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Cruzeiro vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 76-75
23-30 18-17 25-16 10-12
Position#14
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#10
Record3-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game72.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Dona Salome
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cruzeiro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
62-85
62
85
-23
47avg 65
H18/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
65-81
65
81
-16
59avg 65
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
84-103
84
103
-19
81avg 65
H25/10
NBB
Pato
#17
W
71-69
71
69
+2
68avg 65
A29/10
NBB
Minas
#3
L
76-84
76
84
-8
68avg 65
H01/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
10-25
15-16
19-27
11-23
14-21
23-17
17-20
20-20
26-26
13-29
25-28
20-18
25-16
12-13
14-22
14-23
23-15
17-30
22-16
156.0Avg total
71.6Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.684.4156.0-12.820%
Season at home (4)71.888.2160.0-16.50%
Season away (1)71.069.0140.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (5)71.684.4156.0-12.820%
Last 5 (5)71.684.4156.0-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)71.888.2160.0-16.50%
vs Similar (1)71.069.0140.0+2.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
W
89-85
89
85
+4
79avg 70
H15/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
59-74
59
74
-15
42avg 70
H23/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
69-73
69
73
-4
63avg 70
A26/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
65-70
65
70
-5
60avg 70
A28/05
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
86-102
86
102
-16
85avg 70
H18/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
59-66
59
66
-7
48avg 70
A20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
60-83
60
83
-23
47avg 70
A23/10
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
82-69
82
69
+13
85avg 70
A25/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
60-52
60
52
+8
50avg 70
H28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
75-64
75
64
+11
78avg 70
H30/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
26-28
24-17
15-16
17-18
13-18
18-23
11-15
13-19
19-16
24-15
13-23
11-18
16-24
20-9
18-19
24-32
15-28
32-20
15-22
13-13
19-17
16-21
11-15
17-17
12-23
18-26
13-17
20-26
28-12
16-19
18-12
8-15
17-13
18-12
17-12
22-15
13-13
21-20
19-16
144.2Avg total
70.4Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.372.7143.0-2.350%
Season at home (3)73.772.7146.3+1.067%
Season away (3)67.072.7139.7-5.733%
Last 10 (10)70.473.8144.2-3.440%
Last 5 (5)67.266.8134.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.683.3153.9-12.70%
vs Similar (14)75.469.8145.1+5.664%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.275.2160.4+10.089%
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
CruzeiroBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#9
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H18/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H21/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H25/10
NBB
Pato
#17
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A29/10
NBB
Minas
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/11
NBB
77.0Avg total
36.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (5)36.240.877.0-4.620%-
Last 30 at home (4)34.042.576.5-8.50%-
Last 30 away (1)45.034.079.0+11.0100%-
Last 10 (5)36.240.877.0-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)36.240.877.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.042.576.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (1)45.034.079.0+11.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H15/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H23/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A26/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A28/05
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
39-60
39
60
-21
H18/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A20/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A23/10
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A25/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H28/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H30/10
NBB
73.6Avg total
34.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.076.6+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.436.276.6+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.638.076.6+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)34.738.973.6-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)33.832.866.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.644.478.0-10.90%-
vs Similar (14)38.732.971.6+5.871%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.437.783.1+7.867%-
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.018.4
41.8%
52.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.6
29.5%
32.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.415.2
74.5%
72.8%15.2
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.4
49.1%
52.2%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.88.3
27.9%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.211.8
72.8%
72.8%11.8
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cruzeiro
LWLLL
Bauru
WWWLLLLLLW
#14
League position
#10
-14.1
Net rating
-4.5
90.6
Offensive rating
94.8
104.7
Defensive rating
99.3
42.6%
Effective FG%
45.6%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
19.4%
Turnover %
20.6%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.5%
3-point %
27.9%
72.8%
Assist %
70.0%
20%
Form (last 5/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.6 · 94.8Defence104.7 · 99.3Shooting42.6% · 45.6%3-point %29.5% · 27.9%Ball care19.4% · 20.6%Off. rebounds26.3% · 30.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 5/10)20% · 40%
■ Cruzeiro   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cruzeiro wins
0
Bauru wins
No previous meetings.
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25HMinas76-84
29/10/25APato71-69
25/10/25HMogi84-103
21/10/25HCorinthians Paulista65-81
18/10/25HSao Jose62-85
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/25HCaxias do Sul75-64
28/10/25HUniao Corinthians60-52
25/10/25AOsasco82-69
23/10/25APinheiros60-83
20/10/25APaulistano59-66
18/10/25HFlamengo86-102
28/05/25AMinas65-70
26/05/25AMinas69-73
23/05/25HMinas59-74
15/05/25HSao Paulo89-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cruzeiro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Losses (last 5)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %20%0%100%
Points / game71.671.871.0
Allowed / game84.488.269.0
Point differential-12.8-16.5+2.0
Avg total156.0160.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bauru
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game70.373.767.0
Allowed / game72.772.772.7
Point differential-2.3+1.0-5.7
Avg total143.0146.3139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo550100%95.075.6+19.4
2 Minas550100%82.077.8+4.2
3 Franca54180%86.470.0+16.4
4 Mogi43175%85.066.2+18.8
5 Brasilia43175%81.063.5+17.5
6 Unifacisa43175%81.075.8+5.2
7 Caxias do Sul43175%75.272.5+2.8
8 Pinheiros43175%77.275.0+2.2
9 Sao Jose53260%76.271.8+4.4
10 Corinthians Paulista42250%80.078.8+1.2
11 Bauru63350%70.372.7-2.3
12 Cearense42250%79.086.2-7.2
13 Uniao Corinthians31233%73.781.3-7.7
14 Paulistano41325%69.072.5-3.5
15 Osasco41325%76.891.8-15.0
16 Botafogo51420%69.281.8-12.6
17 Cruzeiro51420%71.684.4-12.8
18 Rio Claro51420%82.896.0-13.2
19 Pato4040%73.877.2-3.5
20 Vasco6060%68.779.7-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cruzeiro2318251076
Bauru3017161275
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