 Minas1412286%85.476.4+9.0
4 Franca1411379%86.973.7+13.2
5 Brasilia1511473%82.973.7+9.2
6 Corinthians Paulista1410471%82.174.5+7.6
7 Mogi149564%80.767.2+13.5
8 Sao Jose159660%79.676.6+3.0
9 Paulistano169756%80.275.1+5.1
10 Unifacisa147750%80.479.4+1.0
11 Bauru168850%73.975.1-1.2
12 Caxias do Sul147750%72.476.8-4.4
13 Uniao Corinthians136746%76.881.7-4.8
14 Cearense1441029%81.687.9-6.3
15 Pato1541127%72.180.1-8.0
16 Osasco1641225%75.686.2-10.7
17 Rio Claro1741324%77.589.3-11.8
18 Cruzeiro1431121%76.486.7-10.4
19 Botafogo1531220%70.881.7-10.9
20 Vasco141137%66.579.4-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cruzeiro1822193089
Botafogo1918141465
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